Texas vs. Arkansas Prediction, Spread, College Basketball Picks for March 4

The Arkansas Razorbacks (21-8) look to pull into a tie for second place in the SEC with a victory tonight after falling to 11-5 in league play with Saturday’s 111-77 blowout loss at Florida.

The Texas Longhorns (18-11), meanwhile, snapped a two-game skid with Saturday’s 76-70 triumph at Texas A&M to improve to 9-7 in the SEC. 

Let’s look at a Texas vs. Arkansas prediction for Wednesday’s battle at Bud Walton Arena, tipping off at 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2. Make your CBB picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and over/unders!

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Texas vs. Arkansas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

These old Southwest Conference rivals met twice last season as SEC foes, with Arkansas winning each time.

The Razorbacks first stunned the Longhorns in Austin as 7-point underdogs, 78-70. Three weeks later, Arkansas pulled off the season sweep in overtime, 86-81, as 2-point home favorites.

Both games finished over the listed total, as Arkansas knocked down 50 free throws in the two victories.

Texas vs. Arkansas Spread, Over/Under

The Razorbacks enter this matchup as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.26x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Longhorns are road underdogs with a 3.33x payout if they win, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

• Spread: Arkansas -7.5
• Over/Under: 164.5
• Game Winner Payout: Texas 3.33x | Arkansas 1.26x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Texas vs. Arkansas Prediction on Spread

Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Texas vs. Arkansas prediction on spread for Wednesday, March 4 on PrizePicks.

• The Longhorns have defeated three top-50 KenPom squads on the road, knocking off Alabama, Missouri, and Texas A&M.
• In head coach Sean Miller’s first season, UT ranks third in conference play in 3-point shooting (36.4%), 2-point shooting (55.4%), and offensive efficiency.
• Texas owns a 6-1 against the spread (ATS) mark in its past seven road contests.
• The Razorbacks sit 15th in conference play in defensive 2-point shooting (56.8%). In the last four games, Arkansas allowed at least 62% shooting on 2-point attempts.
• Since losing at Kentucky on January 21, the Longhorns are 7-3 in the last 10 games. 
• In all three losses, Texas allowed opponents to shoot more than 62% on effective field goal percentage. Arkansas has reached that eFG% clip just once in the last nine outings.

Texas vs. Arkansas Picks for PrizePicks Today: 3/4/26

Here are three top Texas vs. Arkansas picks to target on Wednesday. Key PrizePicks player projections are headlined by three players: Arkansas G Darius Acuff Jr., Texas G-F Dailyn Swain, and Longhorns C Matas Vokietaitis.

Arkansas G Darius Acuff Jr. vs. Texas Projection: 23.5 Points

• The freshman leads the SEC in scoring, averaging 22.0 points per game (PPG).
• Acuff struggled in the Florida loss, getting held to 17 points on 6-of-19 shooting, ending an eight-game streak of 20+ points.
• In five of the last seven home games, Acuff has been limited to 22 or fewer points.
• Texas has given up at least 24 points to a player just once in the last six games.

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Texas G-F Dailyn Swain vs. Arkansas Projection: 20 Points

• The junior averages a career-high 17.7 PPG after scoring 11.0 PPG at Xavier last season.
• Swain topped the 21-point mark in four consecutive games before getting held to 11 points against Texas A&M. 
• In his last six road games, Swain is posting 22.3 PPG, including a 30-point performance at Auburn on January 28.
• Swain has shot at least 50% from the floor in 12 of 16 conference games, including four outputs higher than 60%.

Texas C Matas Vokietaitis vs. Arkansas Projection: 23.5 Pts + Rebs

• The Lithuanian finished with more than 24 points and rebounds in four straight games from February 7 through February 21.
• In the last two outings, Vokietaitis has finished below this projection, including scoring 14 points with 7 rebounds against Texas A&M.
• In five of the last eight road games, the sophomore hasn’t reached this projection. He's averaging 14.8 PPG and 6.3 RPG. 
• Vokietaitis converted at least 70% of his field goal attempts in eight of the last 13 games.

Make Texas vs. #20 Arkansas Picks on PrizePicks

The Razorbacks can tie Alabama for second place in the SEC with a home victory tonight. Will Arkansas rebound from the Florida loss, or will Texas pick up another road win?

You can make your Texas vs. Arkansas picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states!‍

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