Nearly two-thirds of the NBA is in action on Monday, and a Bucks vs. Hawks matchup kicks off the MLK Day slate.
Monday’s game (1:00 p.m. ET on Peacock) sees 17-24 Milwaukee hit the road to take on 20-24 Atlanta. With both teams just one spot apart in the play-in picture, this outing could have seeding implications later in the year.
Below, we’ll break down our Bucks vs. Hawks prediction and picks for Monday’s MLK Day game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Bucks vs. Hawks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
After a tumultuous 48-34 effort last season, the Bucks have been unable to replicate that in 2025-26. They sit seven games below .500 and are 5-5 in their last 10.
The Hawks, meanwhile, are flirting with the same production of their 40-win campaign a year ago. With star PG Trae Young traded to the Washington Wizards, Atlanta looks to build some momentum and stabilize. They’re also 5-5 in their last 10.
Monday marks the 242nd all-time regular-season meeting between the two squads. Things are remarkably close, with the Bucks holding a 121-120 advantage in the series.
Bucks vs. Hawks Over/Under, Spread
The Bucks enter Monday’s game as 2.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Hawks are home favorites with a 1.72x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Atlanta Hawks -2.5
- Over/Under: 230.5
- Game Winner Payout: Bucks 2x | Hawks 1.72x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Bucks vs. Hawks Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Bucks vs. Hawks injury report for Monday, via NBA.com.
Bucks Injury Report
- F Taurean Prince (neck) – OUT
Hawks Injury Report
- G-F Dyson Daniels (ankle) – Questionable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles) – OUT
- F Zaccharie Risacher (knee) – OUT
Bucks vs. Hawks Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Bucks vs. Hawks prediction on Monday, January 19.
- The Hawks are a league-worst 1-8 against the spread as a home favorite. As road underdogs, the Bucks are 7-6.
- Although the Bucks are 27th in per-game scoring at 112.4 points, they rank second in both 3-point percentage (39.3) and effective field goal percentage (56.9).
- On defense, Milwaukee limits paint production (45.5 PPG, fifth) and sees the seventh-fewest field goal tries per night (87.4).
- The Hawks’ average scoring margin of -1.5 ranks 20th in the sport.
- Atlanta is basketball’s single-worst fastbreak defense (17.3 PPG) and isn’t much better in the paint (52.7 PPG, 23rd).
Bucks vs. Hawks Picks for PrizePicks Today: Monday, January 19
Here are three top Bucks vs. Hawks picks to target for Monday, January 19 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by PF Giannis Antetokounmpo, PG Ryan Rollins, and F Jalen Johnson.
Bucks PF Giannis Antetokounmpo vs. Hawks Projection: 45.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Antetokounmpo averages 43.8 combined points, rebounds, and assists this season. Since his return to the lineup on Dec. 27, that number is 41.4.
- In 27 games played, the Greek Freak’s 67.9 true shooting percentage is the highest of his career, trumping both of his MVP campaigns.
- This is the only year Antetokounmpo has posted an offensive rebound percentage above 10 (11.6).
- Despite his usage percentage being his third-highest mark, Giannis’ 39.5% assist clip is a personal best by 3.5%.
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Bucks PG Ryan Rollins vs. Hawks Projection: 19.5 Pts + Asts
- Playing in every Bucks game this year, Rollins averages 21.7 points and assists.
- Among Milwaukee players with 1,000+ minutes logged, Rollins is first in usage rate (23.1%) and assist rate (26.5%).
- According to NBARAPM, Rollins nets a career-high 8.6 assists per 100 possessions.
- Per FantasyPros, the Hawks rank 11th in average points (26.33) and ninth in assists (9.18) allowed to the PG position.
Hawks F Jalen Johnson vs. Bucks Projection: 38.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Johnson pours in 40.9 combined points, rebounds, and assists per game in his career year.
- Even on a personal record 16.6 shot attempts every night, Johnson’s 60.4 true shooting percentage and 21.1 PER are the highest of his five-year NBA tenure.
- Per databallr, Johnson’s 22.3% defensive rebounding figure is a 96th-percentile mark.
- The new face of the Hawks boasts impressive marks for on-ball rate (27.4%) and potential assists per 100 (18.9).
Make Bucks vs. Hawks Picks on PrizePicks
Bucks vs. Hawks picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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