The Round of 8 of the 2026 NCAA Tournament continues on Sunday, March 29, and the matchups are extremely polarizing. An enticing showdown takes place in the Midwest region, where No. 6 seed Tennessee faces off against No. 1 seed Michigan.
The Wolverines are 7.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks in a matchup that tips off at 2:15 p.m. ET on CBS. The winner will take on No. 1 seed Arizona, who defeated No. 2 seed Purdue in the West regional final on Saturday.
Below, we’ll break down our Tennessee vs. Michigan prediction on the spread for Sunday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Tennessee vs. Michigan Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Michigan has looked like one of the most dominant No. 1 seeds throughout the 2026 NCAA Tournament, securing double-digit wins in all three of their NCAA Tournament games.
After topping No. 16 seed Howard and No. 9 seed Saint Louis in the opening two rounds, Michigan faced its toughest test of the NCAA Tournament vs. No. 4 seed Alabama in the Round of 16. Despite trailing at halftime, the Wolverines came away with a 90-77 win and ultimately held the Crimson Tide to just 36.0% shooting from the field.
Michigan F Yaxel Lendeborg had another big-time performance with 23 points on 8-of-12 shooting to go along with 12 rebounds and 7 assists. The Big Ten Player of the Year also connected on 4 of his 5 shots from the 3-point line.
Meanwhile, Tennessee has looked like a well-oiled machine throughout the NCAA Tournament. The Volunteers began their run with a convincing 78-56 win vs. No. 11 seed Miami (OH), followed by a 79-72 upset win vs. No. 3 seed Virginia in the second round.
In the Round of 16, Tennessee completely flustered Iowa State on the defensive end, holding the Cyclones to 22.0% shooting from beyond the arc in a 76-62 win. The Volunteers owned a massive advantage on the glass as they out-rebounded the Cyclones 43-22.
Michigan and Tennessee have met on 12 occasions, with the Wolverines holding a 7-5 advantage in the all-time series. The two teams last faced off during the 2021-22 season, when Michigan came away with a 76-68 win in Knoxville, covering a six-point spread on the road.
Tennessee vs. Michigan Spread, Over/Under
Michigan enters Sunday’s game as 7.5-point favorites, returning a 1.26x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Tennessee is an underdog with a 3.84x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Michigan Wolverines -7.5 (1.85x payout)
- Over/Under: 146.5 (1.88x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Tennessee 3.84x | Michigan 1.26x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
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Tennessee vs. Michigan Prediction on Spread for NCAA Tournament – 3/29/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Tennessee vs. Michigan prediction on the spread for regional finals picks on Sunday, March 29, on PrizePicks.
- Michigan has a 16-20 against-the-spread record as a favorite, producing a 44.4% cover rate.
- Tennessee has a 4-1 ATS record as an underdog this season (first in the SEC).
- According to KenPom, Michigan has the fifth-ranked offensive rating (127.9) nationally. Meanwhile, Tennessee ranks 31st in offensive rating (121.9).
- Per Bart Torvik, Michigan has the fourth-best adjusted defensive efficiency (92.5) in the country, behind only Houston (91.9), Arizona (91.9), and Duke (92.3).
- The Wolverines hold their opponents to 38.6% shooting this season, the second-lowest in the nation behind Saint Louis (38.3%).
- Michigan averages 87.5 points per game, ranking eighth nationally. The Wolverines also shoot 36.9% from beyond the arc (31st).
- Tennessee turns the ball over 11.9 times per contest, which ranks 15th in the SEC.
- The Wolverines are 4-2 ATS in their last two NCAA Tournaments.
Make Tennessee vs. Michigan Picks on PrizePicks
Tennessee vs. Michigan picks for Sunday afternoon's play are just one of several ways that college basketball fans can get involved in the NCAA Men’s Basketball Tournament action.
You can make your Tennessee vs. Michigan picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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