Week 14 of the college football season contains plenty of high-profile matchups, but there may not be one that carries greater importance than No. 3 Texas A&M vs. No. 16 Texas.
Black Friday’s matchup between SEC powerhouses (7:30 ET on ABC) sees two star QBs and programs go head-to-head. With College Football Playoff implications in play, it could be the game of the week before Saturday even arrives.
Here, we’ll break down a Texas A&M vs. Texas prediction and CFB pick for Friday NCAAF. Use PrizePicks’ CFB game for player projections on QB Marcel Reed and others.
Texas A&M vs. Texas Prediction, Preview for Friday, 11/28
Friday marks the 120th all-time meeting between Texas A&M and Texas. With the latter boasting a commanding 77-37-5 series lead, as well as a two-game winning streak, bragging rights are also hanging in the balance.
The Aggies enter Black Friday’s game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.66x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Longhorns are home underdogs with a 2.08x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Texas A&M Aggies -2.5
- Total: 54.5
- Game Winner Payout: Aggies 1.66x | Longhorns 2.08x
Let’s take a closer look at the Texas A&M vs. Texas matchup on Friday.
Texas A&M Aggies Preview vs. Texas
Year one with Mike Elko as head coach saw the Aggies go 8-5, only to lose to USC in the Las Vegas Bowl by a final score of 35-31.
It appears that Texas A&M is in store for a much better bowl this time around. They’re 11-0 on the season and are coming off a commanding 48-0 blowout win over Samford.
TAMU owns an exquisite offense, ranking 10th in points per play (0.537) and 11th in per-game scoring (37.1 points).
Defensively, the Aggies are just 48th in scoring (23.6 PPG) but boast the nation’s top sack percentage (10.86) and lowest third-down conversion rate (24.03%).
Texas Longhorns Preview vs. Texas A&M
Texas went 13-3 a season ago, with head coach Steve Sarkisian leading them all the way to the Cotton Bowl in the CFP semifinals.
The Longhorns have already matched their loss total in 2025, largely thanks to subpar performances against Ohio State (14-7), Florida (29-21) and Georgia (35-10).
Offensively, Texas ranks 68th in yards per game (381.6) but sits 37th in scoring (29.8 PPG).
Defense is where Texas clamps down on opponents, ranking sixth in lowest yards per rush (2.8) and 18th in yards per play (4.7).
Texas A&M vs. Texas Picks for PrizePicks
Below are prime Texas A&M vs. Texas picks to consider for Week 14. PrizePicks player projections include QBs Marcel Reed and Arch Manning and RB Quintrevion Wisner.
Texas A&M Aggies QB Marcel Reed vs. Texas Projection: 235.5 Pass Yards
- Reed needed just 15 pass attempts to make his mark against Samford. In the five games prior, he averaged 275.2 passing yards.
- According to Game on Paper, Reed ranks fourth among all qualified QBs in yards/dropback (6.93). He’s 14th in EPA/dropback (0.34).
- Opponents aren’t afraid to throw on Texas, as they rank 124th in fewest passes faced per game with 35.5.
- Reed’s 8.6% pressure to sack rate is the 11th-lowest mark out of 168 QBs with 100+ dropbacks, per Pro Football Focus.
Texas Longhorns RB Quintrevion Wisner vs. Texas A&M Projection: 56.5 Rush Yards
- On 112 rush attempts this season, Wisner has 442 yards and 3 TDs.
- Dating back to a 23-6 win over Oklahoma (six games), Wisner averages 58.5 rushing yards per contest.
- A glaring weakness in the Aggies’ defense is chunk runs. They rank in the first percentile in explosive rushes yielded, per Game on Paper.
- Texas A&M sits 54th in yards per rush allowed at 4.1.
Texas Longhorns QB Arch Manning vs. Texas A&M Projection: 259.5 Pass Yards
- Manning has thrown for 300+ yards in three of his last four games, averaging 328.5 yards during that span.
- The former five-star prospect is averaging 9.1 yards per attempt in the month of November. In eight contests before that, his average was just 7.6.
- Via PFF, among QBs with 100+ dropbacks, Manning’s 9.7-yard average depth of target is tied for 46th.
- Texas A&M’s pass defense does sit 17th in EPA/play (-0.15), but it’s 100th in pass plays faced per game, via Game on Paper.
Make #3 Texas A&M vs. #16 Texas Picks on PrizePicks
As the college football campaign slowly winds down, Texas A&M vs. Texas picks are far from the only ones to consider in Week 14. With PrizePicks’ real-money CFB game, you can cash in on the action.
Doing so is simple. Just pick your players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and win rewards if you’re right.
Keep it here with the Playbook for continued college football coverage.
