Club Brugge returns to Jan Breydel Stadium as underdogs in the first leg of a Champions League knockout play-off. The Belgian club will lean on pace and pressure to chase an upset against Atletico Madrid on their home turf.
Atletico arrives as the side the market trusts, per PrizePicks Team Picks, with three wins in their last five Champions League phase fixtures. However, Brugge comes off big back-to-back wins on its home turf.
Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid kicks off at 3:00 p.m. ET on Wednesday, Feb. 18, live on Paramount+, as the highlight of today's four-game slate.
Let's take a look at a Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid prediction and Wednesday UEFA Champions League picks for the match in Bruges. Use PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to make picks on players, Champions League winners, total goals, and more!
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Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction for Champions League Today
Under manager Ivan Leko, Club Brugge enters the Champions League knockout play-off with a 3-1-4 record in the league phase. The Belgian side squeezed into the play-off round as the 19th seed after back-to-back victories, where they've outscored the opposition, 7-1.
However, both wins came vs. clubs that did not advance to the play-off — Marseille (3-0-5) and Kairat Almaty (0-1-7), the worst team in the league phase by virtually every metric.
The Belgian club posted a 2-1-1 record on home turf in the league phase, including a clean sheet against Marseille (3-0) and a credible 3-3 draw with Barcelona.
However, Club Brugge has been inconsistent in attack, managing 15 goals across eight league phase fixtures — with seven coming in their last two UCL matches. Meanwhile, they conceded 17.
Atletico Madrid enters at 4-3-1 under Diego Simeone, finishing 14th in the league phase. The Spanish club has been inconsistent, conceding 15 goals through eight matches, while managing 17 goals on the attacking end.
The Spanish side has earned just one point from its last two games in Champions League, a 2-1 loss to Bodo/Glimt and a draw with Galatasaray.
Atleti has struggled on the road in Champions League play, with just one win in four away matches and a 1-2-1 record, including losses to Liverpool and Arsenal — their lone road victory came against PSV Eindhoven.
Wednesday's matchup presents a classic European knockout clash of styles. Atletico holds a decisive edge in experience, depth, and tactical discipline, but Club Brugge has shown it can frustrate top opponents at home, especially against a team that has been struggling on the road.
Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid Game Winner Payout
Atletico Madrid enters Wednesday’s game as a road favorite, returning a 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Club Brugge is a home underdog with a 3.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Game Winner Payout: Atletico Madrid 1.78x | Tie 3.57x | Club Brugge 3.7x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid Prediction on Game Winner
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid prediction on Wednesday, February 18, on PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Atletico Madrid has won four of its eight matches in the Champions League league phase while conceding 1.9 goals per game on average.
- Club Brugge has shown good form at the Jan Breydel Stadium, posting a 2-1-1 record at home in the league phase.
- Club Brugge has had recent success against Atleti, posting a 1-0-2 record in its last three matches.
- Despite their struggles on the road, Atleti has conceded only 6 goals in their last five matches (1.2 per game).
- In its last five Champions League phase fixtures, Brugge has failed to score in two games, while conceding 10 goals across them.
- Diego Simeone's side enters the match winless in its last two Champions League fixtures (0-1-1).
- Club Brugge has shown defensive vulnerability late in the league phase, conceding in four out of their five matches heading into the knockout round.
Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid Picks for PrizePicks Today: Wednesday, February 18
Here are two top Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid picks to target for Wednesday, February 18 on PrizePicks. Champions League player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Alexander Sørloth and Aleksandar Stanković.
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Atletico Madrid ST Alexander Sørloth vs. Club Bragge Projection: 2.5 Shots
- Alexander Sørloth has produced 18 total attempts in just 378 Champions League minutes (4.29 shots per 90).
- His UCL movement numbers fit the volume case, with seven runs into the penalty area; he is consistently arriving in shooting zones rather than drifting from the action.
- Club Brugge’s poor defending in Champions League has allowed opponents to fire freely, conceding 113 total attempts (58 on target, 55 off target) in the competition.
- Brugge’s game-state profile invites pressure — 46.13% possession and 17 goals conceded (2.13 per match) — the kind of setup that typically forces repeated Atletico entries and multiple Sørloth shot looks.
Club Brugge MF Aleksandar Stanković vs. PSG Projection: 1.5 Shots
- Aleksander Stanković has averaged 2.19 shots per 90 minutes in Champions League play this season with 17 total attempts across 700 minutes.
- His UCL shooting profile tilts heavily toward off-target attempts (11 of 16 shots off target), suggesting he's willing to fire from distance and generate volume rather than wait for premium looks.
- Atletico Madrid's Champions League defending has allowed 73 total shots against (39 off target, 34 on target), averaging over nine attempts conceded per match.
- Brugge's home environment at Jan Breydel Stadium typically elevates midfielder shooting volume, with the Belgian side relying on transition moments and set-piece sequences that invite secondary shooters like Stanković to unload from the edge of the box.
Make Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid Picks on PrizePicks
Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid headlines the Wednesday Champions League action in the first leg of the knockout play-off. Brugge vs. Atleti picks are just one of many ways soccer fans can get in on the UEFA Champions League action today.
Make Wednesday's Champions League knockout action more rewarding by locking in your predictions on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks for a shot at real cash. Pick More or Less on player projections for the Club Brugge vs. Atletico Madrid showdown or head to PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can predict the match outcome for this UCL play-off round — now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued UEFA Champions League predictions, picks, and news.
