A month ago, a fair number of fans might have looked at tonight’s Steelers vs. Dolphins matchup and thought, "I wonder how this'll impact my fantasy playoff seeding," and not much else.
How things change, though. The Dolphins have put up four straight wins to sit at 6-7, somehow in the thick of the chasing pack for the playoffs. For their part, the Steelers offense has found new life, dropping 27+ points in three of their last four.
Let’s look at our Dolphins vs. Steelers MNF Picks for PrizePicks for the Monday night battle at Acrisure Stadium, which kicks off at 8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN.
NFL MNF: Steelers vs. Dolphins Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Dolphins have covered the spread three times in their current four-game winning streak. The Steelers have gone 4-1 against the spread in their last five Monday games.
Steelers vs. Dolphins Over/Under, Spread
The Steelers enter this matchup as 3-point favorites, returning a 1.53x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Dolphins are road underdogs with a 2.38x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Pittsburgh Steelers -3
- Total: 42.5
- Game Winner Payout: Dolphins 2.38x | Steelers 1.53x
(Team Picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change)
Steelers vs. Dolphins MNF Picks
Here are three top Steelers vs. Dolphins picks to target on Monday. You can look at key PrizePicks player projections for players like Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell, Dolphins RB De’Von Achane, and Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers.
Steelers RB Kenneth Gainwell Projections vs. Dolphins: 23.5 Receiving Yards
Fantasy football players have been screaming their heads off about it all season, but Gainwell has really stepped up and taken over RB Jaylen Warren's role as the RB1A of this Steelers team. What we mean by this is that the high-value touches that you crave to see your RBs get, like receiving work and goal-line snaps, have become the former Eagles running back’s purview, more often than not.
Gainwell has done very well with these touches. He was always a valuable receiver out of the backfield, showing good burst as a change-of-pace back in Philadelphia with at least 23 receptions in three of his four seasons there, but now has come on as a runner too, ranking tenth in runs that go for 5+ yards this year.
The Dolphins give up the eighth-most receiving yards to RBs on the season, per Lineups, and now get Gainwell, who has had more than 24 receiving yards in five of his last six games and in four straight.
Dolphins RB De’Von Achane Projections vs. Steelers: 80.5 Rush Yards
Achane has been almost a mystical player since arriving in the NFL a couple of years ago. Despite being drafted in the third round and described initially as a gadget-type back that couldn't handle a full workload, he has taken the league by storm with his speed and ability to turn any handoff or dumpoff into a house call. But will the warm-weather back be able to deal with an icy night in the Steel City?
The speedster is dealing with a rib injury that limited him in practice this week, but the Dolphins might tol lean on the run in the cold weather,as QB. Tua Tagovailoa los all five of his career starts in 40 degrees or lower weather, completing under 60% of his passes and throwing for 11 interceptions to 8 touchdowns.
Achane has rushed for more than 80 yards in each of his last four games, and while the Steelers will focus on him, they will be missing key defensive piece T.J. Watt, who is out with a collapsed lung.
Steelers QB Aaron Rodgers Projections vs. Dolphins: 215.5 Pass Yards
The Dolphins have mostly struggled to defend against quarterbacks this season, allowing the ninth-most fantasy points per game to the position.
Rodgers has only had five games this season where he’s had more than 215 pass yards. With cold weather in the forecast and a Dolphins team that has limited wide receivers to the third-fewest receiving yards per game, per Lineups, we could see a lot of running for the Steelers’ duo of Warren and Gainwell and less passing for the 42-year-old Rodgers.
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This Monday night matchup between the Steelers and Dolphins is crucial to both teams’ playoff hopes - which squad will come out on top?
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