Broncos vs. Commanders Prediction, SNF Picks: Back Troy Franklin?

Denver Broncos WR Troy Franklin runs with the ball in a game against the Houston Texans.
AP Photo/Eric Christian Smith

The Broncos and Commanders, two teams headed in opposite directions, meet in D.C. for Sunday Night Football with the outing kicking off at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC.

Below, we'll break down our Broncos-Commanders prediction and SNF picks for Week 13. We'll also list some top player picks on PrizePicks' real-money NFL game, with Broncos QB Bo Nix and WR Troy Franklin and Commanders WR Deebo Samuel leading the way. 

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Broncos vs. Commanders Prediction, Sunday Night Football Preview

The Broncos and Commanders meet for the first time since 2023 and for the 17th time overall. Both teams have won eight times in the series, with Washington winning the Super Bowl XXII matchup.

The Commanders enter the Sunday night game as 7.5-point home underdogs, returning a 3.03x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Broncos are road favorites with a 1.35x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Denver Broncos -7.5
  • Total: 43.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Broncos 1.35x | Commanders 3.03x

Denver Broncos Preview vs. Commanders

  • The Broncos have won eight straight games, their longest streak since winning the final 11 games of the 2012 season.
  • Denver’s defense leads the NFL in yards per play, allowing just 4.4. It's also third in total yards allowed per game at 274.4, third in rush defense (88.5) and fifth in pass defense (185.8). Their 17.5 PPG yielded is third-best.
  • Denver has 49 sacks through 11 games, an average that extrapolates to 75 on the season. The 1984 Chicago Bears own the NFL record with 72.
  • Eight of the 11 Broncos games have gone under the posted total. 

Washington Commanders Preview vs. Broncos

  • After averaging 25.7 PPG in the first seven games of the season, the Commanders' offense has scored just 14.0 PPG in the last four. Starting QB Jayden Daniels missed three of those four contests and won't play Sunday.
  • The Commanders' defense has been one of the worst in football. It sits 31st in total yards per game (387), last in yards/play (6.32), 27th in total rushing (137.5) and last in pass yards/play at 8.37. 
  • Washington's 26.9 PPG allowance is fifth-worst in the NFL. This includes allowing 28+ in Weeks 7, 8, 9, and 10 before holding Miami to 16 in Spain.
  • The Commanders are 3-8 against the spread, tied with the Saints for the worst ATS record in the league. 

Broncos vs. Commanders Picks for NFL DFS & PrizePicks

Here are three Broncos vs. Commanders player picks for Week 13 for PrizePicks' real-money NFL game, including Broncos QB Bo Nix and WR Troy Franklin and Commanders WR Deebo Samuel. 

Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more — to win real money this NFL season if you're right.

Broncos QB Bo Nix Projection vs. Commanders: 230.5 Pass Yards

  • Broncos QB Bo Nix has passed for 225+ yards in five games this season, while failing to reach 200 in the other five.  
  • Nix did not throw a TD pass in Week 11 vs. the Chiefs, breaking a streak of 19 consecutive games with at least 1 passing TD.
  • During that span, 12 of the 19 games featured 2+ TD passes, with a career-high 4 in Week 8 vs. Dallas.
  • The Denver QB’s passer rating is 86.1, just 23rd among qualified QBs. 
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Broncos WR Troy Franklin Projection vs. Commanders: 44.5 Rec Yards

  • Broncos WR Troy Franklin has received 8+ targets in five straight games and in seven of 11 games this year. 
  • Franklin had 84 yards in Week 11 vs. KC, his third-highest total of 2025. He had 89 yards on 6 catches in Week 8 vs. Lions and 89 yards Week 2 vs. the Colts. 
  • Franklin has seen a 60%+ snap count in each of the last four games. 
  • The Broncos’ second-year man has 5 TDs, tied for 17th among all WRs.

Commanders WR Deebo Samuel Projection vs. Broncos: 37.5 Rec Yards

  • Commanders WR Deebo Samuel has seen 5+ targets in seven straight and nine of 10 games this season. He's logged 4+ receptions in three straight and eight of 10 games.
  • He has gone over 40 receiving yards in six of his 10 outings.
  • Samuel has a TD in each of the last two games. He's tied with Franklin with 5 receiving TDs on the year.
  • Per SumerSports, among WRs with 50+ routes in 2025, Samuel's 26.15% target share ranks 16th.

Make Week 13 Football Picks on PrizePicks

Can the AFC West-leading Broncos extend their winning streak to nine games and stay in front of a crowded division, or will the Commanders return from Spain and end a six-game losing streak?

As the NFL season enters its 13th week, there's no better place to get real-money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks. There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals.

Just select at least two players and predict More or Less on their stats. Check out the Playbook throughout the NFL season for more predictions for your PrizePicks and NFL DFS Lineups.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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