The Los Angeles Rams and Seattle Seahawks meet in the NFC Championship Game with a spot in the Super Bowl at stake. All good series need a third act, and this one is Sunday at 6:30 p.m. ET on FOX.
The fifth-seeded Rams finished the regular season with a 12-5 record, earning the top wild card spot, and defeated the Carolina Panthers and Chicago Bears on the road. The Seahawks, meanwhile, earned home-field advantage and will try to protect their turf again after beating the San Francisco 49ers last week.
Below, we'll break down our Rams and Seahawks prediction and picks for the NFC Championship Game, including the top player projections on PrizePicks for Rams QB Matthew Stafford and WR Puka Nacua and Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
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Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction, Over/Under, Spread
The Rams and Seahawks have played 57 previous times, including two postseason games. The Seahawks hold a 29-28 all-time advantage, and the teams split the two postseason meetings. It's a tight series.
Rams vs. Seahawks Over/Under, Spread
The Seahawks enter the NFC Championship Game as 2.5-point home favorites, returning a 1.63x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The Rams are the underdogs with a 2.17x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Seattle Seahawks -2.5
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rams 2.17x | Seahawks 1.63x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Rams vs. Seahawks Prediction on Spread
This is the first time in three postseason games that the Rams are the underdog. Here are some stats to get you ready for the NFC Championship Game.
- The Rams finished the regular season 12-5 against the spread, tied with the Seahawks and Jacksonville Jaguars for the best ATS record.
- With that said, they did fail to cover in both postseason games thus far, winning by three over both the Panthers and Bears.
- Sunday will mark only the third contest all season in which the Rams are underdogs. They didn't cover vs. the Philadelphia Eagles due to a walk-off blocked FG, but they did cover in Seattle in a one-point overtime loss.
- L.A. leads the NFL in scoring (30.5 PPG), total offensive yardage (394.6 YPG), and passing offense (268.1 YPG). In two playoff wins, they've averaged 27 points and 375.5 total yards.
- Per FTN’s DVOA, the Rams' offense finished the regular season first, and their defense finished fourth — the only team to have both units in the top five.
- The Seahawks finished the regular season first in scoring defense (17.2 PPG), sixth in yardage (285.9 YPG), third in rushing (91.9 YPG), and second in pass yards per play (5.5). They were the top-ranked defense by DVOA.
- Seattle is 10-4 ATS as a favorite, including a cover last week vs. San Francisco.
- The Seahawks have covered by an average of 8.2 points, the largest margin of any NFL team.
Rams vs. Seahawks Picks for NFC Championship Game
Here are three Rams and Seahawks NFC Championship Game player picks for PrizePicks, including Rams QB Matthew Stafford and WR Puka Nacua and Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
Rams QB Matthew Stafford Projection vs. Seahawks: 255.5 Pass Yards
- Stafford has reached his passing projection in 13 of 19 games this season.
- The MVP hopeful has passed for 250+ yards in seven straight and in 13 of 19 games, with his fifth 300-yard game coming against the Panthers on Wild Card Weekend.
- Last week ended a streak of 12 straight games with 2+ passing TDs for Stafford, which was the longest active streak in the NFL. He's reached 2+ TDs 16 times this year, with 10 outings featuring 3+.
- The Rams' signal-caller had the most passing TDs (46) and passing yards (4,707) in the regular season. His 109.2 passer rating finished second.
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Rams WR Puka Nacua Projection vs. Seahawks: 92.5 Rec Yards
- Nacua has reached his receiving yards projection in 11 of 18 games, but fell short last week with 56 yards.
- The listed projection of 92.5 yards is the seventh straight game above 90 for Nacua. He hit his projection in three of the six previous instances.
- The Rams' All-Pro WR recorded 6+ targets and 5+ receptions in all 15 full games he played during the regular season and did so in both postseason games.
- In two games vs. the Seahawks this season, Nacua has 17 catches on 24 targets for 300 yards and 2 TDs.
Seahawks WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba Projection vs. Rams: 88.5 Rec Yards
- Smith-Njigba has posted More than his passing projection in 12 of 18 games but failed to do so in each of his last three contests.
- This weekend's 88.5-yard projection is JSN's lowest since Week 14 at Atlanta (84.5; he got 92).
- The Seahawks' superstar WR has reached 90+ yards in 13 of 18 games, but his last three games saw respective totals of 72, 84, and 19.
- JSN had 17 receptions on 25 targets for 201 yards and a TD in two games vs. the Rams this year.
Make Rams vs. Seahawks Picks on PrizePicks
Can the Seahawks cap off their surprise season with a trip to the Super Bowl, or will the Rams continue their march with another road playoff win? There's no better place to get real-money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.
You can make your Rams vs. Seahawks NFC Championship Game picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
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