With All-Star Weekend and its subsequent break in the rearview mirror, the NBA is back with plenty of games to choose from on Thursday night. Prime Video hosts a doubleheader, and the finale features a pair of high-profile clubs in an interconference clash.
Tipping off at 10:00 p.m. ET from the Chase Center, the Boston Celtics take on the Golden State Warriors. As one side rounds into form for a possible playoff run and the other holds on for dear life, there’s ample intrigue here.
Below, we’ll break down our Celtics vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Thursday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
A season ago, the Celtics ripped off a whopping 61 regular-season wins but lost superstar F Jayson Tatum to a torn Achilles during the postseason. It remains to be seen when — or if — Tatum will return this year, but Boston is managing well without him, owning the No. 2 seed in the Eastern Conference.
The Warriors enjoyed a 48-win effort in 2024-25, largely thanks to acquiring F Jimmy Butler in-season via trade. Butler tore his ACL earlier this campaign, and the Dubs are scuffling with PG Stephen Curry also banged up. Golden State is 29-26 overall, 4-6 in its last 10, and occupying the No. 8 spot in the Western Conference.
Thursday marks the 353rd all-time regular-season meeting between these foes. The Celtics own a commanding 211-141 series lead, but the clubs have alternated wins and losses dating back to December of 2021.
Celtics vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under
The Celtics enter Thursday’s game as 6.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.4x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are home underdogs with a 2.7x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Boston Celtics -6.5
- Over/Under: 211.5
- Game Winner Payout: Celtics 1.4x | Warriors 2.7x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Celtics vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Celtics vs. Warriors injury report for Thursday, via NBA.com.
Boston Celtics Injury Report
- F Jayson Tatum (Achilles): OUT
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- G Seth Curry (sciatic nerve): OUT
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- C Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles): Questionable
Celtics vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Celtics vs. Warriors prediction on Thursday, February 19.
- The Celtics have been quite solid when it comes to taking care of business as road favorites, owning a 10-7 against-the-spread record in those scenarios. The Dubs are a lowly 1-3 as home underdogs.
- Entering Thursday’s play, Boston owns basketball’s No. 3 average scoring differential at +6.9 points.
- Under head coach Joe Mazzulla, the Celtics play suffocating defense, as evidenced by top-three rankings in scoring (108.4 PPG), paint scoring (40.9 PPG), and effective field goal percentage (52.4).
- The Warriors’ offense normally fires on all cylinders, but it’s not the same in 2025-26. Head coach Steve Kerr’s crew is dead last in paint scoring (43.4 PPG) and fourth-worst when it comes to fastbreak conversions (12.8 PPG).
- Defensively, Golden State cedes the 18th-ranked shooting percentage (47.2) and is 15th in opposing rebounding (53.0 RPG), highlighting a middle-of-the-pack operation.
Celtics vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/19/26
Here are three top Celtics vs. Warriors picks to target for Thursday, February 19 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F-G Jaylen Brown, SG Derrick White, and PF Draymond Green.
Celtics F-G Jaylen Brown vs. Warriors Projection: 39.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- In the first half of his season, Brown put up an average of 40.9 points, rebounds, and assists.
- Despite leading the league in shots per game at 22.6, Brown’s 57.1 true shooting percentage is 1.6% higher than last season’s mark.
- Brown’s 11.0% total rebounding clip is a new personal best, surpassing 2022’s 10.4% threshold.
- Per databallr, Brown spends 28.2% of his time on the ball, a 98th-percentile achievement for the MVP candidate.
{{nba_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Celtics SG Derrick White vs. Warriors Projection: 22.5 Pts + Asts
- Fifty-two games into this campaign, White brings home 22.8 nightly points and assists.
- One area White thrives in is within three feet of the basket, where he makes 76.5% of his shots. The Dubs yield a 64.1% clip on such tries, per NBA Advanced Stats.
- White owns an assist rate above 20% for the third consecutive season, yet his turnover percentage is below 10 for the first time since 2020.
- The Warriors allow the ninth-highest assist average to the SG position at 5.33, via FantasyPros.
Warriors PF Draymond Green vs. Celtics Projection: 14.5 Pts + Rebs
- Green puts up 14.3 combined points and rebounds each game. In his last half-dozen outings, that ledger is up to 17.3.
- According to databallr, in 402 minutes without Curry this year, Green’s points and rebounds per 75 possessions each climb by 1.0.
- Surprisingly, via NBARAPM, Green’s 0.58 3-point rate is a 90th-percentile mark in year No. 14.
- The four-time All-Star’s defensive rebounding clip of 20.9 marks the 12th time he’s managed to keep it above 20% for a season (assuming it holds).
Make Celtics vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Celtics vs. Warriors Thursday picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.
