2026 U.S. Open Cut Line Projections: 3 Picks to Make or Miss the Cut

The 2026 U.S. Open got underway on Thursday at Shinnecock Hills on Long Island. However, due to a two-hour fog delay less than an hour into Round 1, 50 golfers — including leader Wyndham Clark (-6), did not finish the round. 

The remaining 50 golfers will finish Round 1 early Friday morning, then all 155 golfers will follow with second-round play. Following the conclusion of Friday’s Round 2, the U.S. Open cut line will be set, with the top 60 golfers and ties making the cut to play the weekend, while the others will go home. 

Below, we’ll break down the U.S. Open cut line projections and give three golfer picks to make or miss the cut when Friday’s Round 2 is complete, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

Make 2026 U.S. Open picks to Make or Miss the Cut on PrizePicks!

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2026 U.S. Open Cut Line Projections Entering Round 2

As of the Round 1 stoppage in play on Thursday night, 71 golfers were at +2 or better and inside the cut line at the U.S. Open.

However, with 50 players still needing to finish the first round due to the delay, then 155 golfers playing an additional 18 holes for Friday’s second round, the U.S. Open cut line will move before Friday’s Round 2 has ended.

According to datagolf.com’s live projection model, there is a less than 10% chance the U.S. Open cut line stays at +2. The model has the cut line at +3 at 22.6% chance, +4 at 41.8%, and +5 at 25.7% chance. 

Let's get into some of the golfers who could make or miss the U.S. Open cut line on Friday evening, with payout multipliers via PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

U.S. Open Picks to Make or Miss the Cut After Round 2

Here are three golfers to consider for your U.S. Open golf picks to make or miss Friday’s cut line on PrizePicks Team Picks. Also listed are payouts for each golfer to make or miss the cut. 

Xander Schauffele

Xander Schauffele U.S. Open Made Cut Payout:  Yes 1.31x | No 2.17x

• Xander Schauffele birdied two of the first three holes on Thursday to take a brief lead at the U.S. Open. 
• He bogeyed four of seven holes between the 7th and 13th holes before play was stopped.
• The two-time major champion has made the cut in all nine U.S. Open appearances, finishing in the top 15 all nine times. 
• On Thursday, Schauffele gained 0.61 shots off the tee (43rd) and 0.93 shots putting (55th), but lost 0.62 shots on approach (108th).
• In 2018, Schauffele finished in sixth place when the U.S. Open was last held at Shinnecock Hills. 

Pick Xander Schauffele to make the 2026 U.S. Open Cut Line on PrizePicks

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Scottie Scheffler

Scottie Scheffler U.S. Open Made Cut Payout:  Yes 1.09 | No 6.25x

• Scottie Scheffler finished Thursday’s first round at 2-over par 72, with a round that included 4 birdies, 4 bogeys, and a double-bogey. 
• The 4-time major champion, who is trying to become the seventh golfer to complete the career Grand Slam, hit 12 of 14 fairways, but only 9 of 18 greens. 
• Per golf researcher Justin Ray, it’s the first time in Scheffler’s career in which he's hit fewer than 11 greens when hitting so many fairways.
• The world No. 1 golfer has made the cut in his last five U.S. Opens and in each of his last 16 majors. 
• Struggling in the first round is no surprise this season, as Scheffler is 51st in first-round scoring. However, he is second on Tour in second round scoring.

Pick Scottie Scheffler to make the 2026 U.S. Open cut line on PrizePicks

Justin Rose

Justin Rose U.S. Open Made Cut Payout:  Yes 1.81x | No 1.85x

• Justin Rose was at 3-over par when the first round was stopped, right at the U.S. Open cut line. 
• The 2012 U.S. Open champion gained strokes off the tee, on approach, and around the greens, but lost 1.19 strokes to the field putting, 120th in the field. 
• Rose missed the cut at last week’s RBC Canadian Open, and finished outside the top 40 at the Truist and Cadillac Championship. 
• Rose has struggled in the second round this year, averaging a 71.00, which is 119th on Tour. 

Pick Justin Rose to make or miss U.S. Open cut line on PrizePicks

Make 2026 U.S. Open Golf Picks on PrizePicks

Will Xander Schauffele make it 10-for-10 in making the cut at the U.S. Open on Friday? Will world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler rebound from a tough Round 1 and make it to the weekend as he hunts for a Grand Slam?

You can make your 2026 U.S. Open golf picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick golfers, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct on every round of the U.S. Open.

With Team Picks, make predictions on U.S. Open golf outright winners, top 10s, golfers to make or miss the cut, and more — now available in 35 states, including Florida, California, and Texas!

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