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Timberwolves vs. Clippers Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Wednesday, March 11

Los Angeles Clippers F Kawhi Leonard during a game against the Miami Heat.
AP Photo/Lynne Sladky

We’ve got a Western Conference showdown on our hands tonight when the Minnesota Timberwolves (40-25) make their way into the Intuit Dome to take on the Los Angeles Clippers (35-32).

This is the fourth and final meeting between these two teams this season, with the Timberwolves currently holding a 2-1 season series lead, most recently winning 94-88 in Los Angeles in late February.

Timberwolves vs. Clippers tips off at 10:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday from Los Angeles, CA, with L.A. favored by 2.5 points.

Below, we’ll break down our Timberwolves vs. Clippers prediction and Wednesday NBA picks for PrizePicks. Use PrizePicks NBA to make picks on player projections and win real money if you’re right.

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Timberwolves vs. Clippers Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Western Conference playoff picture is as congested as ever, and the Timberwolves are square in the thick of it. There are five teams separated by 2.5 games between the No. 3 and 7 seeds, with Minny hanging in the fifth spot. A medium-length losing streak by any of these teams could easily see one land in the play-in picture. 

Minnesota would love to get back in the win column tonight after uncompetitive losses to the Orlando Magic and Los Angeles Lakers. They’re on a quick turnaround, too, which they’ve had some decent success with. The Wolves are 6-3 on the tail end of a back-to-back.

The Clippers are finally healthy and are starting to play quite well. They’ve risen from the No. 10 seed in the West to eighth, sitting 5.5 games back of the Phoenix Suns.

They’ve been led all season by F Kawhi Leonard, who in his 14th season is arguably playing the best basketball of his illustrious career. The Klaw is averaging a career-high 27.9 points and has continued to evolve his game, taking a career-high 6.8 3-point attempts each night.

Timberwolves vs. Clippers Spread, Over/Under

The Clippers enter Monday’s game as 2.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.72x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Timberwolves are road underdogs with a 2x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.

  • Spread: Los Angeles Clippers -2.5 (1.96x payout)
  • Over/Under: 225.5 (1.75x payout on over)
  • Game Winner Payout: Timberwolves 2x | Clippers 1.72x

Team Picks payouts are live as of writing and are subject to change.


Timberwolves vs. Clippers Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Timberwolves vs. Clippers injury report for Wednesday, via NBA.com.

Minnesota Timberwolves Injury Report

  • G Ayo Dosunmu (thumb): Questionable

Los Angeles Clippers Injury Report

  • PF John Collins (neck): OUT
  • C Yanic Konan Niederhauser (foot): OUT

Timberwolves vs. Clippers Prediction on Spread – 3/11/26

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Timberwolves vs. Clippers prediction on the spread for Wednesday, March 11, on PrizePicks.

  • The Clippers are 35-29-0 (54.7%) against the spread (ATS).
  • The Timberwolves are 27-38-0 (41.5%) ATS, the third-worst cover percentage in the NBA.
  • L.A. is 22-17-0 (56.4%) ATS in conference games, while Minnesota is just 16-26-0 (38.1%)
  • Over their last 10 games, the Clippers have the 10th-best net rating (+4.9), a full five points better than the Timberwolves in 17th (-0.1).
  • Despite not having PG Darius Garland healthy for much of their last 15 contests, the Clippers have had both a better offensive (115.1) and defensive (112.9) rating than the T-Wolves (114 and 114.7, respectively).

Timberwolves vs. Clippers Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/11/26

Here are two of the top Timberwolves vs. Clippers to consider for Wednesday, March 11, on PrizePicks. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks are headlined by SG Anthony Edwards and F Kawhi Leonard.

Clippers F Kawhi Leonard vs. Timberwolves Projection: 38.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • Leonard is averaging 38 points, rebounds, and assists (PRA) per game but has seen that number rise to 40.8 in February.
  • This is a notable tempo-up game for the Clippers, who rank 22nd in the league in pace, compared to the Timberwolves at 13th.
  • The Timberwolves allow opponents to shoot the fifth-most free throw attempts on average (25.2). Leonard takes 6.6 attempts from the charity stripe each night and shoots 90.7%.
  • Kawhi is playing much better basketball at home, averaging 6.2 more PPG at the Intuit Dome. He shoots 5.0% better from the field and 5.9% better from deep in those contests.

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Timberwolves SG Anthony Edwards vs. Clippers Projection: 36.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • Edwards produces an average of 38.1 PRA, but so far in March, that number is 33.4 PRA.
  • Los Angeles' slowed-down tempo could create fewer opportunities for Edwards to impact the stat sheet.
  • Ant-Man has only had more than this projection in one of his three games vs. the Clippers this season, going for 29 and 25 PRA on two different occasions.
  • The Clippers give up the seventh-fewest rebounds (42) and the 10th-fewest assists (26.1) per game.

Make Timberwolves vs. Clippers Picks on PrizePicks

There are only six games on the NBA docket tonight, but the nightcap may be a fun one. Timberwolves vs. Clippers picks aren’t the only way hoops fans can get in on the daily NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

Get in the game! Sign up for PrizePicks and cash in on your sports predictions. Play $5 and get $50 instantly in Lineups with promo code PLAYBOOK.

Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Adi Narang is a professional sports bettor and New York University graduate in Sports Management. A lifelong Denver sports fan, he’s spent over a decade applying data-driven analysis to trends, pricing, and game-level predictions. He’s always up for a sports conversation — from a Nikola Jokić GOAT debate to Korean Baseball batting orders.

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