As has been the case with every New England rusher since the days of Sam "Bam" Cunningham, Patriots RB TreVeyon Henderson could cause headaches for fantasy managers.
On the plus side, while the former OSU standout's rookie season has been a roller coaster, he’s become a consistent fantasy contributor at the perfect time.
We’ll dive into Henderson’s projections for Sunday’s battle against the Bills at PrizePicks and highlight whether to start or sit New England’s emerging halfback.
Week 15 RB Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em: Will Henderson Keep Rolling?
Let’s look at Henderson’s statistics and matchup for Week 15, circling whether to start or sit the Pats’ emerging RB.
Why Start TreVeyon Henderson?
The former second-round pick’s recent stats make a strong case for a start.
Since Week 9, Henderson has posted 15.2 rushing attempts, 79.4 rushing yards, 3.2 receptions, and 20.0 receiving yards per game during the span. For context, the gritty back logged only 6.6 carries, 28.5 rushing yards, 2.0 catches, and 12.4 receiving yards per contest over his first eight games.
His 32.3% snap share from Week 1 to 8 has skyrocketed to 72.0% over the previous five matchups. Former Pats RB1 Rhamondre Stevenson was active for Week 12 and 13’s contests, in which Henderson still recorded a 57.4% snap rate.
The Bills’ rush defense is a clear weakness, surrendering 5.1 yards per rushing attempt (29th in the league) and 135.2 rushing yards per game (28th). Opposing running backs have averaged 21.3 fantasy points per game against Buffalo (sixth-most) as per Pro Football Reference.
ESPN ranks the Bills in the bottom half of run stop rate, while the Pats are in the top half of run block win rate. Leaning on the ground game will likely be part of New England’s game plan.
PrizePicks Team Picks has Sunday’s total set at 48.5, implying a solid scoring environment. That would further aid Henderson’s fantasy stock — which has included 5 touchdowns since Week 9.
The speedy tailback is projected for 10.5 rushing attempts, 44.5 rushing yards, 2.5 receptions, 16.5 receiving yards, and a 12.0 point fantasy score on PrizePicks, where you can pick More or Less on player stats to win real money if you're right.
Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Verdict: Henderson’s Favorable Matchup Points to Start
Henderson’s early-season underwhelming numbers haven't been forgotten by fantasy managers, but he’s been nothing but productive for his last five clashes, with 19.1 fantasy points per game during the span.
Paired with a favorable matchup against the Bills, Henderson should be a play. Using this knowledge, feel free to head over to and pick More or Less on their stat projections for an opportunity to win real money.
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