The Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens Game 4 in their NHL Playoffs series is set for puck drop at 7:00 p.m. ET on Tuesday, May 12, with the Canadiens favored to win and returning a 1.72x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they land in the win column.
The Canadiens put together a dominant offensive performance in Game 3 to take a 2-1 lead in the Eastern Conference semifinal series. Will Montreal continue its stellar play on home ice?
Below, we'll break down our Sabres vs. Canadiens prediction and picks for Tuesday’s NHL Game 4, including the puck line, over/under, and key player picks for PrizePicks.
Make your Sabres vs. Canadiens picks on PrizePicks now for tonight's NHL Playoff game.
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Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction, Winner, Over/Under for Game 4 – Tuesday, May 12
The Sabres dominated the Canadiens in a 4-2 win in Game 1, but the tide has completely turned over the past two games. Montreal has outscored Buffalo 11-3 in Games 2 and 3, including recording a 6-2 victory in Game 3.
Sabres C Tage Thompson opened the scoring with a goal just 53 seconds into Game 3. However, the Canadiens scored 4 unanswered goals to take a commanding advantage and never looked back.
LW Alex Newhook tallied a pair of goals, while D Lane Hutson added 2 assists to lead the way for Montreal.
The Canadiens excelled on the power-play, converting 2 of their 6 opportunities on the man advantage. It was a huge change from Game 2, where Montreal went 0-for-5.
Sabres vs. Canadiens Winner Payout, Over/Under for Game 4 – Tuesday, May 12
The Canadiens enter Tuesday’s Game 4 as home favorites against the Sabres, returning a 1.72x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Sabres vs. Canadiens game on PrizePicks.
- Puck Line: Montreal Canadiens -1.5 (2.7x payout)
- Over/Under: 6.5 (2x payout on Over)
- Game Winner Payout: Sabres 2.04x | Canadiens 1.72x
Play the Sabres vs. Canadiens winner or over/under on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Buffalo Sabres vs. Montreal Canadiens Timeline
Here is the full Sabres vs. Canadiens timeline, including the playoff series game-by-game and recent matchup history.
All-Time: Sabres, 156-150-31-5
Regular Season: Tied 2-2
Series: Canadiens, 2-1
Sabres vs. Canadiens Eastern Conference Semifinals Timeline, Schedule for 2026 NHL Playoffs
- Game 1: Sabres 4, Canadiens 2
- Game 2: Canadiens 5, Sabres 1
- Game 3: Canadiens 6, Sabres 2
- Game 4: Tuesday, May 12, 7:00 p.m. ET in Montreal
- Game 5: Thursday, May 14, 7:00 p.m. ET in Buffalo
- Games 6-7 if necessary
Sabres vs. Canadiens Prediction on Over/Under for NHL Playoffs, Game 4 – 5/12/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Sabres vs. Canadiens prediction on the Game 4 over/under for Tuesday, May 12.
Lock in your Sabres vs. Canadiens prediction on PrizePicks before the puck drops.
- The over is 2-0-1 in the three games between the Sabres and Canadiens in this series.
- The Sabres have racked up 3.00 goals per game this postseason, which ranks sixth among playoff teams.
- Buffalo G Alex Lyon has tallied a 3.67 goals-against-average and a .879 save percentage in the Eastern Conference semifinals.
- The Canadiens have converted 20.5% of their power-play opportunities, good for sixth.
- Montreal has killed off just 80.5% of its penalties, ranking 11th in the postseason field.
Sabres vs. Canadiens Picks, Player Stats for PrizePicks: 5/12/26
Here are the top Sabres vs. Canadiens picks to target in Game 4 on PrizePicks for Tuesday, May 12. Today’s NHL picks for PrizePicks include Jakub Dobes and Alex Tuch.
Canadiens G Jakub Dobes vs. Sabres Projection: 25.5 Goalie Saves
- Dobes has recorded at least 26 saves in five games this postseason.
- The Canadiens’ netminder has tallied a 2.33 goals-against-average and a .904 save percentage in three starts vs. the Sabres.
- According to MoneyPuck, Dobes has racked up a .964 save percentage when facing unblocked shots in the 2026 NHL playoffs, fifth among playoff goaltenders.
- Dobes has registered the third-most saves (247) among playoff goaltenders this postseason, only trailing Dan Vladar (271) and Carter Hart (257).
Add Jakub Dobes to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
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Sabres RW Alex Tuch vs. Canadiens Projection: 0.5 Points
- Tuch has tallied at least a point in five of his nine games during the 2026 postseason.
- According to NHL Edge Stats, Tuch has registered 31 shots on goal this postseason, ranking in the 98th percentile among skaters.
- Tuch leads the Sabres in goals (4) while being tied for second on the team in points (7) during the 2026 NHL Playoffs.
- Tuch has recorded 10 shots on goal from high-danger areas (95th percentile).
Add Alex Tuch to your PrizePicks Lineup now.
Make Sabres vs. Canadiens Game 4 Picks on PrizePicks
The Canadiens and Sabres have combined to put quite a few goals on the board throughout the Eastern Conference semifinal series. Due to Montreal’s success at home in Game 3, could another high-octane performance be in the cards in Game 4?
Don’t wait until puck drop — make your Sabres vs. Canadiens picks on PrizePicks now and earn real money if you’re right.
Pick NHL players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on game winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
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