Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev Prediction for Wimbledon Semifinals – Friday, July 10

Alexander Zverev and Arthur Fery are both first-time Wimbledon semifinalists, but their career resumes couldn’t be any more different as they meet in Thursday's Wimbledon's men's semifinal.

Zverev is the world No. 3 and has been a major finalist at all three other majors. He just won his first Grand Slam title at the 2026 French Open and should be a threat to win more major titles in the years to come.

On the other hand, Fery hasn't even played in the main draw at two of the four Grand Slams, and this Wimbledon appearance came via a wild card. The young Brit is ranked outside the top 100, and his previous best Wimbledon result was reaching the second round in 2025.

Unsurprisingly, the far more accomplished Zverev is a sizable favorite according to PrizePicks, where Fery has a 5.26x payout to win. Will the German advance to his second straight major final, or will Fery keep his — ahem — fairy-tale run going? 

Below, we’ll break down our Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev prediction for the 2026 Wimbledon semifinal, including recent form, match analysis, and a PrizePicks tennis pick. The Fery vs. Zverev match is scheduled to start at 8:30 a.m. ET. Friday’s Wimbledon coverage is on ESPN and the ESPN App.

Make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks for Friday’s matches now!

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Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev Favorite for Wimbledon Semifinals

Below are the payouts for who will win Friday’s Fery vs. Zverev Wimbledon semifinal match, via PrizePicks Team Picks. 

Zverev is currently a clear favorite to win and advance to Sunday's final over Fery.

Arthur Fery: 5.26x to win
Alexander Zverev: 1.13x to win

On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.

Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.

Arthur Fery vs. Alexander Zverev Wimbledon Prediction – Friday, July 10

Match Winner Payouts: Fery 5.26x | Zverev 1.13x
Tournament Round: Semifinals
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Fery 4-4 | Zverev 38-10
Head-to-Head Record: First Career Meeting
Scheduled Time: 8:30 a.m. ET
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN App

After grinding out back-to-back five-setters, Arthur Fery’s Cinderella run looked like it might finally come to a close with world No. 10 Flavio Cobolli on tap in the quarterfinals. Cobolli wasn’t long removed from finishing runner-up at this year’s French Open, so it was logical to assume the moment wouldn’t be too big for him.

Instead, it was Cobolli who wilted under the pressure, and Fery would ride the home crowd to a 6-4, 7-6(4), 6-0 victory.

The 23-year-old Brit is now just the fourth wild card in the Open Era to reach a major semifinal.

However, Zverev could be the guy who finally spoils all the fun.

He’s coming off a dominant straight-sets victory over world No. 7 Taylor Fritz, breaking a seven-match losing streak to the American.

While grass has historically been the German’s “worst” surface, most players would gladly take his career 66.7% win percentage on it. Zverev’s also no stranger to playing in the late stages of Grand Slams, as this will be his 12th major semifinal. 

Meanwhile, the inexperienced Fery entered Wimbledon with a 4-4 tour-level record in 2026 and a career 4-5 record in tour-level grass-court matches. He had previously never reached even the third round at a major. 

Although Fery beat Cobolli in straight sets, his four other matches have gone four or five sets. In contrast, Zverev has mostly breezed through his draw, dropping two sets all tournament.

Zverev easily has the far bigger serve, which isn’t surprising given the height difference between Fery (5’9”) and Zverev (6’6”). 

At this tournament, the German has tallied 78 aces while winning 81% of his first-serve points and 59% of his second-serve points, compared to the Brit, who has recorded just 32 aces while winning 73% and 56% of those points, respectively. 

It’s been a dream tournament for Fery, but it’s possible the magic finally runs out on Friday as Zverev looks to go for back-to-back Grand slam titles.

Make your Fery vs. Zverev Wimbledon prediction on PrizePicks now!

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Fery vs. Zverev Pick for Wimbledon Semifinals

Fery vs. Zverev Pick — 35.5 Total Games

Dating back to 2020, Zverev is 21-1 against opponents ranked outside the top 100 in majors.

According to Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, Zverev is the tour’s fourth-best player on grass. Fery ranks 106th on the surface.

This will be the second time Fery has ever gone up against a top-five opponent. The only other time was at the 2023 Australian Open, where he lost to Daniil Medvedev 7-5, 6-4, 6-3.

Three of the last four Zverev matches have gone 31 total games or fewer.

Make Your Wimbledon Predictions on PrizePicks

Alexander Zverev is a heavy favorite against Arthur Fery, but the latter has defied expectations throughout this Wimbledon. Can the Brit take advantage of his home-court advantage and pull off a David vs. Goliath upset and advance to the Wimbledon Final?

Don’t wait until today’s Wimbledon semifinal matches start — make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks now.

Pick your players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!

Stay locked in on Playbook for daily Wimbledon predictions, tennis picks, and PrizePicks analysis throughout the tournament.