Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Summer League Picks: Ryan Conwell Stays Hot?

The Milwaukee Bucks vs. Miami Heat NBA Summer League game is set to tip off at 4 p.m. ET on Friday, July 10, with the Bucks entering as 3.5-point favorites on the spread and returning a 1.49x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks with a win.

These teams will get their first look at one another's depth following the blockbuster Giannis Antetokounmpo trade earlier this offseason. One of Miami’s brightest prospects included in the trade, G Kasparas Jakučionis, will make his unofficial Bucks debut against the team that drafted him just last year.

Below, we'll break down our Bucks vs. Heat prediction and picks for Friday's NBA Summer League game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Bucks vs. Heat prediction on PrizePicks for today’s Summer League game!

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Bucks vs. Heat Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

The Bucks will be evaluating their young talent as they head towards a rebuild after shipping a franchise legend to South Beach. Milwaukee acquired several young, intriguing pieces in the swap with Miami, including Jakučionis. Meanwhile, the Heat will aim to find some diamonds in the rough at the Las Vegas Summer League after trading much of their depth for Antetokounmpo. 

Miami was one of seven teams to have participated in the California Classic Summer League at the beginning of July. The Heat went 2-1 over the three-game slate, with 2026 second-round draft pick G Ryan Conwell leading the squad. Miami, which has become infamous for finding and developing under-the-radar players, had several standouts at the Cali Classic who will now require further attention.

The Bucks also attended the Cali Classic, but not with their complete roster. Milwaukee’s two lottery draft picks, G Brayden Burries and F Nate Ament, sat out two of three games but are expected to play more regularly in Las Vegas. Second-round pick and defensive specialist, F Malique Lewis, featured in two of three outings in California.

Bucks vs. Heat Spread, Over/Under – Friday, July 10

The Bucks enter Friday’s game as 3.5-point favorites against the Heat, returning a 1.49x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Bucks vs. Heat game on PrizePicks.

• Spread: Milwaukee Bucks -3.5 (1.78x payout)
• Over/Under: 181.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
• Game Winner Payout: Bucks 1.49x | Heat 2.5x

Make your Bucks vs. Heat prediction on spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

‍Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.

Bucks vs. Heat Expected Starting Lineups for Friday, July 10

Let’s dive into the expected starting lineups for Bucks vs. Heat on Friday, July 10. Lineups aren’t official and are based on recent playing time trends, injuries, schedule dynamics, and more.

Bucks Expected Starting Lineup vs. Heat

• PG: Kasparas Jakučionis
• SG: Brayden Burries
• SF: B.J. Boston Jr.
• PF: Nate Ament
• C: Bogoljub Marković 

Look for a potentially strong outing from Jakučionis, who has shown flashes of elite playmaking at just 20 years old.

Heat Expected Starting Lineup vs. Bucks

• PG: Tre Donaldson
• SG: Ryan Conwell
• SF: Tre White
• PF: Keshad Johnson
• C: Ian Schieffelin

Conwell stole the show at the California Classic and will aim to continue his offensive barrage as he hopes to land a role in Miami’s rotation this season.

Bucks vs. Heat Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 7/10/26

Here are the top Bucks vs. Heat picks to target on Friday, July 10. Today’s NBA Summer League picks for PrizePicks include PG Kasparas Jakučionis and SG Ryan Conwell.

Bucks Kasparas Jakučionis vs. Heat: 22.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

• Jakučionis didn't attend the California Classic while he was on international duty with the Lithuanian National Team, making his FIBA debut. The 20-year-old finished with 29 PRA in the FIBA World Cup European Qualifiers against Great Britain.
• The former Heat guard followed his FIBA debut with a 26 PRA performance in a friendly warm-up game against Ukraine.
• The sophomore averaged just 11.4 PRA in his rookie season, playing 17.8 minutes per night. Based on that production, it extrapolates to 30.7 per 48 minutes.
• Jakučionis did get plenty of action in the 2025 Summer League, averaging 14.8 PRA in six appearances for the Heat.

Add Kasparas Jakučionis to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Heat Ryan Conwell vs. Bucks: 17.5 Points

• The Louisville product averaged a team-high 18.8 PPG during his final collegiate season. The sniper took nearly 10 3-pointers per game, shooting 34.5% from behind the arc.
• Conwell averaged 21 PPG during his three appearances for the Heat at the California Classic Summer League.
• The 22-year-old paced Miami with 14.7 FGA per contest, taking 44 total shots in just three games. A whopping 9.3 of those each time out were from distance.
• Conwell had a 66.3% true shooting percentage in California, knocking down 100% of his free throws and 32.1% of his treys. The 6’4” off-guard struggled inside the arc, however, shooting just 31.3% from 2-point range.

Add Ryan Conwell to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Bucks vs. Heat Picks for Vegas Summer League on PrizePicks

The Bucks hope to turn a new leaf, boasting a bevy of young talent expected to showcase their skills at the Las Vegas Summer League. Meanwhile, the Heat look for their next key role player who can add to the win-now roster head coach Erik Spoelstra has at his disposal.

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Bucks vs. Heat picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.

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