Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Winner, NHL Game 4 Picks – 5/26/26

May 26, 2026

4 min read

AP Photo/Mark J. Terrill
NHL

The Colorado Avalanche and Vegas Golden Knights clash in Game 4 of their NHL Playoffs series on Tuesday, May 26, with puck drop set for 9:00 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Avalanche are favored to win, returning a 1.78x payout if they do so, via PrizePicks. 

After winning their first six games and only losing once in the first two rounds, the Avalanche, who had the most points in the NHL this season, have dropped the first three games to the Golden Knights. Vegas, meanwhile, has won five straight games and would win the West for the third time in only nine seasons of existence with a triumph in Game 4.

Below, we’ll break down our Avalanche vs. Golden Knights prediction and picks for Tuesday’s NHL game, including the puck line, over/under, and top player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Avalanche vs. Golden Knights picks for Game 4 on PrizePicks now.

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Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Prediction, Winner, Over/Under for Game 4 – Tuesday, May 26

History isn't on the Avs' side entering Game 4, as only four teams have rallied to win a series after falling behind 3-0. Colorado earned the Presidents’ Trophy for most points in the regular season, but the last Trophy winner to win it all did so in 2013. 

Colorado held a 3-0 lead in Game 3, looking like it was getting back in the series after losing the first two at home. The Avs were 74-1 in the postseason when holding a 3-0 lead, and Vegas had never rallied from one in 19 previous attempts. Sure enough, Vegas started its comeback with a short-handed goal and scored 5 unanswered ones. 

The Golden Knights, who advanced to the Cup Final in their first season in 2018 and won it all in 2023, are 11-4 in the postseason despite being outshot in 11 of the 15 games. Vegas has the top two point scorers in the postseason in Mitch Marner and Jack Eichel. 

Per moneypuck.com, the team's xGoals% in 5-on-5 situations is ninth among postseason teams, and their Goal% is eighth. 

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Winner Payout, Over/Under for Game 4 – Tuesday, May 26

The Avalanche enter Tuesday’s Game 4 as road favorites against the Golden Knights, returning a 1.78x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for Avalanche vs. Golden Knights on PrizePicks.

  • Puck Line: Colorado Avalanche -1.5 (2.85x payout)
  • Over/Under: 6.5 (2.04x payout on Over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Avalanche 1.78x | Golden Knights 1.96x
Play the Avalanche vs. Golden Knights winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Colorado Avalanche vs. Vegas Golden Knights Timeline

Here is the full Avalanche vs. Golden Knights timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.

All-Time: Golden Knights, 21-20

Regular Season: Avalanche, 2-1

Series: Golden Knights, 3-0

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Western Conference Finals Timeline, Schedule

  • Game 1: Golden Knights 4-2
  • Game 2: Golden Knights, 3-1
  • Game 3: Golden Knights, 5-3
  • Game 4: Tuesday, May 26, 9:00 p.m. at Vegas
  • Game 5-7 if necessary

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Prediction on Winner for NHL Playoffs, Game 4 – 5/26/26

Here are the key stats and trends behind our Avalanche vs. Golden Knights prediction on the winner for Tuesday, May 26.

Lock in your Avalanche vs. Golden Knights prediction on PrizePicks.
  • Colorado has an xGoals of 57.45% in 5-on-5 situations, third-best of all teams this postseason. 
  • The Avs haven’t lost four games in a row since mid-October. Two of those losses were in OT, and one was a shootout. The last time they lost four straight games in regulation was the first four of the 2024–25 season. 
  • Colorado’s 3.63 goals per game in the regular season led the NHL. They entered the Conference Finals leading all teams but have since fallen to third behind Vegas and Minnesota.
  • The Golden Knights are 5-2 at home this postseason, winning two of three vs. Utah, two of three vs. Anaheim, and Game 3 vs. Colorado on Sunday night. 
  • Vegas has scored 3.73 goals per game in the postseason, more than any other team. The Golden Knights have 12 goals in three games vs. the Avs and 29 goals over the last seven games.
  • The Golden Knights' Goal% of 59.26% is second-best in the postseason.

Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/26/26

Here are the top Avalanche vs. Golden Knights picks to target in Game 4 of the NHL Playoffs on PrizePicks for Tuesday, May 26. Today’s NHL picks include C Jack Eichel and G Carter Hart.

Get a Payout Boost every night of the NHL Playoffs on PrizePicks.

Golden Knights C Jack Eichel vs. Avalanche: 0.5 Points

  • Golden Knights C Jack Eichel has 18 points in the postseason, second among all players. His 16 assists are the most by two. 
  • Eichel has points in 11 of 14 postseason games, recording multiple points in six of them.
  • Twelve of Eichel’s 18 points have been on 5-on-5, which is tied for second-most in the postseason. 
  • The former No. 2 overall pick was 13th in the NHL this season with 90 points. 
Add Jack Eichel to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Golden Knights G Carter Hart vs. Avalanche: 29.5 Saves

  • Golden Knights goalie Carter Hart has 30+ saves in five straight games and in six of the past seven.    
  • Hart’s .922 goals against average is fourth-best in the postseason and second-best among goalies who played more than four games.
  • Hart owns a 7.5 goals saved above expected, which is fourth among postseason goalies.
  • The Avalanche are averaging 33.1 shots per game in the postseason and 34.0 against Hart. 
Add Carter Hart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Avalanche vs. Golden Knights Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks

Can the Avalanche stay alive and get the series back to Colorado for Game 5, or will Vegas complete the sweep and advance to their third Stanley Cup Final?

Don’t wait until lock — make your Avalanche vs. Golden Knights picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states. 

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David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.