The Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder game is set to tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET on Wednesday, April 22, with the Thunder entering as 18.5-point favorites on the spread, via PrizePicks.
OKC started its playoff run with pure dominance by grabbing a 35-point win, as PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander led the way with 25 points.
Below, we'll break down our Suns vs. Thunder prediction and picks for Wednesday’s NBA Playoff game, including the spread, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
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Suns vs. Thunder Playoff Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, April 22
The defending champions made a statement in Game 1 against the Suns by scoring at least 30 points in three of four quarters. This is a team that's been one of the best franchises over the last few years, finishing as the top seed in the Western Conference three straight times.
A major reason for their success is the Thunder's defense, which leads the league in adjusted rating (106.7) and is second in points allowed per game (107.6).
Phoenix struggled offensively in Game 1, scoring just 81 points on 35% shooting from the floor. Suns SG Devin Booker topped the team with 23 points, but Phoenix needs someone else to step up to take the pressure off its star.
The Suns' potential to pull off the upset in Game 2 may depend on getting second-chance points, as they're one of the league’s top offensive rebounding teams (13.0 per game, fourth).
Suns vs. Thunder Spread, Over/Under – Wednesday, April 22
The Thunder enter Wednesday’s game as 18.5-point home favorites against the Suns, returning a 1.04x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Suns vs. Thunder game on PrizePicks.
- Spread: Oklahoma City Thunder -18.5 (2.08x payout)
- Over/Under: 215.5 (1.88x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Suns - 9.09x | Thunder - 1.04x
Play the Suns vs. Thunder spread or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Phoenix Suns vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Timeline
Here is the full Suns vs. Thunder timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Suns, 151-139
Regular Season: Thunder, 3-2
Series: Thunder, 1-0
Suns vs. Thunder First Round Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NBA Playoffs
- Game 1: Thunder 119, Suns 84
- Game 2: April 22, 9:30 p.m. ET in Oklahoma City
- Game 3: April 25, 3:30 p.m. ET in Phoenix
- Game 4: April 27, 9:30 p.m. ET in Phoenix
- Games 5-7 are if necessary
Suns vs. Thunder Prediction on Spread for NBA Playoffs First Round
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Suns vs. Thunder prediction on the spread for Wednesday, April 22.
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- The difference between the two teams’ adjusted net ratings is large. The Thunder rank first in the league (+10.8), while the Suns are 14th (+1.4), according to Dunks & Threes.
- The Thunder have covered the two previous games against the Suns when favored by 15 or more.
- Oklahoma City thrives by allowing the lowest effective field goal percentage in the league (51.6%). Phoenix is 19th on offense with a 53.6% eFG%.
- The Thunder have a +88 point differential at home against the Suns with Gilgeous-Alexander in the lineup.
- Phoenix is 12-14 against the spread as road underdogs.
Suns vs. Thunder Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks: 4/22/26
Here are the top Suns vs. Thunder picks to target in the NBA Playoffs on PrizePicks for Wednesday, April 22. Today’s NBA picks for PrizePicks include SF Jalen Williams and SG Devin Booker.
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Thunder SF Jalen Williams vs. Suns Projection: 18.5 Points
- Williams has exceeded his points projection in seven of his last 10 games.
- The 2022 12th overall NBA Draft pick has topped his scoring mark against the Suns three consecutive times.
- The former Santa Clara guard is shooting 51.6% from the floor in April, the second-highest of any month this season.
- The third quarter is when Williams is at his best, shooting 53.2% from the floor and 40% from 3-point land.
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Suns SG Devin Booker vs. Thunder Projection: 23.5 Points
- Despite leading the team with 23 points in Game 1, Booker still fell short of his points projection.
- The 2015 13th overall pick has gone under his points projection in five of his last six games against the Thunder.
- Booker’s 41.7% field goal clip vs. Oklahoma City this season was his fifth-lowest against any opponent he played at least twice.
- A large reason for Booker’s lack of impact against OKC is that the Thunder have reduced his field goal attempts to 13.3 per game, well below the 18.7 he’s averaging for the year.
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NBA Playoffs Live Picks: Suns vs. Thunder on PrizePicks for Game 2
Here are some in-game angles to target for your Suns vs. Thunder live picks in tonight’s game.
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- The Suns play their best in the second quarter, ranking fifth with an offensive rating of 118.6.
- The Thunder's +6.6 net rating in the final 12 minutes ranks fourth, while the Suns' -5.9 mark is 26th.
- The third quarter is really when SGA gets locked in, as he leads the league by 11.1 points.
- Each team's slowest quarter is in the fourth, with the Thunder being 20th in pace (96.7) and the Suns at 25th (95.2).
Make Suns vs. Thunder NBA Playoffs Picks on PrizePicks
The Thunder rolled all over the Suns in Game 1 and now have a chance to take a 2-0 series lead. Can Phoenix play spoiler on Wednesday night?
Don’t wait until lock — make your Suns vs. Thunder picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
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