A whopping nine SEC programs are ranked entering Week 11, and No. 3 Texas A&M vs. No. 22 Missouri sees two of them square off in a pivotal Saturday bout.
The afternoon matchup (3:30 p.m. ET on ABC) kicks off from Columbia, MO, with plenty of anticipation. Although the two programs’ respective seasons are trending in different directions, all it takes is one wild outing to send a shockwave throughout the CFB landscape.
Here, we’ll break down a Texas A&M vs. Missouri prediction and pick for Saturday NCAAF. Use PrizePicks’ CFB game for player projections on QB Marcel Reed and others.
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Prediction, Preview for Saturday, 11/8
Week 11 marks the 18th time Texas A&M and Missouri will meet on the gridiron. The Aggies hold a 10-7 advantage, including back-to-back triumphs this decade by a +52 margin.
The most recent game, taking place on Oct. 5 of last year, was a 41-10 statement by Texas A&M. At the time, Missouri was ranked ninth in the country.
RB Le’Veon Moss exploded for 138 rushing yards and 3 TDs on just 12 carries, and fellow RB Amari Daniels added 2 TDs of his own. With both players back on this year’s team but Missouri’s roster improved, only time will tell what 2025’s clash could bring.
Let’s take a closer look at the Texas A&M vs. Missouri matchup on Saturday.
Texas A&M Aggies Preview vs. Missouri
After going 8-5 with head coach Mike Elko in 2024, his first year on the job, Texas A&M has already matched that win total this season.
Just three of the Aggies’ eight games (41-40 vs. Notre Dame, 16-10 vs. Auburn, 45-42 vs. Arkansas) have been decided by one score.
Texas A&M is about offense, offense, and more offense. They rank seventh in points per game (37.8), eighth in points per play (0.547) and 17th in yards per game (459.5).
On the other side, the Aggies butter their bread by boasting the nation’s top third-down defense (21.78%).
Missouri Tigers Preview vs. Texas A&M
Missouri went 21-5 across the 2023 and 2024 seasons under head coach Eli Drinkwitz, rattling off consecutive bowl wins as well.
After a 5-0 start and some serious College Football Playoff buzz, this year’s team has lost two of three — both defeats versus ranked programs — and is sliding. In Oct. 25’s 17-10 loss to Vanderbilt, QB Beau Pribula suffered a dislocated ankle.
The Tigers’ offense leans far more towards the run (31st in frequency) than pass (106th). That could become even more the case with true freshman QB Matt Zollers now at the helm.
Missouri’s defense, in one word, is suffocating. It ranks fourth in opposing yards per game (248.7) and second in time of possession (40.99%).
Texas A&M vs. Missouri Picks for PrizePicks
Below are prime Texas A&M vs. Missouri picks to consider for Week 11. PrizePicks player projections include QB Marcel Reed, WR Mario Craver and RB Ahmad Hardy.
Texas A&M QB Marcel Reed Projection: 269.5 Pass + Rush Yards
- Reed averages 290.1 combined (passing and rushing) yards on the year, with that figure being 305.4 in his last three outings.
- In his most recent game, Oct. 25’s 49-25 throttling of LSU, the sophomore rushed for a career-high 108 yards.
- Per Game on Paper, Reed ranks third among 127 qualified passers in yards per dropback at 8.91.
- While truly impressive, the Tigers’ defense does have a couple of areas that Reed might be able to exploit. They sit in the 60th percentile in rush EPA/play and the 65th percentile in explosive pass rate.
Texas A&M WR Mario Craver Projection: 56.5 Rec Yards
- In his first year with Texas A&M, Craver averages 89.5 receiving yards per game. Since his 207-yard detonation on Sept. 13, that number is 54.6.
- Craver ranks 27th out of 710 pass catchers in EPA accumulated (32.94), according to Game on Paper.
- Craver’s dominance relative to other SEC WRs is noteworthy. He leads the conference in yards per route run at 4.19, in addition to being second in yards after catch per reception (11.1).
- Missouri has allowed at least 58 receiving yards to a team’s leader in each of its last three games.
Missouri RB Ahmad Hardy Projection: 89.5 Rush Yards
- Hardy averages 117.1 rushing yards per game, and his 937 total rushing yards lead the SEC.
- The sophomore’s 97-yard showing against Vanderbilt was his best since Sept. 27 against Massachusetts (130 yards).
- Via Game on Paper, Hardy is 24th among 266 rushers in EPA at 23.05.
- Hardy averages an SEC-leading 4.51 yards after contact per attempt, per Pro Football Focus.
- Texas A&M’s run defense ranks just 90th in EPA/play and sits in the third percentile in explosive rushes allowed.
Make #3 Texas A&M vs. #22 Missouri Picks on PrizePicks
As the College Football Playoff picture comes into focus and conference play ramps all the way up, Texas A&M vs. Missouri picks are far from the only ones to consider in Week 11. With PrizePicks’ real-money CFB game, you can cash in on the action.
Doing so is simple. Just pick your players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and win rewards if you’re right.
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