Aces vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, WNBA Picks – Sunday, August 9

August 9, 2026

WNBA
AP Photo/Adam Hunger
Liberty F Breanna Stewart looks to pass the ball during a game vs. the Sun.

The Las Vegas Aces vs. New York Liberty game is set to tip off at 12:30 p.m. ET on Sunday, August 9, televised on ABC. According to PrizePicks Team Picks, the Liberty enter as 9.5-point favorites on the spread, with a 1.25x payout if they win.

The Aces (22-10) head to Brooklyn with no rest after falling at Minnesota on Saturday, 98-87. Las Vegas has split the first four contests of its five-game road trip, as the Aces fell to third place overall in the WNBA.

The Liberty (19-13) have caught fire lately, winning six of their last seven games, fresh off a pair of home victories over the lowly Storm.

Below, we'll break down our Aces vs. Liberty prediction and picks for Sunday's WNBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

Make your Aces vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now!

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Aces vs. Liberty Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, August 9

The Liberty knocked off the Aces in the Commissioner’s Cup championship, 93-85, on June 30. New York won the first two meetings over Las Vegas before the Aces outlasted the Liberty, 104-99, on July 30 as 4.5-point home favorites.

Las Vegas owns a terrific 9-1 record off a loss this season after shooting 43% from the floor in Saturday’s 11-point setback at Minnesota. 

However, the Aces may be without one or more stars on Sunday as C A’ja Wilson, G Chelsea Gray, and G Jackie Young are listed as questionable on the back-to-back.

Since losing by 20 points at Indiana on July 18, the Liberty scored 90+ points in seven consecutive games. The lone setback in this stretch came to the Aces in late July, but New York rebounded with three straight wins over the Mercury and Storm.

The Liberty dropped 92 points on Seattle in Wednesday’s home triumph, but New York was held to 44% shooting from the floor, including 24% from deep.


Aces vs. Liberty Spread, Over/Under – Sunday, August 9

The Liberty enter Sunday’s game as 9.5-point home favorites against the Aces, returning a 1.25x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Here are the full payouts for the Aces vs. Liberty game on PrizePicks.

Team Winner Spread Over/Under
LV Aces 3.7x +9.5 | 1.75x o177.5 | 1.72x
NY Liberty 1.25x -9.5 | 2x u177.5 | 2.04x
Make your Aces vs. Liberty prediction on the spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 36 states!

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Aces vs. Liberty Injury Report for Sunday, August 9

Let’s dive into the full Aces vs. Liberty injury report for Sunday, August 9, via WNBA.com.

Las Vegas Aces Injury Report

  • G Chelsea Gray (rest) - Questionable
  • G Justine Pissott (leg) - Questionable
  • C A’ja Wilson (rest) - Questionable
  • G Jackie Young (rest) - Questionable

New York Liberty Injury Report

  • F Leonie Fiebich (leg) - OUT
  • F Satou Sabally (concussion) - OUT

Aces vs. Liberty Prediction on Winner – 8/9/26

Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Aces vs. Liberty prediction on the winner for Sunday, August 9, in the WNBA game on ABC.

  • The Liberty have covered the spread once in the last nine games, including seven non-covers in the favorite role.
  • Las Vegas has split a pair of games with no rest this season. The Aces slaughtered the Sparks, 105-78, but lost at home to the Fever, 109-75.
  • The Aces knocked down 10 3-pointers in Saturday’s loss to the Lynx. Since June 15, Las Vegas has averaged 5.14 treys per game across seven contests following an outing with at least 10 converted shots from downtown.
  • According to WNBA.com, the Aces yielded their fourth-highest effective field goal percentage (eFG%) to Minnesota at 58.6%. In the first three games against New York, Las Vegas allowed 52.3%, 56.2%, and 57.4% eFG% totals.
  • The Liberty rank fourth in offensive rating (111.3), but that number slips to 107.8 at home.
  • Each team is giving up 35% shooting from 3-point range, while New York has allowed a league-worst 41.7% from downtown in the last eight games.
Lock in your Aces vs. Liberty prediction on PrizePicks before today’s WNBA game.

Aces vs. Liberty Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks – 8/9/26

Here are the top Aces vs. Liberty picks to target on PrizePicks for Sunday, August 9. Today’s WNBA picks for PrizePicks include A’ja Wilson and Breanna Stewart.

Aces C A’ja Wilson vs. Liberty: 34.5 Pts+Rebs

  • The two-time reigning MVP is coming off her second-lowest combined points and rebounds effort of the season (24) against Minnesota. 
  • Wilson missed the Commissioner’s Cup loss to New York due to injury but torched the Liberty for 33 points and 10 rebounds in the July 30 win.
  • She failed to hit this projection in four of her first five road games but has eclipsed this in nine of the last 13 away outings.  
  • According to PropsMadness, Wilson reached 35 points and rebounds in 11 of the last 13 games against teams ranked ninth or lower in defensive rating (Liberty are 10th).
Add A’ja Wilson to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Liberty F Breanna Stewart vs. Aces: 21.5 Points

  • Stewart lit up her former team in the past two victories, scoring 24 and 28 points against Seattle.
  • Since June 30, the ex-UConn star is averaging 25.3 PPG, while hitting this projection in 10 of 13 opportunities.
  • In the first win over the Aces on June 23, Stewart was held to 20 points. In the past two matchups with Las Vegas, she posted 25 and 26 points while shooting 53% from the floor.
  • Stewart compiled 27.7 PPG in the last five games facing teams in the top six of defensive rating (Aces are sixth).
Add Breanna Stewart to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Make Your Aces vs. Liberty Prediction on PrizePicks

We’ll see how the Aces respond on the second of a back-to-back with a quick turnaround at New York. The Liberty will look to take advantage and help themselves in the tight WNBA playoff standings heading into the final 12 games of the regular season.

Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Aces vs. Liberty picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.

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Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.