After months of action-packed play, it all comes down to this. Monday night’s College Football Playoff National Championship (7:30 p.m. ET on ESPN) sees No. 1 Indiana play No. 10 Miami in the marquee game of the year.
There’s plenty of star power here, including the Heisman Trophy winner. Hoosiers QB Fernando Mendoza, a projected top 2026 NFL Draft pick, continues his storybook campaign with a chance to end his collegiate career a champion. Standing in his way is a tough Hurricanes team, setting the scene for a thrilling matchup.
Below, we’ll expand on some Fernando Mendoza stats and a pick vs. Miami in the CFP National Championship. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make predictions on player projections and futures, over/unders, game winners, and spreads — now available in 30 states.
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Fernando Mendoza Stats, Pick for CFP National Championship vs. Miami
Below are some Fernando Mendoza projections to monitor against Miami. Use PrizePicks to make predictions on other CFP National Championship player projections as well.
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza vs. Miami Projection: 223.5 Pass Yards
- Through 15 games, Mendoza averages 223.3 passing yards. That number is 197.0 thus far in the conference title game and College Football Playoff.
- Mendoza leads all FBS QBs in passing TDs (41), yards per attempt (9.5) and adjusted yards per attempt (11.08).
- Per Game on Paper, Mendoza is second among 132 qualified passers in success rate (57.6%) and yards per dropback (9.02).
- Indiana’s 71.63% completion rate as a passing offense is second in the nation.
- Via Pro Football Focus, out of 118 QBs with 250+ dropbacks, Mendoza is a top-20 player in big-time throw rate (6.1%) and turnover-worthy play percentage (2.5).
- Miami sits 50th in opposing passing yards per game (213.8) and 133rd with a staggering 56.2% pass play rate faced.
- The Hurricanes’ 8.2% explosive pass clip yielded is a 69th-percentile mark. The Hoosiers’ 11.1% mark on offense is significantly better.
- In his lone clash with Miami, taking place in 2024, Mendoza completed just 11 passes but racked up 285 passing yards. His 13 yards per attempt were a season-high.
More Fernando Mendoza Projections vs. Miami in College Football Playoff
Mendoza has many other College Football Playoff projections for Miami vs. Indiana to pick from, via PrizePicks.
- 16.5 Pass Completions
- 24.5 Pass Attempts (Goblin)
- 15.5 Rush Yards
- 6.5 Rush Attempts (Goblin)
- 243.5 Pass + Rush Yards
- And More
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Make Miami vs. Indiana CFP National Championship Picks on PrizePicks
Fernando Mendoza has an opportunity to close the book on his Indiana tenure in perfect fashion. Can he lead the Hoosiers to a title, or will Miami spoil the playoff party?
Make your College Football Playoff National Championship picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with the Playbook for continued CFB picks, predictions, and news.




