The Houston Rockets (39-23) travel to the Frost Bank Center to battle the San Antonio Spurs (46-17) on Sunday, with Houston looking to string together back-to-back wins and San Antonio hoping to extend its streak to four in a row.
This highly anticipated matchup centers around a heavyweight clash between one of the most prolific scorers in NBA history, F Kevin Durant, and phenom C Victor Wembanyama. Tip-off for this pivotal Lone Star State showdown is at 8:00 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock.
Below, we’ll break down our Rockets vs. Spurs prediction and picks for Sunday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
San Antonio is second in the Western Conference and has been absolutely rolling. The Spurs are riding a three-game winning streak after bouncing back from a loss to the Knicks that snapped an 11-game run. Their defense is suffocating, allowing just 111.4 PPG while holding opponents to 45.0% shooting.
Wembanyama continues to be a force, averaging 23.8 points, 11.2 rebounds, and 3.0 blocks. Wemby has been on a tear lately — he dropped 38 points and 16 rebounds against the Detroit Pistons on March 5, then followed it up with 27 points and 10 boards in a comeback win over the Los Angeles Clippers.
PG De'Aaron Fox has been equally dangerous, averaging 17.0 points and 3.0 rebounds while shooting 50.7% over his last 10 games.
Houston sits third in the West and has won two of its last three outings. The Rockets' offense runs through Durant and C Alperen Sengun, who have shouldered the scoring load. Durant leads the team at 26.1 PPG on an efficient 50.9% from the field, while Sengun has been a double-double machine, posting 20.5 points, 9.1 rebounds, and 6.2 assists per contest.
G Reed Sheppard has provided a reliable spark from deep, knocking down 3-pointers at a 39.9% clip and averaging 13.5 PPG. In his last 10 outings, Sheppard has connected on 4.2 triples per game, giving Houston the floor spacing it needs around its frontcourt stars.
The Spurs are 5.5-point favorites at home, where they've been dominant at 23-6 and carry a seven-game winning streak. San Antonio took the last meeting 111-99 on January 28.
Rockets vs. Spurs Spread, Over/Under
The Rockets enter this matchup as 5.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2.7x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Spurs are home favorites with a 1.42x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 34 states.
- Spread: San Antonio Spurs -5.5
- Over/Under: 221.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rockets 2.7x | Spurs 1.42x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Rockets vs. Spurs Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Rockets vs. Spurs injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.
Houston Rockets Injury Report
- F Jae’Sean Tate (knee): OUT
San Antonio Spurs Injury Report
- F Harrison Barnes (ankle): OUT
- C Mason Plumlee (conditioning): OUT
Rockets vs. Spurs Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to help you make your Rockets vs. Spurs prediction on Sunday, March 8.
- Houston enters Sunday at 28-34-0 against the spread (45.2%), while San Antonio sits at 35-27-2 ATS (56.5%).
- The Spurs have been dominant at home ATS, owning a 16-12-1 record (57.1%).
- San Antonio's defense ranks third in the NBA in rating (110.1), presenting a serious challenge for a Houston offense that has averaged just 110.4 PPG over its last five road contests.
- The Rockets have covered in five of their last seven games overall, but Durant and Sengun face a physically imposing Wembanyama-led frontcourt that has held opponents to 44.4% shooting at home.
- On January 28, the Spurs covered as 2.5-point road underdogs.
Rockets vs. Spurs Picks for PrizePicks Today
Here are two top Rockets vs. Spurs picks to target for Sunday, March 8 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by C Victor Wembanyama and F Kevin Durant.
Rockets C Victor Wembanyama vs. Rockets Projection: 35.5 Pts + Rebs
- The third-year big man has surpassed tonight’s 35.5 points and rebounds projection in three out of his last four games.
- The Spurs star big posted a monstrous 28-point, 16-rebound double-double against Houston on January 28.
- Even though Houston boasts a top-five overall defensive rating (111.6), it’s allowed opposing Cs to average 21.3 points and 12.8 rebounds.
- In his last nine outings in which he’s logged at least 20 minutes, Wembanyama has compiled 36+ points and rebounds five times.
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Rockets F Kevin Durant vs. Spurs Projection: 25.5 Points
- Durant is currently the NBA's 10th-leading scorer.
- Surging offensively heading into this matchup, Durant has elevated his production to 29.0 PPG over his last five games.
- He continues to operate as the primary offensive engine, averaging 27.4% usage and 18.0 field goal attempts.
- The Spurs have struggled to contain elite scorers at the SF position, ceding 22.6 PPG. Durant scored 24 points in his most recent matchup with the Spurs.
Make Rockets vs. Spurs Picks on PrizePicks
Rockets vs. Spurs Sunday NBA picks are just one of many ways fans can get in on Sunday's NBA action.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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