Rams vs. Falcons Spread Prediction for MNF: L.A. Statement on the Road?

Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford drops back to pass against the San Francisco 49ers.
AP Photo/Jessie Alcheh

The end of NFL Week 17 may not have playoff implications for one side, but it’s still a national matchup worth following. When the 11-4 Rams and 6-9 Falcons square off, there’s plenty of underlying importance.

Not only is Los Angeles fighting for postseason seeding on the road, but something else must be factored in, too. Thanks to a draft-night trade back in April, the Rams own the Falcons’ 2026 first-round pick. Should Atlanta stumble on the Monday Night Football stage (8:15 p.m. ET on ESPN), it’d be all the better for the visitors. 

Below, we will use PrizePicks Team Picks to make a Rams vs. Falcons spread prediction for MNF, also identifying trends to consider for Week 17’s game.

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Rams vs. Falcons Spread, Over/Under

The Rams enter MNF as 7.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.26x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Falcons are home underdogs with a 3.57x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Los Angeles Rams -7.5
  • Over/Under: 48.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Rams 1.26x | Falcons 3.57x

Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.


Rams vs. Falcons Spread Pick for MNF in Week 17

Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Rams vs. Falcons, including a spread prediction for Week 17’s game using PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Since the start of last season, the Falcons are just 1-2 as a home underdog. In that same span, the Rams are an impressive 8-1 as a road favorite. 
  • Head coach Sean McVay’s crew is a league-leading 11-4 against the spread this season. Raheem Morris’ group, meanwhile, is 7-7-1. 
  • According to Jefe’s Handiwork, Los Angeles is either first or third in EPA per play, success rate, explosive plays and series conversion rate on offense. 
  • Via NFL Pro, the Rams use cloud coverage (Cover 2 or Cover 6) on 26.8% of dropbacks. Falcons QB Kirk Cousins has 0 TDs and 2 INTs against that shell. 
  • Turnovers could be a deciding factor. Per Sharp Football Analysis, the Falcons are dead last in points off turnover margin (-60), whereas the Rams are second-best (+50). 
  • Atlanta is just 26th in points per drive on offense and 19th on defense. L.A. is first and fourth, respectively. 
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Make Rams vs. Falcons Picks on PrizePicks

When Los Angeles and Atlanta duke it out, there will be plenty of opportunities for Rams vs. Falcons picks. The remaining NFL schedule also leaves the door open for several other player projections and much more.

Just pick players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and earn real money if you’re right.

Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, and news.


Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.

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about the author

Jordan Foote is a seasoned sports writer with years of experience covering the NFL, NBA and MLB for multiple outlets. He is a Baker University alumnus, earning his degree in Mass Media with an emphasis in sports journalism. Foote was born and raised in Kansas City, where he still resides to this day.

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