Top MLB Home Run Picks Today on PrizePicks – Monday, June 15

To kick off another week of baseball, two-thirds of MLB is in action. Monday night presents a bit of a light schedule in terms of team matchups, but there are still plenty of star players who could produce some highlights under the bright lights. 

Here at PrizePicks, we have plenty of home run projections on the board to add to your MLB picks today. Many hitters have already been singled out by users as popular home run picks for the day’s action.

Let’s dive into some of the most-picked MLB home run projections for Monday, June 15, including what makes each player a potential target for home run predictions. 

Make your MLB home run picks for Monday, June 15 on PrizePicks now.  

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Top Home Run Picks Today – Monday, June 15

Hitting a home run is one of the easiest ways to get a crowd or dugout going, but it’s simultaneously one of the most difficult things for a player to do.

It takes more than just a strong upper body to belt a ball out of the ballpark. Elements like bat speed, launch angle, pitch profile, outfield dimensions, weather, and more go into a batted ball event. Some players naturally put themselves in better positions for dingers than others. Which ones could log a home run on Monday? 

Daily home run projections are listed as Demons on PrizePicks, coming with higher payouts as a result. With that said, home runs can only be selected as “More” than 0.5. 

Let’s take a look at the most popular home run picks today on PrizePicks. Picks are listed at time of writing.

1. Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani
2. Athletics 1B Nick Kurtz
3. Phillies DH Kyle Schwarber
4. Twins CF Byron Buxton
5. Astros DH Yordan Alvarez
6. Nationals OF James Wood
7. Mets LF Juan Soto
8. Angels CF Mike Trout

Three home run picks stand out as potential targets today. Let’s dive into the list, including a weather report from RotoGrinders.

Unless otherwise noted, data used in this article is from Baseball Savant or FanGraphs.

Dodgers DH Shohei Ohtani

Rays vs. Dodgers – 10:00 p.m. ET

Rays Starting Pitcher: Nick Martinez

MLB Weather Report: 72 degrees, clear skies, 9 mph south-southwest wind

• The month of June has been incredibly kind to Ohtani, as he has an .829 SLG and .415 ISO in the first half of it. 
• Year-over-year, Shohei’s squared-up contact rate (+1.0%) and squared-up swing rate (+2.0%) are both up.
• The Japanese superstar is in the 98th percentile in xSLG (.575) and the 96th percentile in average exit velocity (93.8 mph), barrel rate (17.1%), and more.
• In the three years of tracking, this is Martinez’s highest season in blast contact percentage (15.5), which is a squared-up batted ball with high bat speed.
• Martinez resides in just the seventh percentile in whiff rate and the third percentile in strikeout rate, which could mean Ohtani makes plenty of contact on Monday. 

Add Shohei Ohtani to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Athletics 1B Nick Kurtz

Pirates vs. Athletics – 9:40 p.m. ET

Pirates Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones

MLB Weather Report: 89 degrees, clear skies, 11 mph south-southwest wind

• Kurtz’s average exit velocity of 94.1 mph is 1.4 mph higher than his debut campaign in 2025. His hard-hit rate has also increased by 6.2%.
• Not many players swing faster than the reigning American League Rookie of the Year, as his 78.1 mph bat speed is in the 99th percentile.
• Kurtz makes loud contact consistently, evidenced by his 18.0% barrel rate (97th percentile) and .515 xSLG (90th). 
• Jones is surrendering 1.35 HR/9, and his SLG allowed to lefties (.733) is infinitely more alarming than his mark vs. righties (.087) in a limited sample. 
• Nothing about Jones’ average exit velo (89.8 mph), barrel rate (10.3%), or hard-hit clip (46.2%) ceded screams average or better. 

Add Nick Kurtz to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

Angels CF Mike Trout

Angels vs. Diamondbacks – 9:40 p.m. ET

Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson

MLB Weather Report: Played in a dome

• The career renaissance continues for Trout, who is up to 15 HRs on the year and has a .220 ISO to go with a 131 wRC+. 
• Trout's 20.7% barrel rate would be the highest mark of his career, while his 51.7% hard-hit rate is his best since 2023.
• There’s a massive gap between Trout’s expected SLG (.556) and actual SLG (.445), which could lead to some positive regression in the future. 
• Nelson gives up a staggering 2.0 HR/9 in 2026 and has an ugly 5.36 xERA. 
• The 28-year-old righty owns a 90.6 mph average exit velo (14th percentile) and a 43.8% hard-hit rate (19th percentile). 

Add Mike Trout to your PrizePicks Lineup now.

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Baseball is a game full of surprises, but at the end of the day, the cream typically rises to the top. Take that into account when considering Monday MLB home run picks, as stars like Ohtani, Kurtz, and Trout could be intriguing options. 

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