What once was called “Glory’s Last Chance” as the fourth and final major of the year, the PGA Championship has been in May and followed the Masters since 2019.
Five weeks after Rory McIlroy was fitted for his second straight green jacket, the best in the world meet at Aronimink Golf Club in Philadelphia to see who will lift the Wanamaker Trophy on Sunday.
Last season, World No. 1 Scottie Scheffler lapped the field at Quail Hollow for his third major title. Now, he looks to become the first back-to-back winner since Brooks Koepka in 2018-19.
When following golfers, you can pick a lot more than just players to win the event. Let's break down our PGA Championship sleepers and top 10 picks to consider on PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money if you're right by predicting golfers to win or where they'll finish.
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PGA Championship Sleepers, Picks For Top-10 Finish
Aronimink Golf Club is different from the more recent major championship venues, as it’s not a bomber’s course. At just under 7,400 yards, it requires accuracy off the tee and strong iron play from 150 to 200 yards out to very big and undulating greens.
The ability to navigate the greens or get up and down if you miss the approaches is also critical. The all-around game could be put to the test on the Donald Ross-designed course.
Here are three golfers to consider for your PGA Championship top 10 picks on PrizePicks Team Picks.
Xander Schauffele PGA Championship Prediction
- Xander Schauffele had finished in the top 25 in seven straight events before a 60th-place finish last week at Quail Hollow.
- That stretch included four top-10s, and all were at the biggest tournaments on the schedule: third at Players, ninth at the Masters, and seventh at Genesis. He also had a 12th-place finish at the RBC Heritage.
- The two-time major winner has nine top-10s in his last 13 majors, with two wins. His non-top-10 finishes were no worse than 28th.
- The California native ranks 15th in shots gained total, 19th in both off-the-tee and on approach, and 17th on approaches from over 200 yards.
Xander Schauffele Top 10 Payout: Yes 2.56x | No 1.49x
Xander Schauffele Winner Payout: 14.28x
Russell Henley PGA Championship Prediction
- Aronimink Golf Club isn’t the longest course and demands precision off the tee, which Russell Henley leads the entire tour in.
- Henley’s irons haven’t been great (78th in shots gained on approach), but he’s fifth in shots gained on approach at majors over the last 50 rounds.
- Henley has really stepped up his game at the majors, where his T-3 at the Masters last month was his fifth top-10 in the last seven major starts.
- The Georgia product also plays Ross-designed courses well. He was seventh at Pinehurst in 2023 and has three top-5s at East Lake and four top-10s at Sedgefield.
Russell Henley Top 10 Payout: Yes 4.76x | No 1.11x
Russell Henley Winner Payout: 33.33x
Kurt Kitayama PGA Championship Prediction
- The ultimate boom-or-bust golfer has three straight top-20 finishes, including an eighth and a ninth at Signature events. Kitayama had finished no higher than 51st in the previous three events.
- He’s sixth in shots gained on approach, fifth on approach from 175-200 yards, and 11th from 150-175 yards.
- Kitayama hasn't had much success in majors, but his best finish was a fourth-place finish at the 2023 PGA Championship at Oak Hill — another Ross course.
- Since his runner-up finish at the Genesis, the UNLV product has gained at least five strokes in over 10% of his rounds.
Kurt Kitayama Top 10 Payout: Yes 5.55x | No 1.12x
Kurt Kitayama Winner Payout: 33.33x
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2026 PGA Championship Sleeper Pick
Everyone loves a long shot, even if they don’t come through that often. While the last 10 Masters winners were all ranked in the top 25 of the World Rankings at the time of their triumph, the PGA Championship winner has been a little more volatile.
Phil Mickelson in 2021 at 50 years old, Jimmy Walker in 2016, and Keegan Bradley in 2011 are just some of the more recent surprise winners of this major.
Here's one sleeper to consider for this week’s PGA Championship.
Adam Scott PGA Championship Prediction
- Adam Scott is top of the charts in all the shots gained approach metrics: third overall, seventh in ball striking, ninth in greens hit, second from 175-200 yards, and third from both 150-175 yards and 200+ yards.
- In Scott’s last seven events, he has one finish outside the top 25, to go along with two top-5s and a T-11.
- The Aussie led the Cadillac Championship field two weeks ago in greens hit and shots gained on approach, which made him a popular play at Quail Hollow last week. After losing 3.1 strokes on approach in the first round, he responded with +3.01 strokes on Friday and finished shooting 69-66-69.
- Aronimink is an even better fit for the 45-year-old. If he hits some putts, perhaps he could win his second major.
Adam Scott Top 10 Payout: Yes 5x | No 1.13x
Adam Scott Winner Payout: 33.33x
Make 2026 PGA Championship Picks on PrizePicks
Who will contend at the second major of the year? Household names like Jon Rahm, Bryson DeChambeau, Schauffele, Patrick Reed, and McIlroy join defending champion Scheffler at the Aronimink Course right outside of Philadelphia.
You can make your 2026 PGA Championship picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks to earn real money. Just pick golfers, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct.
With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 35 states.
Keep dialed in on Playbook for more PGA Tour picks, predictions, and analysis for every tournament.
