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Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction on Spread – Monday, March 9

Saint Mary's forward Paulius Murauskas dribbles in a college basketball game.
AP Photo/Young Kwak

The West Coast Conference (WCC) Tournament is down to four teams heading into Monday, as Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary's will round out the semifinals after Gonzaga's game vs. Oregon State tonight.

The Saint Mary’s Gaels (27-4) are on a collision course with Gonzaga for another showdown in the WCC Tournament Championship game.

However, the Santa Clara Broncos (25-7) look to spoil the party as 3.5-point underdogs on the spread, via PrizePicks Team Picks, and prevent Saint Mary’s from the WCC Championship game for the first time since 2021. 

Let’s look at the Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s prediction on the spread for Monday’s WCC battle at Orleans Arena in Las Vegas, tipping off at 11:30 p.m. ET on ESPN2.

Make your CBB picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks in the WCC Tournament and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

The Saint Mary's Gaels lost two conference games this season, the first coming to Santa Clara following a 6-0 WCC start. 

The Broncos stifled Saint Mary’s, 62-54, on January 17 as 1.5-point home favorites, limiting the Gaels to 4-of-22 shooting from deep.

In the second matchup, Saint Mary’s dominated Santa Clara, 86-67, as 5.5-point favorites. The Gaels outrebounded the Broncos, 51-21 and hit 11 treys to improve to 8-1 against Santa Clara since the 2022-23 season.


Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Spread, Over/Under – 3/9/26

The Saint Mary's Gaels enter this matchup as 3.5-point favorites, returning a 1.47x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if SMC wins outright.

The Santa Clara Broncos are underdogs with a 2.43x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.

  • Spread: Saint Mary’s -3.5 (1.66x payout)
  • Over/Under: 150.5 (2x payout)
  • Game Winner Payout: Santa Clara 2.63x | Saint Mary’s 1.47x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change


Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction on Spread – Monday, March 9

Here are some key stats to know before locking in your Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s prediction against the spread for the WCC Tournament semifinal on Monday, March 9, on PrizePicks.

  • Santa Clara held off Pacific in Sunday’s quarterfinals, 76-68. However, the Broncos failed to cover as 10.5-point favorites.
  • The Broncos cashed in their first three opportunities as an underdog, but didn’t cover in the last two against Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga.
  • Saint Mary’s enters tonight on an eight-game winning streak, capped off by a 70-59 home triumph over Gonzaga on February 28.
  • The Gaels have won 17 consecutive games as the favorite, while posting a 12-5 against the spread (ATS) mark.
  • Santa Clara ranks first in WCC play in offensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage (57.1%), and 2-point percentage (58.7%).
  • The Gaels are the top team in conference action in defensive EFG (46.7%) and defensive 3-point percentage (31%).
  • In each of Santa Clara’s last four wins, it knocked down at least 13 3-pointers. In the past two defeats to Saint Mary’s and Gonzaga, the Broncos made a combined 17 treys.
  • In the last four games, the Gaels have allowed opponents to convert 31.2% from downtown.
  • Since hitting at least 60% of its 2-point attempts in three straight games, Santa Clara has not made more than 55% of its 2-point tries in six consecutive outings.
  • Saint Mary’s eliminated Santa Clara in the WCC semifinals in 2022 and 2024. 

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Make Your Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s Prediction on PrizePicks

The winner of tonight’s matchup in Las Vegas heads to the WCC championship game on Tuesday, facing the winner of Oregon State vs. Gonzaga. Will Saint Mary’s make the conference final for a fifth straight season, or will Santa Clara qualify for the WCC title game for the first time since 2007?

You can make your Santa Clara vs. Saint Mary’s picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 345 states

Check out the Playbook throughout the season for more college basketball predictions, picks, and news every day.

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Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

about the author

Kevin has spent the last 15 years in the sports gambling space. He covered all major sports at VegasInsider both as a writer and handicapper from 2009 until 2024. He has also covered college basketball and MLB for the Action Network.

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