Thursday’s La Liga match between Real Madrid and Real Oviedo is set to kick off at 3:30 p.m. ET. Real Madrid enters the La Liga match as heavy favorites on their home pitch, with a 1.21x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks.
With the title race decided, Madrid’s remaining fixtures become evaluation matches rather than must-win scenarios. Alvaro Arbeloa’s squad is set to host Real Oviedo in the nation’s capital after a title-deciding defeat to Barcelona over the weekend.
Below, we'll break down our Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo prediction and picks for Thursday's La Liga match, including winner payouts, total goals, and top player picks for PrizePicks today.
Make your Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo prediction on PrizePicks for Thursday's La Liga match now.
{{soccer_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Prediction, Picks for La Liga – Thursday, May 14
Real Madrid will officially finish the 2025-2026 season trophyless after a 2-0 loss to Barcelona in El Clásico on Sunday afternoon. This marks the second consecutive season that Los Blancos have failed to win a major trophy, and the Madristas are growing impatient.
The La Liga runner-ups will have a chance to finish the season, giving fans a glimmer of hope, with two of the last three games set at the Bernabéu. Arbeloa and Co. will host the already relegated Real Oviedo on Thursday afternoon.
Real Oviedo’s return to La Liga would end up being short-lived after a difficult first season back in the Spanish top flight. Los Carbayones struggled mightily amid rising competition and sit on just 29 points with 35 games played to date.
Oviedo’s best run of form came and went from mid-March through most of April. Guillermo Almada’s squad had three of its six wins on the season in that span and went 3-1-2 over the six-game stretch.
Unfortunately, Oviedo’s struggles have returned, with the Northern Spain club scoring just 1 goal over its last three games. Almada’s squad will now travel to the Santiago Bernabeu, a stadium they haven’t won in since 1993.
Real Madrid could see the return of its top scorer F Kylian Mbappe. The Frenchman could come into this game as a reserve after missing Madrid’s last two matches with a hamstring injury.
Even with Mbappe’s impending return, Real Madrid’s injury list remains hefty, with MF Arda Guler, MF Federico Valverde, and F Rodrygo headlining a list of stars who remain out for the foreseeable future.
Los Blancos will likely make several squad rotations for the remainder of La Liga’s season, with no trophy to play for, and the 2026 World Cup looming this summer. Expect Madrid to push for an early advantage before rotating younger players in the second half.
Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Spread, Total Goals, Payouts – Thursday, May 14
Real Madrid enters Thursday’s game as home favorites against Real Oviedo, returning a 1.21x payout if they win outright, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Here are the full payouts for the Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo game on PrizePicks.
- Winner Payout: Real Madrid – 1.21x | Tie – 5.88x | Real Oviedo – 9.09x
- Spread: Real Madrid -1.5 (1.58x Payout)
- Total Goals: 3.5 (Over – 2.12x)
- Both Teams to Score: Yes 1.96x | No 1.75x
Play the Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo spread or total goals on PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money — available in 35 states!
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Prediction on Total Goals – 5/14/26
Here are the key game stats and trends behind our Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo prediction on total goals for La Liga match on Thursday, May 14.
Lock in your Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo prediction on PrizePicks before kickoff.
- Real Oviedo has a league-low 27 goals this season. Los Carbayones are averaging 1 goal per game on the road.
- Real Madrid averages 2.3 goals per home game in La Liga this season. That number is down to just 2 goals per game over Real Madrid’s last five home matches.
- Los Blanco rank second in La Liga with 71.30 xG. Arbeloa’s squad is slightly underperforming on its xG by 1.3 goals.
- Oviedo has the second-lowest xG per match in La Liga this season (0.96). Almada’s squad has underperformed on its xG by 1.92 goals over its four-game winless streak.
- Real Madrid is averaging just 1.4 big chances per game in its last five La Liga matches. That is almost 2.0 big chances per game less than its season average (3.2).
- Real Oviedo’s 3.4 shots on target per match is the third-lowest mark in La Liga. Only Getafe averages fewer total shots per game than Oviedo.
{{soccer_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Projected Lineups for Thursday, May 14
Take a look at the Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo projected lineups for today's La Liga match. Lineups are not official and should be confirmed before match start.
Real Madrid Lineup vs. Real Oviedo: Projected 4-2-3-1
Goalkeeper: Thibaut Courtois
Defense: Trent Alexander-Arnold, Antonio Rudiger, Raul Asencio, Fran Garcia
Midfield: Eduardo Camavinga, Aurelien Tchouameni, Jude Bellingham
Forwards: Brahim Diaz, Gonzalo Garcia, Vinicius Jr.
Real Oviedo Lineup vs. Real Madrid: Projected 4-4-2
Goalkeeper: Aaron Escandell
Defense: Abdel Rahim, Dani Calvo, David Costas, Nacho Vidal
Midfield: Thiago Fernandez, Alberto Reina, Santiago Colombatto, Haissem Hassan
Forwards: Federico Vinas, Ilyas Chaira
Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Player Picks, Stats for PrizePicks – 5/14/26
Here are Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo picks to target for La Liga on PrizePicks for Thursday, May 14. Today’s La Liga picks include Jude Bellingham and Aaron Escandell.
Real Madrid MF Jude Bellingham vs. Real Oviedo
Jude Bellingham Projections via PrizePicks: 3 Attempted Dribbles, 2 Shots, 57.5 Passes Attempted
- Despite missing much of the season with various injuries, Jude Bellingham is still averaging 2.52 dribbles attempted per game this season.
- This number has elevated to 3.6 dribbles attempted per game over his last five league matches.
- The English midfielder is averaging 42.44 passes attempted per match in limited minutes.
- This number rises to nearly 50 attempted passes per game in Bellingham’s 20 starts this season.
- Real Madrid may see a good amount of the ball, with Real Oviedo averaging just 45.8% possession to Madrid’s 58.8% in La Liga.
- Bellingham is averaging 1.9 total shots per game this season. The 22-year-old has had 3 shots in back-to-back home games leading up to Thursday.
Add Jude Bellingham to your PrizePicks Lineup now!
Real Oviedo GK Aaron Escandell vs. Real Madrid
Aaron Escandell Projections via PrizePicks: 4.5 Goalie Saves, 35.5 Passes Attempted
- Aaron Escandell averages the most saves in La Liga this season (4.1 saves per game).
- The Spanish keeper has prevented 6.06 goals this season, the third highest in league play.
- Real Madrid averages just under 7 shots on target per game this season. Escandell made 8 saves when these teams met earlier this year.
- Escandell leads Real Oviedo in total passes this season. The 30-year-old is averaging 34.4 passes attempted per game and had 43 passes attempted the first time these teams played.
Add Aaron Escandell to your PrizePicks Lineup now!
{{soccer_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Make Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo Predictions on PrizePicks
Real Madrid will hope to return to the winning column when they host Real Oviedo on Thursday, May 14, at 3:30 p.m. ET. Real Oviedo will look to pick up any consolation points it can with impending relegation at the season’s end.
Don’t wait until kickoff — you can make your Real Madrid vs. Real Oviedo picks for Thursday’s La Liga match now on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money.
Just pick your La Liga players, predict More or Less on their stats, and cash in if you’re right. With Team Picks, you can make predictions on match winner, total goals, and both teams to score – now available in 35 states.
Stay locked in with the Playbook for continued soccer and La Liga predictions, picks, and analysis.
