The Oklahoma City Thunder (49-15) look to continue their winning ways when they take on the Golden State Warriors (32-30) on Saturday evening.
The Western Conference foes have faced off on three occasions so far this season, with the Thunder coming away with wins in all three contests. Tip-off for Saturday’s matchup is scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on ABC.
Below, we'll break down our Warriors vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Saturday. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals.
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Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Thunder have the best record in the NBA and hold a 2.5-game advantage for first place in the Western Conference. Oklahoma City has been victorious in seven of its last eight games and most recently defeated the New York Knicks 103-100 on Wednesday.
Despite still being without F-G Jalen Williams, the Thunder have still been clicking on all cylinders.
Meanwhile, the Warriors have suffered through some inconsistent play since PG Stephen Curry suffered a knee injury in late January. Golden State has gone just 3-5 across its last eight contests but did top the Houston Rockets 115-113 in overtime on Thursday.
Losing Curry and F Jimmy Butler has certainly limited Golden State’s scoring ability. Still, the Warriors have depended on a backcourt of guards Brandin Podziemski and De’Anthony Melton that has been productive. Podziemski's averaged 18.4 PPG over his last five, while Melton has poured in 17.6 PPG during that span.
Warriors vs. Thunder Over/Under, Spread
The Thunder are 13.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.12x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are road underdogs and return a 6.25x payout if they win outright, per PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -13.5
- Over/Under: 219.5
- Game Winner Payout: Warriors 6.25x | Thunder 1.12x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Warriors vs. Thunder Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Warriors vs. Thunder injury report for Saturday, via NBA.com.
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- SG Seth Curry (back): Questionable
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- G De’Anthony Melton (knee): Questionable
- SG Moses Moody (wrist): OUT
- G-F Gary Payton II (ankle): Probable
- C Kristaps Porzingis (illness): Questionable
- C Will Richard (ankle): Questionable
Oklahoma City Thunder Injury Report
- SG Alex Caruso (hip): OUT
- C Isaiah Hartenstein (calf): OUT
- SG Ajay Mitchell (abdominal, ankle): OUT
- F-G Jalen Williams (hamstring): OUT
Warriors vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Warriors vs. Thunder prediction on the spread for Saturday, March 7, on PrizePicks.
- The Thunder have a 14-16 against-the-spread record as a home favorite, producing a 46.7% cover rate.
- The Warriors are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games.
- Oklahoma City has recorded an average +11.1 scoring differential this season.
- Golden State is shooting 36.0% from beyond the arc, but without Curry, that drops to 33.5%.
- The Thunder allow the fewest fast-break points per game (11.8) in the NBA.
Warriors vs. Thunder Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/7/26
Here are two of the top Warriors vs. Thunder picks to consider for Saturday, March 7. Today's PrizePicks NBA player projections feature C-PF Chet Holmgren and PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander.
Thunder C-PF Chet Holmgren vs. Warriors Projection: 28 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Holmgren has averaged 30.2 points, rebounds, and assists over his last five games.
- The Thunder big man has registered at least 28 PRA in three of his previous six contests.
- Holmgren has 34.0 PRA in three games vs. the Warriors this season.
- Per NBA Advanced Stats, Holmgren secures 38.7% of his contested rebound opportunities.
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Thunder PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Warriors Projection: 6.5 Assists
- Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 8.8 APG over his last five contests.
- The 2024-2025 NBA MVP has logged at least seven assists in six of his 10 games.
- Per databallr, SGA registers 17.7 potential assists per 100 possessions, ranking in the 77th percentile.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged 7.3 APG in three contests vs. the Warriors this campaign.
Make Warriors vs. Thunder Picks on PrizePicks
The Thunder have been on fire lately, with seven wins across their last eight games. Now, Oklahoma City welcomes Golden State to the Paycom Center for a prime-time Western Conference showdown on Saturday.
You can make your Warriors vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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