Raptors vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread: Trust Dubs Minus Jimmy Butler?

Golden State Warriors F Jimmy Butler is helped off the court after suffering an injury against the Miami Heat.
AP Photo/Jeff Chiu

Less than half of the NBA is in action on Tuesday, leaving fans with a light slate of matchups to tune into. One late-night bout sees inter-conference foes clash on the hardwood.

Tuesday’s outing between a pair of 25-19 teams, the Toronto Raptors and Golden State Warriors, tips off at 10:00 p.m. ET. With one side banged up overall and the other just watching one of its best players go down, neither club is at full strength. 

Below, we’ll break down our Raptors vs. Warriors prediction and picks for Tuesday night’s game. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!

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Raptors vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

A season ago, the Raptors finished well outside play-in territory at 30-52. Now, they occupy the No. 4 seed in the Eastern Conference thanks to an East-leading 22 conference wins.

The Warriors, meanwhile, won 48 games in 2024-25 and seemed to be getting back on track. Although head coach Steve Kerr’s team is on a similar arc this year and is 7-3 in its last 10, an All-Star player is now out of the lineup. 

Tuesday marks the 58th regular-season meeting between the Raptors and Warriors. The series leans toward Golden State, who owns a 34-23 advantage.   

Raptors vs. Warriors Over/Under, Spread

The Raptors enter Tuesday’s game as 3.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2.17x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Warriors are home favorites with a 1.58x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Golden State Warriors -3.5
  • Over/Under: 225.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Raptors 2.17x | Warriors 1.58x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Raptors vs. Warriors Injury Report

Let’s dive into the full Raptors vs. Warriors injury report for Tuesday, via NBA.com.

Raptors Injury Report

  • G-F RJ Barrett (ankle) – OUT
  • F Collin Murray-Boyles (thumb) – OUT
  • C Jakob Poeltl (back) – OUT
  • SG Ja’Kobe Walter (hip) – OUT

Warriors Injury Report

  • N/A at time of writing

Of course, the main story surrounding the Warriors is star F Jimmy Butler. The 15-year veteran suffered a torn ACL in Monday night’s win over the Miami Heat. He’s out for the rest of the season.

Prior to his injury, Butler averaged 20 points, 5.6 rebounds, and 4.9 assists per night on 51.9% shooting from the field and 37.6% from deep. 

Raptors vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to help you make your Raptors vs. Warriors prediction on Tuesday, January 20

  • The Warriors are 13-7 against the spread as home favorites, the fifth-best mark in the NBA. 
  • On the year, the Dubs lead the sport in both 3-pointers attempted (44.5) and made (16.4) per game while canning 36.7% of those tries.
  • Defensively, Golden State yields the ninth-lowest point total every night (113.3) and is in the upper half of the sport in limiting paint production (50.8 PPG, 14th) and assists (26.3, 12th). 
  • This season’s Raptors squad leads the NBA in fastbreak scoring (19.1 PPG) but is 24th in per-game output (113.5 PPG). 
  • On defense, Toronto cedes the No. 8 overall shooting mark (46.2%) but the 17th-ranked 2-point efficiency (54.9%). 

Raptors vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: Tuesday, January 20

Here are three top Raptors vs. Warriors picks to target for Tuesday, January 20 on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by F Brandon Ingram and Scottie Barnes and PG Stephen Curry.

Raptors F Brandon Ingram vs. Warriors Projection: 28.5 Pts + Rebs

  • Ingram averages 27.7 combined points and rebounds per game. In four games since returning to the lineup on Jan. 12, that number is up to 28.6. 
  • This is the first year Ingram owns a double-digit total rebounding clip (10.0%). 
  • B.I. shoots 46.3% on long midrange shots (16 feet to the 3-point line), the second-highest figure of his career.
  • Per NBARAPM, Ingram’s 27.6 true shot attempts per 100 possessions puts him in the 96th percentile. 

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Raptors F Scottie Barnes vs. Warriors Projection: 34.5 Pts + Rebs + Asts

  • On average, Barnes nets a combined point, rebound, and assist total of 33.3. His number is 37 in his last five outings.
  • The fifth-year man is posting the highest true shooting percentage (57.5) of his NBA tenure.
  • Barnes’ 13.4% total rebounding rate is a new personal best.
  • Despite being on-ball 7% less often than a season ago (26% down to 19%), Barnes averages a career-high 3.1 potential assists per 1 minute in those scenarios. 

Warriors PG Stephen Curry vs. Raptors Projection: 28.5 Points

  • Curry pours in 27.4 points per night this season. In the month of January, that’s down to 23.8. 
  • According to databallr, in 474 minutes without Butler this year, Curry sees serious drops in 3-point efficiency (-7.4%) and true shooting percentage (-5.0). 
  • Per FantasyPros, the Raptors surrender 26.19 PPG to the PG position, sitting in the middle third of the Association (13th). 
  • Toronto’s No. 7 defensive rating (112.3) indicates that it could give Curry some trouble, even without multiple rotation players. 

Make Raptors vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks

Raptors vs. Warriors picks aren’t the only avenue hoops fans have to getting in on the daily NBA action.

You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states. 

Stick around with the Playbook for continued NBA predictions, picks, and news.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

Jordan Foote is a seasoned sports writer with years of experience covering the NFL, NBA and MLB for multiple outlets. He is a Baker University alumnus, earning his degree in Mass Media with an emphasis in sports journalism. Foote was born and raised in Kansas City, where he still resides to this day.

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