The Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns game is set to tip off at 3:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, April 25, with the Thunder entering as 9.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
The Thunder came away with another dominant win in Game 2, but it came at a cost, with F Jalen Williams suffering a hamstring injury. As the series moves to Phoenix, will Oklahoma City take a commanding 3-0 lead without Williams in the lineup?
Below, we'll break down our Thunder vs. Suns prediction and picks for Saturday’s NBA game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Thunder vs. Suns picks on PrizePicks now on today’s NBA game.
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Thunder vs. Suns Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
The Thunder secured a 120-107 win over the Suns in Game 2, behind another spectacular effort from star G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. The 2025 MVP scored a game-high 37 points on 13-of-25 shooting while dishing out 9 assists.
However, Oklahoma City was dealt a tough blow midway through the third quarter when Williams clutched at his left leg on a layup attempt. On Thursday, the Thunder announced that Williams suffered a Grade 1 left hamstring strain and will miss at least Games 3, 4, and 5 (if necessary) as a result.
Meanwhile, the Suns have dropped the opening two games of the series by an average margin of -24.0 points per game. Oklahoma City has held Phoenix to 34.3% on 3-pointers over Games 1 and 2.
Thunder vs. Suns Spread, Over/Under – Saturday, April 25
The Thunder enter Saturday’s game as 9.5-point road favorites against the Suns, returning a 1.21x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Thunder vs. Suns game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -9.5 (1.96x payout)
- Over/Under: 214.5 (1.92x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Thunder - 1.21x | Suns - 4x
Play the Thunder vs. Suns spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Phoenix Suns Timeline
Here is the full Thunder vs. Suns timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Suns, 151-140
Regular Season: Thunder, 3-2
Series: Thunder, 2-0
Thunder vs. Suns First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Thunder 119, Suns 84
- Game 2: Thunder 120, Suns 107
- Game 3: April 25, 3:30 p.m. ET in Phoenix
- Game 4: April 27, 9:30 p.m. ET in Phoenix
- Games 5-7 if necessary
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Thunder vs. Suns Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Thunder vs. Suns prediction on the spread for Saturday, April 25.
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- The Thunder are 6-4 against the spread in their last 10 meetings vs. the Suns.
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, Oklahoma City owns the top offensive rating (124.5) among playoff teams. In addition, the Thunder average a playoff-leading 119.5 PPG.
- The Thunder have allowed just 96.5 PPG in two playoff games, which is the lowest clip in the NBA.
- The Suns have the lowest assists-to-turnover ratio (0.95) among playoff teams.
- Phoenix has averaged 19.0 turnovers per contest over the first two games of this series vs. Oklahoma City, which is the most among NBA playoff teams.
Thunder vs. Suns Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 4/25/26
Here are the top Thunder vs. Suns picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Saturday, April 25. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and SG Jalen Green.
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Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander vs. Suns Projection: 38.5 Pts + Asts
- Gilgeous-Alexander has averaged a combined 39.0 points and assists per game over two matchups vs. the Suns in this series.
- According to databallr, Gilgeous-Alexander’s scoring average increases by +6.2 points per game when Jalen Williams is off the court.
- Gilgeous-Alexander has recorded 31.9 points and 7.1 assists per contest in 59 career games without Jalen Williams.
- The Thunder star has accumulated 18.6 potential assists per 100 possessions, which ranks in the 83rd percentile.
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Suns SG Jalen Green vs. Thunder Projection: 27.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts
- Green has averaged a combined 35.1 points, rebounds, and assists per game over his last four outings, dating back to the regular season.
- The Suns' SG is shooting 36.1% (13-of-36) on 3-pointers over his last four games, which is significantly higher than his 31.3% 3-point shooting on the season.
- Green has scored 20+ points in five of his last eight contests.
- According to Add More Funds, Green has a 30.4% usage rate, topping the Suns rotation.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Thunder vs. Suns on PrizePicks for Game 3
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Thunder vs. Suns live picks in tonight’s game.
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- The Thunder have averaged 30.4 PPG in the third quarter this season, which ranks sixth among all NBA teams. Meanwhile, the Suns rank 25th in the league with 28.2 PPG in the third quarter.
- Oklahoma City owns an NBA-best second-half scoring margin of +4.5 points this season.
- Thunder G Shai Gilgeous-Alexander finishes strong with 7.7 PPG in the fourth quarter throughout the 2025-26 season.
- Oklahoma City leads the league with an average margin of +11.5 points per contest.
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Make Thunder vs. Suns NBA Playoffs Picks on PrizePicks
The Thunder have played a large percentage of games without F Jalen Williams this season. As a result, could Oklahoma City still be positioned to take a 3-0 series lead as the action shifts to Phoenix?
Don’t wait until tip-off — make your Thunder vs. Suns picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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