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Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction, Spread, Picks: Amari Allen, More

Alabama F Amari Allen dribbles a basketball in a CBB game.
AP Photo/Butch Dill

Two teams sitting behind the defending champion Florida Gators atop the SEC hook up for a huge battle on Wednesday.

The Alabama Crimson Tide (18-7) seek their fifth consecutive win after taking care of South Carolina, 89-75 on Saturday. 

The Arkansas Razorbacks (19-6) ride a three-game hot streak following double-digit victories over Mississippi State (88-68), LSU (91-62), and Auburn (88-75). 

Let’s look at the Arkansas vs. Alabama spread prediction for Wednesday’s showdown at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

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Arkansas vs. Alabama Prediction, Spread, Picks

The tide has been in Alabama’s favor in this series, winning five straight meetings since 2022.

In head coach John Calipari’s first season with Arkansas last year, the Razorbacks came up short in an 85-81 home defeat, but managed a cover as 5-point underdogs.

The Razorbacks are 3-0 against the spread (ATS) in the past three matchups with all three losses coming by 4 or fewer points.


Arkansas vs. Alabama Over/Under, Spread

The Crimson Tide enter this matchup as 3.5-point favorites, returning a 1.49x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Razorbacks are road underdogs with a 2.38x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Alabama -3.5
  • Over/Under: 181.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Arkansas 2.38x | Alabama 1.49x

(Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change)


Arkansas vs. Alabama Numbers to Know

Here are some stats to know to get you set for Arkansas vs. Alabama tonight, including insights on our Arkansas vs. Alabama prediction.

  • In the last nine games, the Razorbacks are 6-3 ATS with all six covers coming in the favorite role.
  • In non-conference action, Arkansas covered in three of five opportunities as an underdog. The Hogs have lost in their last two dog chances against Georgia (90-76) and Auburn (95-73).
  • Since covering against Kentucky in the SEC opener, Alabama has slumped to a 4-7 ATS mark the past 11 games. Two of those defeats came as a favorite against Texas (92-88) and Tennessee (79-73).
  • Head coach Nate Oats’ squad has cashed one ticket in the last five at home, routing Missouri, 90-64 on January 27.
  • Arkansas ranks first in SEC play in effective field goal percentage (57.2%) and 2-point percentage (60.2%).
  • The Razorbacks shot 60% or higher on EFG% five times in conference action, but four of those came at home.
  • Alabama runs the fastest pace in the country for the second straight season. 
  • The Tide put up at least 80 points in 10 SEC games, going 8-2. In all three of Arkansas’ conference losses, it allowed 85 or more points.
  • In seven of Arkansas’ nine conference victories, the Hogs yielded 80 or less points.
  • Last season’s four-point win by Alabama was a bit misleading. The Tide led, 75-57 with 6:29 remaining before Arkansas outscored Alabama, 24-10 down the stretch to make the final more respectable.

Arkansas vs. Alabama CBB Player Picks

Here are three top Arkansas vs. Alabama picks to target on Wednesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Alabama G Labaron Philon, Jr., Arkansas G Darius Acuff, Jr., and Alabama F Amari Allen.

Alabama G Labaron Philon, Jr. vs. Arkansas Projection: 22.5 Points

  • The sophomore has more than doubled his scoring average from last season (10.1 PPG), putting up 21.3 PPG.
  • In the last six games, Philon compiled at least 20 points only once, posting a 25-point effort in a 96-92 win over Auburn.
  • He shot well in Saturday’s victory against South Carolina, hitting 5-of-8 shots from the floor, including 4-of-7 from deep for 19 points.
  • In six SEC home contests, Philon failed to reach this projection five times, averaging 19.6 PPG.

Arkansas G Darius Acuff Jr. vs. Alabama Projection: 23.5 Points

  • The freshman leads the Razorbacks in scoring at 21.2 PPG, while shooting 50.3% from the floor.
  • The Detroit native tied a season-high with 31 points against Auburn last Saturday. He knocked down 7-of-10 shots from downtown, improving to 43.2% from 3-point range. 
  • Acuff hit this projection in each of the last three games, averaging 27.6 PPG.
  • In five of six home conference games, he scored at least 20 points. However, he topped 24 points three times in six opportunities.

Alabama F Amari Allen vs. Arkansas Projection: 21.5 Pts+Rebs

  • Another standout freshman hitting the court averages 11.5 PPG and 7.5 rebounds per game (RPG).
  • Allen finished below this projection in five of the last six outings. He scored 17 points and grabbed 6 rebounds against Auburn on February 7, but averaged 10.0 PPG and 7.2 RPG in the other five games. 
  • In all four home SEC games, Allen hasn’t reached 22 points+rebounds. 
  • The Green Bay native has performed well from long distance lately, hitting 8-of-15 attempts the last three games.

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Make Arkansas vs. Alabama CBB Picks on PrizePicks

Arkansas will remain in second place of the SEC with a victory at Alabama. The Tide can pull into a tie with the Razorbacks at 9-4, while extending their winning streak over Arkansas to six games.

There’s never been a better time to add to the excitement of every CBB moment than with PrizePicks.

There are hundreds of player stat projections on the CBB board for every game; just pick at least two player stat projections to build your Lineup on PrizePicks. Or, make your picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states!

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more CBB picks, predictions, and news every day.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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