A fantastic football weekend wraps up with a clash of styles in Baltimore with pass-first Patriots vs. the Ravens' run-heavy offense on Sunday Night Football tonight.
The Patriots vs. Ravens kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday in Baltimore, Md., live on NBC in NFL Week 16.
The Patriots (11-3) have a magic number of three to win the AFC East for the first time since 2019 — any combination of three Patriots wins or Bills losses will earn them the division title. For the Ravens, every remaining game is a must-win; if they win out to end the season, they win the AFC North for the third straight season.
Below, we will use PrizePicks Team Picks over/under and spread data —where you can make NFL picks to earn money if you're right — to make our Patriots vs. Ravens prediction for the total points scored, plus identify trends for both teams on Sunday Night Football.
New England Patriots vs. Baltimore Ravens Over/Under, Spread for Sunday Night Football
The Ravens opened the week as 3-point home favorites vs. the Patriots. Since then, they have moved to 3.5-point favorites on PrizePicks Team Picks.
As the current favorites, the Ravens return a 1.51x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Patriots are road underdogs with a 2.5x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens -3.5 (1.88x payout)
- Over/Under: 47.5 (1.78x payout on over)
- Game Winner Payout: Patriots 2.5x | Ravens 1.51x
Team Picks payouts are live as of publishing and are subject to change.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction on Over/Under for Sunday Night Football
The Patriots vs. Ravens over/under opened the week at 46.5 and has since risen to 47.5 as of writing, which comes in tied for the third-highest total on the Week 16 slate, out of 16 games.
Below, we’ll give you a Patriots vs. Ravens pick on the over/under for PrizePicks Team Picks in the Week 16 Sunday Night Football game. Use PrizePicks to make NFL picks and earn money if you’re right.
- The Patriots want to throw the ball, while the Ravens want to run the ball. The Patriots defensive weakness is stopping the run, while the Ravens defensive weakness is stopping the pass.
- The Ravens' rushing offense ranks third in the NFL in expected points added (EPA) per play at .06, while their pass offense is the seventh-worst in the league at -.06.
- The Patriots' run defense ranks 17th in the league in EPA/rush at -.03 and 12th best in EPA/pass at -.03.
- The Patriots' pass offense ranks first in the league in EPA/pass at blazing .24 while their rush offense checks in as the 10th worst at -.05.
- The Ravens' pass defense ranks 19th in the NFL in EPA/pass at .04, while their run defense is the ninth best at -.06.
- Since Week 6, the Ravens' run defense ranks first in the NFL in EPA/play vs the run. Good thing the Patriots want to throw the ball.
- Both teams are coming into the game riddled with defensive injuries — see below.
- On the flip side, both of these teams play slow, which could mean less play volume; the Ravens are eighth slowest (30.2 seconds/play), while the Patriots are fifth slowest (30.7).
Sunday Night Football Injury Report: Patriots vs. Ravens
Adding to the appeal of this over/under is the fact that both defenses are limping into this pivotal Week 16 Sunday Night Football game.
For the Patriots, LB Robert Spillane (ankle) is out, while DT Christian Barmore (knee), CB Carlton Davis III (hip), CB Marcus Jones (knee), and LB Harold Landry (knee) are all listed as questionable.
For the Ravens CB Chidobe Awuizie (foot) is listed as doubtful, while S Kyle Hamilton (ankle) and DT John Jenkins (illness) are both listed as questionable.
Make Sunday Night Football Picks on PrizePicks
The Patriots vs. Ravens wrap up what has been an incredible weekend of football with a Sunday Night Football game that is shaping up to be very entertaining, with dynamic QBs on both sides of the ball.
Both teams have a ton on the line, with the Patriots aiming to cling to first place in the AFC East, while the Ravens need to win out to capture the AFC North.
In the Patriots vs. Ravens game tonight, there are plenty of SNF picks to consider on PrizePicks Team Picks. You can make picks on the Sunday Night Football winner, spread, over/under, and more, and cash in if you're right.
Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, and news all season long.
