Chelsea and Man City are set to square off in the FA Cup final match on Saturday, May 16 at 10 a.m. ET on ESPN2 and ESPN+.
According to PrizePicks Team Picks, Man City is favored as the visitors, returning a 1.61x payout if they secure a victory.
Below, we’ll discuss our Chelsea vs. Man City prediction and picks for Saturday’s FA Cup final showdown at Wembley Stadium.
Make your Chelsea vs. Man City prediction on PrizePicks for today’s match.
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Chelsea vs. Man City Prediction, Picks for FA Cup Final – Saturday, May 16
It’s been a disappointing finish to the Premier League season for Chelsea, but they can potentially find a silver lining in this campaign by winning the FA Cup.
Chelsea is in ninth place in the EPL table with two games remaining, and they’ve gone 0-1-4 over their last five contests. After competing in the Champions League this season, Chelsea will need a lot of help from the clubs above them in the standings and may need to win out to have a chance of earning UCL qualification for next year.
To advance to the FA Cup final, Chelsea has taken care of business against inferior opponents, winning their last two matches by a combined score of 8-0.
Unlike Chelsea, Man City is very much alive in the Premier League race, especially after a 3-0 win over Crystal Palace on Wednesday to get to only 2 points back of first-place Arsenal.
Manager Pep Guardiola elected not to start F Jeremy Doku and F Erling Haaland in the win over Crystal Palace, so it remains to be seen what the lineup looks like on Saturday. City has another Premier League match on Tuesday on the road against Bournemouth, so Guardiola could keep that in mind.
Ahead of the FA Cup final, Man City needed two late-game goals in their previous match against Southampton to earn a chance to face Chelsea. Before that match, City won their previous four FA Cup matches by a combined score of 19-2.
Chelsea vs. Man City Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Saturday, May 16
Man City enters Saturday’s FA Cup final match as massive road favorites, returning a 1.61x payout ($100 entry pays out $161) on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
- Winner Payout: Man City – 1.61x | Tie – 3.84x | Chelsea – 4.34x
- Spread: Man City -1.5 (2.7x Payout)
- Total Goals: 2.5 (Over – 1.66x)
Play the Chelsea vs. Man City spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change. Does not include extra time or penalties.
Chelsea vs. Man City Prediction to Win for FA Cup Final – 5/16/26
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Chelsea vs. Man City prediction on the winner for Saturday, May 16. Check out more of our soccer picks and predictions on Playbook.
Lock in your Chelsea vs. Man City prediction on PrizePicks now.
- Man City has gone unbeaten against Chelsea over their last 14 head-to-head meetings across all competitions.
- Additionally, Man City has won four of the last five road matches against Chelsea. That includes a 3-0 victory at Wembley on April 12th.
- Chelsea hasn’t been tested much in the FA Cup, as four of their five matches came against clubs that play in leagues below the EPL.
- Across their last nine non-FA Cup matches, Chelsea has recorded a woeful 0-1-8 record.
- Meanwhile, City has tallied a stellar 6-1-0 record over their last seven non-FA Cup contests.
- In the Premier League, Man City is the only team to have more xG (68.5) than Chelsea (65.0), per FotMob.
- On the defensive end of the pitch, Man City is second in xG conceded (40.2), while Chelsea is eighth (49.2) in the Premier League.
Chelsea vs. Man City Projected Lineups
Here are the projected Chelsea vs. Man City lineups for today's FA Cup finals match. Lineups are not official.
Chelsea Lineup vs. Man City: Projected 4-2-3-1
- Goalkeeper: Filip Jorgensen
- Defense: Jorrel Hato, Levi Colwill, Wesley Fofana, Malo Gusto
- Midfield: Moises Caicedo, Andrey Santos, Marc Cucurella, Enzo Fernandez, Cole Palmer
- Forwards: Joao Pedro
Man City Lineup vs. Chelsea: Projected 4-1-3-2
- Goalkeeper: Gianluigi Donnarumma
- Defense: Josko Gvardiol, Marc Guehi, Abdukodir Khusanov, Matheus Nunes
- Midfield: Bernardo Silva, Rayan Ait Nouri, Phil Foden, Savinho
- Forwards: Omar Marmoush, Antoine Semenyo
Chelsea vs. Man City Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks for FA Cup Final: 5/16/26
Here are two Chelsea vs. Man City picks to target on players for Saturday, May 16. Player picks via PrizePicks are headlined by Antoine Semenyo and Enzo Fernandez.
Man City F Antoine Semenyo vs. Chelsea
Antoine Semenyo Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots (Goblin), 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 0.5 Goals (Demon)
- Antoine Semenyo has delivered multiple shots in seven of his last 10 Premier League matches. That includes 5 shots on the road against Chelsea on April 12th.
- Semenyo has also tallied at least 1 shot on target in nine of his last 14 EPL outings.
- Only Erling Haaland has more goals + assists (34) than Semenyo (20) on Man City’s roster during the 2026 Premier League campaign.
- Over his last 21 EPL contests, Semenyo has totaled 10 goals and 1 assist.
Add Antoine Semenyo to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Chelsea MF Enzo Fernandez vs. Man City
Enzo Fernandez Projections via PrizePicks: 1.5 Shots, 42.5 Passes Attempted, 0.5 Goal + Assist (Demon)
- Enzo Fernandez has taken multiple shots in five of his last six Premier League starts.
- As one of the engines for Chelsea’s attack, Fernandez has attempted 45 or more passes in seven consecutive EPL matches.
- Fernandez has the second-most goals + assists (12) in Chelsea’s squad this Premier League season, and he handles some of the team’s set pieces.
- Additionally, Fernandez has the most chances created (64) on Chelsea’s roster in the EPL this year.
Add Enzo Fernandez to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Chelsea vs. Man City FA Cup Final Picks on PrizePicks
Man City has an opportunity to take home the FA Cup trophy, which could be a consolation prize if they’re unable to catch Arsenal for the Premier League crown. On the other hand, Chelsea would likely love to earn some hardware — even if the results haven’t been what they wanted in other competitions.
You can make your Chelsea vs. Man City picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money on FA Cup games. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats like shots or goals, and cash in if you’re correct.
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Stick around with the Playbook for continued FA Cup predictions, picks, and analysis through the end of the season.
