Tonight on Sunday Night Football, the AFC East-leading New England Patriots take on the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium at 8:15 p.m. ET on NBC and Peacock. Patriots QB Drake Maye, sitting second in the MVP race this year, faces off against Ravens QB Lamar Jackson, a two-time MVP winner in his own right, for the first time in his career.
The Ravens are not yet out of the playoff race thanks to an abnormally sluggish AFC North division, so this is a matchup with a ton of playoff implications and could be a great watch.
Let’s take a look at our Patriots vs. Ravens SNF picks for PrizePicks, diving into key PrizePicks projections ahead of this Sunday showdown.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Sunday Night Football's Patriots vs. Ravens bout has plenty to keep an eye on.
Patriots vs. Ravens Over/Under, Spread
The Ravens enter this matchup as 2.5-point favorites, returning a 1.61x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Patriots are road underdogs with a 2.22x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens -2.5
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Game Winner Payout: Patriots 2.22x | Ravens 1.61x
Team Picks data is live as of editing and is subject to change.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to get you ready for Patriots vs. Ravens.
- The Patriots are 8-5-1 against the spread this season, tied for the fifth-best record in the NFL.
- New England's 83.3% cover rate in road games trails only the Seahawks (85.7%).
- The Ravens covered just five of their 14 games this year, tied for the lowest rate in the sport.
- Baltimore isn't much better at home, going just 2-6 ATS, worse than anyone not named the Cardinals or Buccaneers (1-6).
Patriots vs. Ravens SNF Picks for PrizePicks
Here are three top Patriots vs. Ravens picks to target on Sunday. Key PrizePicks player projections for players like WR Stefon Diggs, RB Rasheen Ali, and QB Drake Maye stand out.
Patriots WR Stefon Diggs Projection vs. Ravens: 5.5 Receiving Targets
Sunday marks an interesting homecoming for Diggs, who attended Maryland for college. The veteran WR has been somewhat quiet in recent weeks, with fewer than 5 targets in each of his last three games, but he plays with a big-game mentality and could show up for this matchup against the Ravens.
Diggs is the Patriots’ leading receiver against man coverage, handling a 25% target share on the year against the coverage the Ravens run the fourth-most, per Pro Football Focus. Diggs may be matched up against CB Marlon Humphrey, who ranks as PFF’s second-lowest graded coverage CB out of 112 players.
With the Ravens giving up the third-most per-game targets to WRs, per Lineups, we could see Diggs grab a central role in the Patriots’ passing attack in this SNF matchup.
Ravens RB Rasheen Ali Projection vs. Patriots: 5.5 Receiving Yards
Ali has been getting more involved lately. After recording only a single touch for the first eight weeks of the regular season, the second-year RB has had more than this projection in three of his past four games with 15, 11, and 32 receiving yards.
The Patriots are one of the best rushing defenses in the NFL, but they have allowed backs to get receptions aplenty. They allow 5.4 catches to RBs per game, the third-highest number in the NFL, via Lineups.
The Boston squad also allows the 11th-most receiving yards per game to the position.
Patriots QB Drake Maye Projection vs. Ravens: 20.5 Pass Completions
Maye has plenty of incentives to throw the football in this game. The Patriots' star QB has some ground to make up in the MVP race after Rams QB Matthew Stafford threw for over 450 yards against the Seahawks on Thursday night. Could Maye want to come out in prime time to prove to the voters that he's the right choice?
The Ravens give up the eighth-most completions per game to QBs at 22.7 — potentially consider Maye being active through the air. The second-year man has had more than this projection in seven games.
The Ravens could also look to limit the Patriots’ prolific rushing attack, which has really come on strong behind rookie RB TreVeyon Henderson’s last five games. He racked up nearly 500 rushing yards in that span, propelling him to the top of the Offensive Rookie of the Year race.
That could force Maye to use his arm in an effort to lead New England to victory.
Make Patriots vs. Ravens SNF Picks on PrizePicks
This Sunday night matchup between the Ravens and Patriots is crucial to both teams’ playoff hopes. Which squad could come out on top?
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