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Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction, Spread, NBA Picks for Sunday, March 1

New York Knicks PG Jalen Brunson calls out during a game against the Orlando Magic.
AP Photo/John Munson

The San Antonio Spurs (43-16) and New York Knicks (38-22) will kick off Sunday’s NBA action at Madison Square Garden. The visitors hold a 1-0 record in the season series and appear poised to return to the playoffs for the first time since 2019.

Whether they can remain undefeated against the Eastern Conference’s third seed remains to be seen, though. Tip-off is set for 1:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Below, we’ll break down our Spurs vs. Knicks prediction and picks for Sunday's game. Make your NBA picks on PrizePicks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Spurs are having a resurgent season. C Victor Wembanyama has looked like a future superstar since he entered the league, and now he’s healthy enough to help San Antonio make a postseason push. He isn’t doing it alone, though.

Seven Spurs not named Wembanyama are averaging at least 10.0 points per game. G Stephon Castle, who is having a breakout year in his second NBA campaign, has arguably been the most impressive among San Antonio’s supporting pieces. He's a formidable perimeter defender and may be San Antonio’s top playmaker despite the presence of PG De’Aaron Fox.

New York has its work cut out for it against a young team with so many options, but its ability to keep opposing teams off the glass might power them through this matchup.

Winning the battle down low could be more important than PG Jalen Brunson's scoring on Sunday. New York is fifth in offensive rebounds per game (12.9) and consistently creates second-chance opportunities with its energy and effort.

The Knicks could compete at a high level by boxing out and limiting Wembanyama’s impact as a rebounder. They failed to do so in their first meeting, as the big man corralled 13 boards.

Spurs vs. Knicks Over/Under, Spread

The Spurs are 1.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.85x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Knicks are home underdogs and will return a 1.96x payout if they win on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.

  • Spread: San Antonio Spurs -1.5
  • Over/Under: 228.5
  • Gamer Winner Payout: Spurs 1.85x | Knicks 1.96x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.


Spurs vs. Knicks Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Spurs vs. Knicks injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.

San Antonio Spurs Injury Report

  • C Mason Plumlee (reconditioning): OUT

New York Knicks Injury Report

  • G Miles McBride (core muscle surgery): OUT

Spurs vs. Knicks Prediction on Spread

Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Spurs vs. Knicks prediction on spread for Sunday, March 1 on PrizePicks.

  • New York is 1-0 against the spread as a home underdog.
  • The Knicks have covered the spread in their previous two meetings with the Spurs.
  • The Spurs are 7-13 ATS with a rest disadvantage.
  • The Knicks give up the fourth-fewest assists per game (24.6).
  • San Antonio (+6.7) and New York (5.7) rank fourth and fifth in point differential, respectively.

Spurs vs. Knicks Picks, Stats for PrizePicks Today: 3/1/26

Here are the top Spurs vs. Knicks picks to target for Sunday, March 1. Today's picks are headlined by PrizePicks projections for G Stephon Castle and PG Jalen Brunson.

Spurs G Stephon Castle vs. Knicks Projection: 4.5 Assists

  • Castle averages a career-high 6.8 assists per game.
  • According to databallr, the second-year guard generates 20.4 assist points per 75 possessions.
  • The UConn product has tallied 5 or more assists in nine of his previous 10 road games.
  • The 21-year-old creates 19.7 potential assists per 100 possessions.

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Knicks PG Jalen Brunson vs. Spurs Projection: 26.5 Points

  • Brunson is shooting 48.3% from the field and 40.0% from deep since the All-Star break.
  • The Knicks’ floor general attempts 31.9 true shot attempts per 100 possessions.
  • The Villanova product averages 27.8 points per game at home.
  • Brunson spends 44.5% of his time on the ball, placing him in the 98th percentile.

Make Spurs vs. Knicks Picks on PrizePicks

Round two of this year’s Spurs-Knicks series is here, and San Antonio is looking to improve to 2-0 against New York. Both teams have stellar guard play, so Stephon Castle and Jalen Brunson are among the most important players to keep an eye on ahead of tip-off.

You can make your Spurs vs. Knicks picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Ameer prides himself on being the world's top James Harden apologist. He's covered several pro and amateur leagues but focuses on the NBA. He's been covering player projections for more than six years and his latest stops include DraftKings Network, CBS Sports and Sports Illustrated.

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