Our Wimbledon predictions for Day 6 matches on Saturday, July 4, include Amanda Anisimova vs. Madison Keys, Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik, and Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini.
This Fourth of July features an all-American women’s match between Anisimova and Keys, and USA's Tiafoe will be in action on the men’s side in a potential thriller against Bublik. We should also see some fireworks between Dimitrov and Berrettini.
Below, we’ll break down our top Wimbledon predictions for Saturday’s Day 6 matches, including winner payouts, key stats, and three third-round match predictions for PrizePicks on July 4.
Make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks for Saturday’s matches now!
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2026 Wimbledon Predictions, Tennis Picks – Saturday, July 4 (Day 6)
Before we get into our Wimbledon predictions for Saturday, here’s a quick look at the three matches we’re focusing on and the consensus favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks — where you can pick winners on each match.
Amanda Anisimova vs. Madison Keys — Third Round
- Anisimova – 2.32x payout | Keys – 1.58x payout
Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik — Third Round
- Tiafoe – 1.81x payout | Bublik – 1.92x payout
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini — Third Round
- Dimitrov – 2.04x payout | Berrettini – 1.69x payout
On PrizePicks Team Picks, a 2x payout represents a return of $200 on a $100 entry (or $20 on $10). A lower payout multiplier signals a higher implied probability of that result based on user picks.
Payouts are live at the time of writing and are subject to change. Tennis winner markets are available in 35 states.
Amanda Anisimova vs. Madison Keys Wimbledon Prediction — Saturday, July 4
Match Winner Payouts: Anisimova 2.32x | Keys 1.58x
Tournament Round: Third Round
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Anisimova 14-8 | Keys 26-10
Head-to-Head Record: Anisimova Leads 1-0
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN App
World No. 22 Madison Keys takes on world No. 6 Amanda Anisimova in a battle between Americans, and it’s actually the lower-ranked player who’s favored.
Keys has enjoyed an excellent grass season, one that includes winning the title at Eastbourne. It’s her third career Eastbourne title and her fourth overall on grass.
Including this Wimbledon, she’s now 9-1 in grass matches this season. Keys is a two-time Wimbledon quarterfinalist and has reached at least the fourth round in three of her last four tries.
Anisimova was last year’s Wimbledon runner-up, though, so she certainly shouldn’t be overlooked.
She played only two grass matches ahead of coming here, instead opting for rest and a mental break at home. The time off seemed to pay immediate dividends after she demolished Lina Gjocheska in the first round 6-3, 6-2.
However, things were much dicier in the second against Sofia Kenin, who surprisingly pushed Anisimova to a deciding set despite coming into the tournament with only four wins in 2026. She would ultimately gut out a 6-2, 4-6, 7-6(3) victory.
Anisimova suffered a wrist injury in the spring that caused her to miss nearly the entire clay swing, so her overall health and form are difficult to gauge, particularly after her narrow win over Kenin.
That being said, she was a two-time major finalist in 2025 and reached the quarterfinals at this year’s Australian Open, so we know the ceiling is high when she’s fit. Anisimova is also 1-0 versus Keys, defeating her at last year’s WTA Finals.
With that in mind, Anisimova could give Keys trouble despite being the underdog.
Make your Anisimova vs. Keys prediction on PrizePicks now!
Amanda Anisimova vs. Madison Keys Pick for Wimbledon on Saturday
Anisimova vs. Keys Pick — 22.5 Total Games
Both Americans possess strong games on grass. Keys has won 74.7% of her career tour-level grass matches, and Anisimova is no slouch at 68.6%. Both have also won over 70% of their main-draw matches at Wimbledon.
Per Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, Keys ranks eighth on grass, but Anisimova isn’t far behind at 19th.
In their lone head-to-head meeting, Anisimova came from behind to win in three sets (4-6, 6-3, 6-2) across 27 total games.
Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik Wimbledon Prediction — Saturday, July 4
Match Winner Payouts: Tiafoe 1.81x | Bublik 1.92x
Tournament Round: Third Round
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Tiafoe 29-12 | Bublik 20-14
Head-to-Head Record: Tied 2-2
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN App
Frances Tiafoe is one win away from matching his best result at Wimbledon, a fourth-round appearance in 2022.
Tiafoe is in the midst of a strong stretch on grass, as he was the Halle champion ahead of coming here and is now 9-1 on the surface in 2026. He boasts a career 59.6% win rate on grass, which is actually his best mark across the three surfaces.
Like Tiafoe, Alexander Bublik is also a win away from tying his best showing at the All England Club (fourth round in 2023).
He split his warm-up matches on grass 2-2, but this is easily Bublik’s best surface. While he’s roughly a .500 player on hard courts and clay, he has a rock-solid 64.5% win rate on grass.
As the match winner payouts would suggest, this looks to be a very even bout between these two, and they’re 2-2 in their career head-to-head.
Make your Tiafoe vs. Bublik prediction on PrizePicks now!
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Frances Tiafoe vs. Alexander Bublik Pick for Wimbledon on Saturday
Tiafoe vs. Bublik Pick — 41.5 Total Games
Tiafoe has dropped a set in both of his Wimbledon wins thus far. Bublik went five sets in the first round, and while he won in straight sets in the second, the final set was decided by a tiebreak.
Among the top 50 players, Tiafoe has logged the second-most tiebreaks (27) this season while Bublik’s tallied the ninth-most (21).
In Tennis Abstract’s Elo ratings, these two are neck and neck on grass, with the American ranked ninth and the Kazakhstani player ranked 10th.
In the two matches Tiafoe and Bublik have played on grass, both players have won a set. They faced one another at 2022 Wimbledon, and Tiafoe won 3-6, 7-6(1),7-6(3), 6-4 over 45 total games.
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini Prediction for Wimbledon — Saturday, July 4
Match Winner Payouts: Dimitrov 2.04x | Berrettini 1.69x
Tournament Round: Third Round
2026 Record Entering Wimbledon: Dimitrov 4-9 | Berrettini 12-10
Head-to-Head Record: Tied 1-1
How to Watch: ESPN/ESPN App
Grigor Dimitrov showed he’s still got something left in the tank at 35 years old, taking out 2026 French Open semifinalist Jakub Mensik in the last round.
The result is all the more noteworthy because of how poorly Dimitrov’s season has otherwise gone, as shown by his 4-9 tour-level record.
As a refresher, Dimitrov was playing lights-out tennis at Wimbledon in 2025, and he carried a two-set lead over Jannik Sinner in the fourth round before a heartbreaking pectoral injury forced him to retire from the match.
Dimitrov is a win away from his fourth straight Wimbledon fourth-round appearance, but he now draws another difficult opponent in Matteo Berrettini.
Berrettini is playing some of the best tennis we've seen from him in a while, coming off a quarterfinal run at the French Open before notching Wimbledon wins over Stan Wawrinka and Arthur Fils.
Grass is historically Berrettini’s best surface, as he entered with a pristine 42-12 career grass record (77.8% win rate). Injuries have prevented him from properly preparing for Wimbledon in recent years, leading to early exits in 2024 and 2025, but he finished runner-up in 2021.
Dimitrov probably shouldn’t be overlooked after his win over Mensik, but his age and overall form this season raise concerns, and a healthy Berrettini could be tough to beat on this surface.
Make your Dimitrov vs. Berrettini prediction on PrizePicks now!
Grigor Dimitrov vs. Matteo Berrettini Pick for Wimbledon on Saturday
Dimitrov vs. Berrettini Pick — 40.5 Total Games
Berrettini’s first two matches have each gone four sets, resulting in 52 and 40 total games. Dimitrov’s last match was a four-setter that went 44 total games.
Dating back to 2023, seven of Berrettini’s last nine Wimbledon matches have gone to four or five sets.
Although Dimitrov doesn’t have quite as high a career tour-level win percentage as Berrettini on grass, he sports a still very good 59.3% win rate on grass and a 62.5% win rate at Wimbledon. And while he has a poor tour-level record this year, he’s now 7-2 across all levels on grass in 2026.
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Make Your Wimbledon Predictions Today on PrizePicks
Things are heating up as we wrap up the third round with some standout matchups, and Americans Amanda Anisimova, Madison Keys, and Frances Tiafoe will all be in action.
Grigor Dimitrov and Matteo Berrettini will be last on Centre Court and could give us the match of the day if both continue to play at a high level.
Don’t wait until the Day 6 matches start — make your Wimbledon predictions on PrizePicks now.
Pick players, predict More or Less on their stats like games won or aces, or make match winner predictions with Team Picks, available in 35 states!
Stay locked in on Playbook for daily Wimbledon predictions, tennis picks, and PrizePicks analysis throughout the tournament.
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