Best CFP Quarterfinals Picks for PrizePicks: Eyes on QBs Beck, Simpson, More

Miami QB Carson Beck throws a ball in a CFB game.
AP Photo/Rebecca Blackwell

Eight college football teams still have hopes to bring home a National Championship, but four will enter the new year with disappointment.

Miami recently upset Texas A&M and will attempt to do the same against Ohio State. Oregon, meanwhile, squares off against Big 12 champion Texas Tech. Elsewhere, Alabama shocked Oklahoma and will aim for a repeat against top-seeded Indiana. The lone rematch in the CFP quarterfinals is Ole Miss vs. Georgia, with the Bulldogs having won the initial bout 43-35 in dramatic fashion.

Below, we'll break down the top College Football Playoff quarterfinal picks for PrizePicks and CFB DFS in our cheat sheet, also listing projections for top players.

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College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Picks for PrizePicks & CFB DFS

Here are the top CFB DFS picks for the College Football Playoff quarterfinals. Use this analysis to make your PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks predictions for these games.

Miami QB Carson Beck Projection: 192.5 Passing Yards

No. 10 Miami vs. No. 2 Ohio State Pick – Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • Beck has more than 192 passing yards in four of his last five games.
  • The gunslinger ranks 20th in passing yards (3,175).
  • Ohio State is allowing the fewest passing yards per game (133.8), but it has not previously faced a quarterback who ranks inside the top-20 in passing yards.
  • The former Georgia quarterback's 74.5% completion rate ranks second in the FBS and is the sixth-highest in college football history.
  • The Buckeyes rank 47th in completion percentage allowed (60.5%).

Ohio State WR Jeremiah Smith Projection: 82.5 Receiving Yards

No. 10 Miami vs. No. 2 Ohio State Pick – Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • Smith has more than 80 receiving yards in three of his last five matchups. 
  • The sophomore ranks seventh in the nation in receiving yards (1,086).
  • Miami faced one WR ranked in the top 10 in receiving yards.
  • Florida State WR Duce Robinson (seventh) finished with 87 receiving yards in the 28-22 Week 6 loss to Miami.

Ole Miss QB Trinidad Chambliss Projection: 282.5 Pass + Rush Yards

No. 6 Ole Miss vs. No. 3 Georgia Pick – Thursday, 8 p.m. ET

  • Chambliss has more than 282 passing and rushing yards in nine of 11 starts, including four consecutive games.
  • The former Ferris State QB threw for 263 yards and ran for another 42 in the Week 7 loss to Georgia.
  • Chambliss became the first SEC player in the last 30 years to throw for 300+ passing yards and rush for 50+ yards in three consecutive games.
  • Ole Miss ranks fourth in pressure rate allowed (23.2%). Georgia’s 32.7% pressure rate ranks 76th.
  • The Rebels are 23rd in scramble EPA (0.552); the Bulldogs rank 56th in opponents’ scramble EPA (0.154).

Oregon QB Dante Moore Projection: 230.5 Passing Yards

No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 4 Texas Tech Pick – Thursday, 12 p.m. ET

  • Moore has more than 230 passing yards in eight of 13 games, including four straight.
  • Of the former UCLA QB’s last four opponents, two rank in the top 25 in defensive pass EPA. Texas Tech is second (-0.325).
  • Oregon allows the fewest sacks per game (1.2), but Texas Tech ranks ninth in sacks per game (2.9).
  • The Red Raiders have faced a team ranked inside the top-20 in sacks allowed four times, and they have not had more than 2 sacks in each of those contests.

Alabama QB Ty Simpson Projection: 242.5 Passing Yards

No. 9 Alabama vs. No. 1 Indiana Pick – Thursday, 4 p.m. ET

  • Simpson has thrown for fewer than 240 yards in four straight games.
  • Indiana ranks 22nd in passing yards allowed per game.
  • The former five-star recruit has faced two opponents ranked inside the top 35 in passing yards allowed per game and has thrown for less than 201 yards in each.
  • The Crimson Tide ranks 48th in pressure rate allowed (41.3%) and 99th in sacks allowed (29). IU is eighth in pressure rate (30.3%) and has the fifth-most sacks (39).

Ohio State RB Bo Jackson Projection: 71.5 Rushing Yards

No. 10 Miami vs. No. 2 Ohio State Pick – Wednesday, 7:30 p.m. ET

  • Jackson has more than 72 rushing yards in six straight games.
  • The former four-star recruit is more involved in the offense now than earlier on. In his first six games, he averaged 11.3 carries per game. In his last six, he’s averaging 16.7.
  • The Cleveland native became the fifth true freshman in Ohio State history to rush for 1,000+ yards.
  • Miami ranks seventh in defensive rush EPA (-0.160).
  • Indiana (second) is the only opponent Jackson has faced that ranks inside the top seven in defensive rush EPA. He ran for 83 yards in a 13-10 loss in the Big Ten Championship.
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Make College Football Playoff Quarterfinal Picks on PrizePicks

Whether you're watching the rematch between Ole Miss and Georgia or a thriller like Alabama vs. Indiana, PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks are the best ways to cash in on your college football picks.

Just pick your players and predict More or Less on their stat projections on PrizePicks or make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders with Team Picks, now available in 30 states.

Stay locked in on the Playbook for more CFB news, picks, and predictions throughout the season.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

John is a graduate from Quinnipiac University with a Master’s Degree in Sports Journalism. With almost 15 years working in radio, TV and blogs, it includes stops at ESPN, NBC Sports, and Audacy. Along with being an avid sports fan, he is into fitness and cooking.

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