The Patriots and Ravens collide Sunday in one of Week 16’s headline matchups. Both teams are fighting in the AFC playoff hunt as the action kicks off at 8:20 p.m. ET on NBC from M&T Bank Stadium.
New England looks to rebound from a 35–31 loss to Buffalo in Week 15, where QB Drake Maye flashed promise but came up just short late.
The Patriots now head to Baltimore to face a Ravens team that has won six of their last eight. Baltimore is led by star QB Lamar Jackson and an improved defense has fueled the recent surge.
Below, we'll dive into a Patriots vs. Ravens prediction and picks for Sunday Night Football. Use PrizePicks NFL to make picks on player projections in Week 16 and beyond.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Sunday marks the 16th all-time meeting between the Patriots and Ravens, with New England holding an 11-5 edge in the series. This weekend's clash carries significant playoff implications.
Both teams are relatively healthy heading into Sunday, with the Ravens missing only rookie LB Teddye Buchanan, who is out for the season with a torn ACL suffered vs. the Bengals in Week 15.
Patriots vs. Ravens Over/Under, Spread
The Patriots enter Sunday’s game as 2.5-point road underdogs, returning a 2.22x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Ravens are home favorites with a 1.61x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Baltimore Ravens -2.5
- Over/Under: 47.5
- Game Winner Payout: Patriots 2.22x | Ravens 1.61x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Patriots vs. Ravens Prediction on Spread
- Through 14 games, the Ravens hold one of the league's worst against-the-spread (ATS) records at 5-9, covering at a 35.7% clip.
- Baltimore's recent form has been particularly alarming for bettors, as the Ravens are 1-4 ATS in their last five contests.
- The Patriots have been reliable, boasting an 8-5-1 ATS record that ranks as the fifth-best mark in the NFL.
- New England’s +7.6 margin of victory is the best mark in the AFC.
- The Patriots have seen the total go over in six of their last eight games, fueled by an offense that ranks seventh with 27.3 points per game.
Patriots vs. Ravens Sunday Night Football Picks
Here are the top Patriots vs. Ravens Week 16 picks on PrizePicks' real-money NFL game, including QBs Drake Maye and Lamar Jackson.
Patriots QB Drake Maye vs. Ravens Projection: 239.5 Pass Yards
- Maye is averaging 254.8 passing yards per game (fifth) and has exceeded 239.5 yards in 10 of his 14 games.
- New England's QB1 has averaged 256.4 passing YPG over his last five outings.
- The Patriots' signal-caller is averaging 8.7 yards per attempt (second-most), while Baltimore's defense has allowed 233.3 passing YPG (26t).
- Baltimore plays man coverage at one of the league’s highest rates, which is a matchup Maye has thrived against, posting a 119.8 passer rating and completion rate of over 65%.
Ravens QB Lamar Jackson vs. Patriots Projection: 208.5 Pass Yards
- Jackson nets 8.1 yards per attempt this season, ranking sixth, and faces a Patriots defense allowing a generous 9.6 yards per pass.
- New England utilizes man coverage at a rate of 29.8% (eighth-most). Jackson has been elite against man concepts this season, boasting a 101.8 passer rating.
- The Patriots' pass defense has shown vulnerability on the road, allowing an average of 237.7 passing YPG in away contests compared to just 180.6 at home.
- Baltimore's signal-caller has exceeded 208.5 passing yards in five of his 11 games (45.5%), including two of his last three.
Ravens RB Derrick Henry vs. Patriots Projection: 79.5 Rush Yards
- Henry averages 80.4 rushing YPG, and his workload remains elite with 233 total carries.
- Baltimore's commitment to Henry is clear, as he has logged 18+ carries in seven of his last nine.
- The Patriots' run defense has struggled recently, allowing 133.0 rushing YPG in their last three games.
- New England has yielded 4.1 YPC this season, but that number climbs to 4.6 over their last three. Keep an eye on Henry, who remains effective after contact, averaging 3.2 yards.
Make Patriots vs. Ravens SNF Picks on PrizePicks
This Patriots vs. Ravens SNF Week 16 matchup presents plenty of opportunities to put your NFL knowledge to the test.
Drake Maye looks to get the Patriots' offense back on track against a surging Ravens defense. Meanwhile, Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry aim to keep the offense flowing as they push for an AFC North crown and playoff spot.
With PrizePicks, you can make Patriots vs. Ravens predictions and earn real money by calling your shots. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out if you're right.
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