Who Will Win the Super Bowl 2026? Seahawks, Jaguars, 49ers SB LX Favorites

Seahawks QB Sam Darnold celebrates a win in an NFL game.
AP Photo/Jacob Kupferman

We have one week left in the NFL regular season and 12 of the 14 postseason sports accounted for. The final week will decide the representatives from the AFC North and NFC South division, although all four of those teams remain long shots to win the Super Bowl. 

What we know and don’t know entering the final week:

  • The AFC East (New England), AFC West (Denver), NFC East (Philadelphia), and NFC North (Chicago) are decided, while the AFC North (Baltimore/Pittsburgh), AFC South (Jacksonville/Houston), NFC South (Tampa Bay/Carolina), and NFC West (San Francisco/Seattle) will come down to Week 18.
  • The winner of the Seattle vs. San Francisco game will earn the NFC No. 1 seed.
  • Denver, New England, and Jacksonville all alive for the No. 1 seed in the AFC.
  • All the Wild Card slots have been filled, but we don’t know seeding just yet. 

Let's sift through the Super Bowl futures from Week 18, discuss who could make it to — and potentially win — the big game, and break down the possible payouts for each team’s Futures on PrizePicks Team Picks .

With PrizePicks Team Picks, you can get in on who you think will win the Super Bowl in the NFL futures section, and earn real money if you're right.

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Super Bowl Futures: What Team Will Win the Super Bowl? Week 18

While the Rams are still the co-favorite to win the Super Bowl and have metrics that make them the favorite, they have lost two straight and are eliminated from the division and No. 1 seed races, making their path much harder, resulting in falling out of our top-three. 

Super Bowl winner payouts courtesy of PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can pick which player you think will win the NFL Super Bowl and earn money if your picks are right!

All Super Bowl payouts listed are at the time of writing and are subject to change.


#3: Jacksonville Jaguars (12-4)

NFL Super Bowl Winner Payout via PrizePicks Team Picks: 10x Yes | 1.03x No

The Jags head into Week 18 on a seven- game heater and will take the AFC South with a dub over the three-win Titans. If the Broncos and Patriots both fall on Sunday, the Jaguars earn a first-round bye and the No. 1 seed, making their Super Bowl odds even more attractive. 

QB Trevor Lawrence is putting up MVP numbers for the first time in his much-anticipated career, leading an offense that has scored 23+ points in nine straight games since its Week 8 bye. Lawrence has 12 passing TDs and 1 INT over the last five games, averaging 269.0 yards per game. He also has 4 rushing TDs over this span, accounting for 16 total TDs.

On the defensive side, Jacksonville has not allowed an RB to rush for over 75 yards all season, including the NFL’s leading rusher Jonathan Taylor, who was held to 74 and 70 yards in the past month.

Jacksonville leads the NFL in rush defense at 86.1 rush yards allowed per game and are ninth in scoring defense at 20.6 PPG. 

The Jags have wins over the Texans, Panthers, Niners, Chargers, and Broncos, as well as a pair over the Colts, giving their truthers hope/faith they can go far in the postseason.

The 22x price is gone, but the 10x return is still there entering Week 18. 


#2: San Francisco 49ers (12-4)

NFL Super Bowl Winner Payout via PrizePicks Team Picks: 5.88x Yes | 1.11x No

Heading into the season, the 49ers were favored to win the NFC West and were a top-tem Super Bowl contender. They lost QB Brock Purdy for eight games, placed Pro Bowlers Fred Warner and Nick Bosa on injured reserve, and had their wide receivers go in and out of the lineup on a weekly basis. Further filling up the training room, TE George Kittle sat out last week’s showdown with Chicago. 

Yet the Niners keep winning.

After falling to the Rams in Week 10, San Fran was two games out of the division lead, despite missing stars. Since then, they rolled off six straight wins, scoring 35.7 points per game and allowing only 21.3 points per game.

Now they are a home win away from not having to leave home at all, as San Francisco hosts the Super Bowl. 

Purdy would be a serious MVP candidate if he didn’t miss eight games. He has 16 passing TDs and 3 rushing TDs in six games since returning from injury.

RB Christian McCaffrey is a virtually a lock for Comeback Player of the Year and may win Offensive Player of the Year as well, with over 2,000 yards from scrimmage and 17 total TDs. And head coach Kyle Shanahan is right there in the Coach of the Year conversation. 

After being in the middle of the contenders, the 49ers are now tied with the Seahawks and Rams for the shortest payout to win the Super Bowl and would likely move to Super Bowl favorites with a win on Saturday. 


#1: Seattle Seahawks (13-3)

NFL Super Bowl Winner Payout via PrizePicks Team Picks: 5.88x Yes | 1.11x No

Eagles. Rams. Lions. Packers. 49ers.

Those were the teams that were mentioned as top NFC contenders before and during most of the season. With one week left to go, the Seattle Seahawks control their own destiny: with a win at San Francisco on Saturday night, they would earn the NFC West, the No. 1 seed in the conference, and a first-round bye, with the path to the Super Bowl going through the Emerald City.  

You may not think Seattle is a top contender, but the stats say otherwise. 

The Seahawks have the top defense per DOVA, lead the NFL in rush yards per play (3.7) and pass yards per play (5.5), and are second in scoring defense (18.1 PPG) and total yards per play (4.58). While winning ten of the last 11 games, Seattle has allowed more than 25 points once, that being a 36-30 win two weeks ago over the Rams.   

Their offense is almost as good, scoring 25+ points in eight of the last 10 games and 11 times overall. Seattle is now second in the NFL, behind the Rams, at 29.4 points per game.

QB Sam Darnold continues the resurrection of his career, a year after being an MVP candidate for the Vikings. His 99.2 passer rating is eighth in the NFL and he is now the first QB in NFL history to be on two different 13-win teams in back-to-back seasons.  

If they can go into San Francisco and earn the No. 1 seed, they will have as good a chance as anyone to return to San Francisco for Super Bowl 60.


2026 Super Bowl Futures, Payouts

Here are all of the payout projections for teams to win the 2026 Super Bowl, via PrizePicks Team Picks. NFL futures payouts are live as of publishing, but are subject to change.

  • Los Angeles Rams - 5.88x Payout
  • Seattle Seahawks - 5.88x
  • San Francisco 49ers - 5.88x
  • Philadelphia Eagles - 7.69x
  • Denver Broncos - 7.69x
  • New England Patriots - 8.33x
  • Buffalo Bills - 8.33x
  • Houston Texans - 10x
  • Jacksonville Jaguars - 10x
  • Chicago Bears - 11.11x
  • Green Bay Packers -16.66x
  • Baltimore Ravens - 16.66x
  • Los Angeles Chargers - 22.22x
  • Pittsburgh Steelers - 33.33x
  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers - 33.33x
  • Carolina Panthers - 33.33x
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Make NFL Super Bowl Futures Picks on PrizePicks

With one week left in the regular season and the playoff races almost decided, these three top Super Bowl contenders may have an inside track on securing a title.

With Week18 around the corner, there’s plenty of time to make your NFL Super Bowl pick with futures on PrizePicks Team Picks. Just go to the PrizePicks app, open Team Picks, pick the player you think will win MVP, and earn cash if you're right on your pick.

Keep it here with the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, futures, and more as we get closer to Super Bowl 60.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

David Bearman spent 18 years with ESPN in their Stats & Information Department and overseeing their betting content. From 2023-25, he served as Chief Content Officer of Pro Football Network, overseeing all content, including coverage of Super Bowls 58 and 59. He is also the Founder of Betting with Bearman, a 3x a week betting newsletter and weekly podcast on Bleav Podcast Network.

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