College basketball has everything you need on Saturday, from highly-ranked matchups to rivalries. Duke and North Carolina will meet for the first time this season, and impressive mid-major teams like No. 19 Saint Louis and No. 23 Miami (OH) are in action. Plus, Illinois vs. Michigan State features a top-10 collision.
Which games stand out for Saturday’s top college basketball predictions and expert picks? Let’s dive into the numbers for three NCAAB matchups, including point spreads and over/unders on PrizePicks Team Picks.
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Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Alabama Crimson Tide (15-7) against the Auburn Tigers (14-8) is one of several must-see rivalries today. Both squads are in a logjam of SEC standings with a 5-4 conference record. Alabama is 2-2 over its last four games, while Auburn has found momentum with a 4-1 record over the previous five matchups.
What is the latest point spread and over/under total for Saturday’s 4:00 p.m. ET tipoff?
- Spread: Auburn Tigers -4.5
- Over/Under: 173.5
- Game Winner Payout: Alabama 2.27x | Auburn 1.56x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Alabama vs. Auburn Prediction for Over/Under
Each team could be without its leading scorer, as Alabama G Labaron Philon (thigh) and Auburn F Keyshawn Hall (finger) are questionable. However, Hall managed to play through his injury on January 31 and has enjoyed a full week of rest. Philon, meanwhile, suffered his injury on February 4.
Today’s bout features a massive 173.5 over/under total, pushed by the Tide’s 91.6 points per game (99th percentile) while ranking sixth in Bart Torvik’s adjusted tempo. The Tigers are in the 53rd percentile of adjusted tempo but still total 84.4 PPG.
Even if Philon (21.4 PPG) is out, the over catches the eye. Alabama launches 36.1 triples per game, and Auburn is in the 38th percentile of shot distribution allowed from beyond the arc.
On the other side of the court, the Tigers sit in the 83rd and 82nd percentiles of distributions for dunks and close twos, respectively. The Crimson Tide have an underwhelming interior defense, ranked in the 34th and 47th percentiles for those areas.
#17 Florida vs. Texas A&M Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Florida Gators (16-6) and the Texas A&M Aggies (17-5) are tied atop the SEC standings with 7-2 conference records. Each squad boasts an 8-2 record over the last 10 games. Will the Aggies add to their 12-1 home mark in tonight’s 8:30 p.m. ET tipoff?
- Spread: Florida Gators -7.5
- Over/Under: 166.5
- Game Winner Payout: Florida 1.35x | Texas A&M 3.12x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Florida vs. Texas A&M Prediction for Spread
Florida has covered eight straight games compared to Texas A&M’s 7-1 against the spread (ATS) record in the same split. Bart Torvik has the Gators seventh and the Aggies 23rd in efficiency rankings.
Florida touts a vicious paint attack that ranks in the 99th percentile of dunk distribution and 95th percentile of close twos. A&M regularly allows close looks (18th percentile of dunk distribution). Capping the Aggies’ suspect defense, the unit cedes 77.7 PPG.
Most of Texas A&M’s points come from beyond the arc with a 47.8% 3-point share, but the Gators have the answer by limiting opponents to a 33.7% mark from deep.
Florida could even carry an overwhelming possession advantage in tonight’s bout, proven by defensive and offensive rebounding percentages in the 99th percentile.
#8 Houston vs. #16 BYU Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
A top-16 matchup between the No. 8 Houston Cougars (20-2) and the No. 16 BYU Cougars (17-5) is one of the top matchups of Saturday. In today’s late-night 10:30 p.m. ET clash, Houston looks to continue a three-game winning streak while BYU hopes to snap a three-game losing streak.
- Spread: Houston Cougars -1.5
- Over/Under: 148.5
- Game Winner Payout: Houston 1.72x | BYU 2.04x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Houston vs. BYU Prediction for Over/Under
Houston G Kingston Flemings and BYU F AJ Dybantsa — two of college basketball’s best freshmen — will be on show. According to The Athletic’s NBA Draft Big Board, Dybantsa ranks first and Flemings is fifth.
Flemings’ 17.0 PPG and Dybantsa’s 23.9 PPG could be the first steps of a high-scoring game. The over/under total is only 148.5, yet Brigham Young has totaled 88.0 PPG in the last 10 games.
BYU follows modern basketball philosophy to a T, ranking in the 88th percentile for dunks shot distribution and the 60th percentile for launching triples. Houston is in the 57th and 20th percentiles, respectively, an underwhelming mark for a defense that’s sixth in adjusted efficiency.
Dybantsa & Co. may have an angle to influence this total thanks to 86.7 PPG. Plus, Houston sits fifth in adjusted offensive efficiency, and BYU is in the bottom half for dunk and 3-point defense.
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Make Saturday College Basketball Picks on PrizePicks
A pair of high-stakes conference matchups in the SEC and Big 12 take place on Saturday. There’s much more on the docket, too, including a Duke-North Carolina collision.
Make your picks at PrizePicks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 34 states.
Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news.
