Senegal vs. Iraq Prediction, Picks, Lineups for World Cup 2026

Both Senegal and Iraq could be eager for a result on Friday, with each team still clinging onto a chance to qualify for the knockout rounds as the third-place team from Group I. The squads have dropped their first two games of group play and now have their World Cup lives depending on today’s outcome.

Heading into Friday's 3:00 p.m. match on FS1 and Universo, Senegal is considerable favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks and returns a 1.2x payout with a victory.

Below, we’ll break down our Senegal vs. Iraq prediction and picks for Friday afternoon’s World Cup 2026 match, including the spread, total goals, and key player picks for PrizePicks.

‍Make your Senegal vs. Iraq prediction and World Cup picks on PrizePicks now!

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Senegal vs. Iraq World Cup 2026 Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – Friday, June 26

How to watch Senegal vs. Iraq: FS1 (English) | Universo and FOX One (Spanish)

Kickoff Time: 3:00 p.m. ET

Venue: BMO Field, Toronto

Group: Group I

The 2026 World Cup “Group of Death” has lived up to its name, with Senegal and Iraq witnessing the stellar play of Group I’s two strongest squads. The two sides both sit on 0 points apiece, having lost to Norway and France in the first two rounds of the group stage.

Despite the losses, Senegal has easily been the third-most competitive team in the group and is an overwhelming favorite today as a result.

The African side is still aiming for a significant victory, currently owning a -3 goal differential. Depending on the outcomes in other groups, even a 1-0 victory could suffice, but that'll remain uncertain until group play concludes.

As a result, Senegal could push for goals from the opening minute to the final whistle to try and secure its spot in the Round of 32.

Iraq’s defense has failed to slow down its opponent in its first two matches of the competition and will face another dangerous attack on Matchday 3. The Asian side has conceded 7 goals in the first two matches, scoring just 1 in return.

Qualifying from this group was always going to be difficult for Iraq, but technically, it remains in the cards. It'd take an upset of Senegal and both significant and convenient results from other groups, though.

Senegal vs. Iraq: Favorite to Win, Spread, Total Goals – Friday, June 26

Senegal enters Friday’s game as the favorites, returning a 1.2x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks. Meanwhile, Iraq will try to absorb Senegal’s early pressure as it too seeks an all-important win in the final match of group play.

Senegal’s three-headed attack of Sadio Mané, Nicolás Jackson, and Ismaïla Sarr has each shown flashes in this World Cup and will need a big game to ensure qualification. Iraq’s defense has played some of the world’s best attackers in Kylian Mbappé and Erling Haaland and now faces another excellent trio.

The Iraqi defense has looked vulnerable in set pieces, but primarily in open play. Senegal’s pace may cause issues for the Asian side, who have allowed 6 of its 7 goals from open play thus far.

Here are the full payouts for the Senegal vs. Iraq match on PrizePicks.

• Winner Payout: Senegal – 1.2x | Tie – 5.88x | Iraq – 9.09x
• Spread: Senegal -1.5 (1.58x Payout) 
• Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.27x)
• Both Teams to Score: Yes 2.04x | No 1.72x

Payouts show potential returns on correct Team Picks predictions. A 2x payout returns $200 on a $100 entry. Lower multipliers reflect outcomes users are picking as more likely. Payouts are live as of writing and subject to change.

Make your Senegal vs. Iraq prediction on spread or goals on PrizePicks Team Picks — available in 35 states!

Senegal vs. Iraq Prediction on Total Goals for World Cup 2026 

Here are the key stats and trends for Senegal vs. Iraq before making your World Cup 2026 predictions on PrizePicks.

• Both teams have conceded 3+ goals in each of their first two games of the tournament. Iraq has conceded 7 goals, while Senegal has conceded 6.
• Each of Senegal’s matches has had more than 3.5 total goals, while Iraq has had one of two surpass that total.
• Senegal has outperformed its xG by .75, scoring thrice and creating 2.25 xG. Iraq has scored just once but has a combined 1.43 xG.
• Iraq’s 4 total shots in its last game vs. France were the fewest by any Group I team thus far. Senegal has taken 22 shots combined and created 5 big chances.
• Senegal has been successful in playing balls over the top of defenders, ranking second in accurate long balls per game with 25.5. Could this be utilized to break Iraq's low block? 

Lock in your Senegal vs. Iraq prediction for the 2026 World Cup now!

Senegal vs. Iraq Lineups for World Cup 2026 – Friday, June 26

Here are the projected Senegal vs. Iraq lineups for today's World Cup match. Lineups are unofficial and based on historical data.

Senegal Lineup vs. Iraq Today

Projected Formation: 4-3-3

• Goalkeeper: Mory Diaw
• Defense: Krepin Diatta, Kalidou Koulibaly, Moussa Niakhaté, El Hadji Malick Diouf
• Midfield: Lamine Camara, Idrissa Gana Guèye, Papa Guèye
• Forwards: Ismaïla Sarr, Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mané

Iraq Lineup vs. Senegal Today

Projected Formation: 4-1-4-1

• Goalkeeper: Ahmed Basil
• Defense: Hussein Ali, Zaid Tahseen, Akam Hasheim, Merchas Doski
• Midfield: Amir Al-Ammari, Zaid Ismail, Zidane Iqbal
• Forwards: Ahmed Qasem, Ali Al-Hamadi, Ibrahim Bayesh

Senegal vs. Iraq Picks, Player Stats for World Cup: 6/26/26

Here are the top Senegal vs. Iraq player picks to target on Friday, June 26. Today’s World Cup 2026 picks are headlined by Nicolas Jackson, Sadio Mané, and Ahmed Basil.

Senegal FW Nicolas Jackson Pick vs. Iraq 

Nicolas Jackson Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Shots, 1.5 Shots Assisted, 0.5 Offsides (Goblin)

• Jackson hasn't had as strong a World Cup as he would have hoped. Even so, the Chelsea striker hasn't shied away from taking his chances and looking for goals. He has 4 total shots after two games and could take plenty more today as his side looks to score eagerly. 
• The 25-year-old has shown a unique ability to serve as a playmaker despite lining up as a typical striker. He's averaging 1.5 key passes per game, with one leading to an assist in the opener against France. Jackson may potentially see an increase in possession on Friday.
• Jackson has been one of the most penalized forwards when it comes to trying to break a defense’s back line too early. He's now been whistled for 5 offsides in his first two matches, ranking second among all players at the competition.

Combine Senegal + Nicolás Jackson World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

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Senegal FW Sadio Mané vs. Iraq 

Sadio Mané Projections via PrizePicks: 0.5 Shots on Target (Goblin), 4 Attempted Dribbles, 1.5 Goals + Assist (Demon)

• Mané continues to be Senegal’s most dangerous attacker at 34 years old. He recorded 1 shot on target in Senegal’s opener but none against Norway on Monday. With the World Cup fate of his country on the line, could Mané go down swinging?
• The Al-Nassr winger continues to terrorize defenders on the right flank He has attempted 3.5 dribbles per game and could see more with Senegal expected by many to have its most possession of its games to this point.
• Mané had his first goal contribution of the competition with an assist vs. Norway on Monday. Given how many goals Iraq have conceded, perhaps he has multiple involvements this afternoon.

Combine Senegal + Sadio Mané World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Iraq GK Ahmed Basil vs. Senegal 

Ahmed Basil Projections via PrizePicks: 4 Goalie Saves, 7.5 Goalie Fantasy Score

• Ahmed Basil was selected for Iraq’s second match after a poor showing from starter and squad captain Jalal Hassan in the opener. Basil faced 5 shots on target in his debut and made just 2 saves. With Senegal looking to score as many goals as possible, 4 goalie saves may be achievable for the 29-year-old.
• The 6’0” keeper struggled with command in his box, which could be an issue should he start again. He made 0 high claims last time out, and Senegal have multiple players who can attack the box from set piece situations.
• Basil had just a 3 fantasy score against France and could suffer from conceding several goals again today with Senegal potentially eyeing multiple scores.

Combine Iraq + Ahmed Basil World Cup picks for bigger payouts on PrizePicks.

Make Your Senegal vs. Iraq Prediction for World Cup on PrizePicks

Group I comes down to the final match, with both sides looking to qualify with a win and get some serious help elsewhere. Can Iraq defy the odds, or will Senegal finally pick up its first victory for the 2026 World Cup this afternoon?

Don’t wait until lock. Make your Senegal vs. Iraq picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right on every World Cup game.

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