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Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga Prediction on Spread for WCC Championship – 3/10/26

Gonzaga F Graham Ike attempts a shot vs. Pacific.
AP Photo/Young Kwak

Tuesday, March 10’s college basketball schedule is headlined by the WCC Tournament Championship between the Santa Clara Broncos (26-7) and the Gonzaga Bulldogs (29-3), tipping off on ESPN at 9:00 p.m. ET.

Santa Clara remains on the NCAA Tournament bubble, but a win would secure its spot in the Big Dance. Gonzaga, meanwhile, is chasing its 12th WCC title since 2013.

Let’s take a deep dive into this WCC Championship matchup, make a Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga prediction for the spread, and highlight college basketball projections on PrizePicks Team Picks.

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Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga Prediction, Spread, Over/Under – 3/10/26

Gonzaga is 8-2 in the last 10 head-to-head matchups, but Santa Clara is 6-4 against the spread (ATS) in the split. The over has hit in five consecutive battles.

Both teams are 8-2 outright and 5-5 ATS over the past 10 games. Low-scoring games are a trend for the Bulldogs, with the under 8-2 in the last 10 contests.


Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga Spread, Over/Under for WCC Championship

Gonzaga’s been favored in every WCC game this season, and that continues with the Bulldogs listed as a 6.5-point favorite vs. Santa Clara, per PrizePicks Team Picks. Will Gonzaga’s under trend continue for tonight’s 157.5 over/under vs. the Broncos?

  • Spread: Gonzaga Bulldogs -6.5
  • Over/Under: 157.5

Team picks data is live as of publishing and is subject to change.

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Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga Prediction on Spread for WCC Championship

Gonzaga’s enjoyed solid cushions vs. Santa Clara, winning February 14’s matchup by 8 points and January 8’s clash by 12 points. 

The Bulldogs dominated the interior in each collision, out-rebounding the Broncos by an average margin of +6.5 per game. Plus, the Zags totaled 58.0 points in the paint per game, while Santa Clara totaled only 38.0 in the two-game split.

Gonzaga F Graham Ike recorded 27.5 points per game (PPG) and 13.0 rebounds per game (RPG) in regular-season matchups vs. the Broncos, surpassing his season-long averages of 19.9 PPG and 8.4 RPG. 

The battle around the rim could remain a problem, as Santa Clara is in the 24th percentile of defensive rebounding rate. Bart Torvik ranks the Broncos in the 15th percentile of close-2 shot distribution allowed.

Controlling the glass could continue, with the Bulldogs in the 91st and 96th percentiles of offensive and rebounding rates. Gonzaga may be poised for more looks around the rim, too, sporting a 40.5% close-2 shot distribution (65th percentile).

Santa Clara converted 11-of-25 3-point shots (44.0%) in the WCC Tournament semifinal vs. Saint Mary’s, but the Zags may have the answer by holding opponents to a 31.0% mark from beyond the arc (90th percentile).


Make Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga Picks on PrizePicks

Will Santa Clara win its first WCC Tournament since 1993, or will Gonzaga maintain its domination? The Broncos may lean on hot 3-point shooting in hopes of silencing concerns in the frontcourt.

Make your Santa Clara vs. Gonzaga predictions for the WCC Championship at PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn real-money rewards for your predictions if you’re right. 

Just choose players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and follow the hoops action to see if your picks hit. You can make picks on winners, spreads, and over/unders on Team Picks, now available in 35 states

Keep tabs on the Playbook for continued college basketball predictions, picks, and news all the way through the NCAA Tournament.

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about the author

Riley Thomas is a 2021 graduate of Ohio University who has worked for FanDuel Sportsbook and BetUS Sportsbook. He specializes in covering the NFL, NBA, college football, and college basketball. In Riley's free time, you can find him cheering on Ohio State and Kentucky or playing video games and reading the latest comics.

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