The Atlanta Dream vs. New York Liberty game is set to tip off at 8 p.m. ET on Monday, September 21, with the Dream entering as 1.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.72x payout to win, via PrizePicks.
The WNBA opens the final week of the regular season with a two-game slate on Monday evening. The Dream (28-14) close out the campaign with back-to-back games against New York as they look to potentially reach the league’s third seed before the postseason.
The Liberty (26-16) host the Dream on the second night of a back-to-back after blowing out the Tempo 106-69 on Sunday evening. New York could climb to the fourth seed if it takes down Atlanta twice.
Below, we'll break down our Dream vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Monday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Dream vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks for tonight’s game.
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Dream vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Monday, September 21
Both Atlanta and New York arrive on three-game winning streaks, with the Dream sitting alone in the fourth seed after back-to-back dominant wins to open the post-FIBA break stretch. Atlanta scored over 100 points both times, bringing its season average to 91.5 PPG — second in the league.
The Dream appear to be peaking at the right time, and their recent dominance has shifted their championship odds. PrizePicks had Atlanta just behind the Fever with a 7.14x payout to win the title but has since moved them ahead with a 6.66x payout following Saturday's win.
With one of the league's best defenses and some recent hot shooting, the Dream look like a tough out for anyone they face in the playoffs.
Tonight serves as a good litmus test for how much to read into Atlanta's recent form. The Dream's two wins came against teams already eliminated from contention, and they now face a Liberty squad that ranks fourth and seventh in offensive and defensive rating, respectively.
New York's two games since the World Cup break have been equally impressive, featuring a comfortable win over top-seeded Minnesota, followed by a 37-point blowout of the Tempo last night.
The Liberty enter as slight home underdogs, likely because of the back-to-back. Chris DeMarco kept his starters and rotation players at around 22 minutes or fewer with the game in hand last night, though, so fatigue shouldn't be a major factor.
With Atlanta's offense clicking and New York shooting 56.5% from the field on Sunday, this has all the ingredients of a high-scoring battle between two teams fighting for playoff positioning.
Dream vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Monday, September 21
The Dream enter Monday’s game as 1.5-point road favorites against the Liberty, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Dream vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.
Make your Dream vs. Liberty prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks.
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Dream vs. Liberty Injury Report for Monday, September 21
Let’s dive into the full Dream vs. Liberty injury report for Monday, via WNBA.com.
Atlanta Dream Injury Report
- C Brionna Jones (Leg) – Out
New York Liberty Injury Report
- G Elizabeth Balogun (Not with team) – Out
Dream vs. Liberty Prediction on Over/Under – 9/21/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Dream vs. Liberty prediction on the over/under for Monday, September 21.
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- The Dream and Liberty combined for 194 points in a high-scoring affair earlier this season. New York shot above 50% from both the field and from deep despite Atlanta's elite defense.
- Following Sunday's results, the Dream have climbed to second in the league in scoring, averaging 91.5 PPG. Atlanta has been notably stronger at home, averaging just 88.7 PPG on the road.
- The Liberty's offensive masterclass on Sunday has them ranked fourth in the league with a 112.2 offensive rating. New York knocked down 16 3-pointers in the victory.
- Atlanta's 104.0 defensive rating sits second in the WNBA, as it limits opponents to just 85.0 PPG despite allowing the third-highest opponent FG% at 47.2%.
- Both Atlanta and New York games have gone over just above 50% of the time, with 23 of the Liberty's 42 games and 22 of the Dream's contests finishing over the allotted total.
Dream vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 9/21/26
Here are the top Dream vs. Liberty picks to target on Monday, September 21. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include Angel Reese and Breanna Stewart.
Dream F Angel Reese vs. Liberty: 28.5 Pts+ Rebs
- Reese has significantly elevated her scoring and efficiency since returning from the FIBA World Cup, averaging 26.5 points and shooting 73.9% from the field across two games.
- The WNBA's rebounding leader enters tonight chasing her 17th straight double-double, having recorded one in every game since the All-Star break in July.
- Her recent scoring outburst has raised her season average to 16.6 PPG, ranking 17th among qualified players. Her 12.3 rebounds per game lead the league.
- Reese had 25 points and 9 rebounds in her first meeting with the Liberty this season and is averaging 13.6 points and 10.9 rebounds in eight career games against New York.
Add Angel Reese + Dream to cover the spread to your PrizePicks lineup now.
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Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Dream: 19.5 Points
- After winning the FIBA World Cup MVP, Stewart has returned to the Liberty looking ready for a deep playoff run, averaging 25.5 PPG in her two games back. That includes hanging 24 on the top-seeded Lynx.
- Stewart's 20.7 PPG rank sixth in the WNBA. The veteran forward is averaging 6.9 free throw attempts per game, second only to Las Vegas Aces C A'ja Wilson.
- The 32-year-old scored 27 points on 71.4% shooting against the Tempo last night and played just 22 minutes with the game well in hand.
- Stewart finished the first meeting between these teams with 19 points and 11 rebounds in a dominant victory and is averaging 20.1 PPG against the Dream in 29 career matchups.
Add Breanna Stewart + Liberty to win to your PrizePicks lineup now.
Make Dream vs. Liberty Picks on PrizePicks
Tonight's matchup carries significant weight in the current playoff picture. The Dream could move within striking distance of clinching a top-four seed with a win on Monday evening, while the Liberty look to extend their three-game winning streak and potentially overtake Atlanta with two straight victories.
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