Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs are back in primetime this Sunday night, hosting the Detroit Lions under the bright lights at Arrowhead Stadium at 8:20 p.m ET (NBC). The Chiefs are riding a rollercoaster 2-3 start after a tough loss at Jacksonville. Meanwhile, Detroit enters with a 4-1 record and momentum on their side.
Mahomes has shown flashes of brilliance this season, but is still trying to find consistency amid roster changes. With the Lions presenting a formidable defense, points and turnovers could swing the game either way.
We’ll dive into key Mahomes stats, projections via PrizePicks, and picks to target for this Sunday Night Football showdown.
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Patrick Mahomes Projections, Picks for Sunday Night Football
Despite a host of wide receiver injuries this season, cycling players in and out of the Chiefs' lineup as well as the six-game suspension of 2024 WR1 Rashee Rice, Mahomes has not only survived but thrived. He is averaging over 250 passing yards per game and has been the Chiefs’ top option on the ground, leading the team with 190 rushing yards.
Given that the Lions have allowed three different QBs to rush for 30+ yards against them this season, we could see Mahomes lean on his wheels. If Detroit drops a heavy dose of man coverage, the dual-threat might have a license to scramble.
Patrick Mahomes Projections vs. Lions Tonight
Projections are via the PrizePicks NFL board – pick players, predict More or Less on stats like the ones below, and win money when you're right.
- 266.5 Pass Yards
- 28.5 Rush Yards
- 24.5 Pass Completions
- 37.5 Pass Attempts
- 21 Fantasy Score
Here are the top projections for Patrick Mahomes on Sunday Night Football as the Chiefs take on the Detroit Lions. You can find the best NFL DFS plays and PrizePicks projections for Mahomes in this primetime showdown.
Patrick Mahomes Projection: 21 Fantasy Points
- The Chiefs' superstar QB has had more than this projection in four of his five games this season.
- The Lions have allowed QBs to average 2 touchdown passes per game against them this year.
- Mahomes gets almost his full complement of offensive weapons again this week; WR Rashee Rice could return next week.
Patrick Mahomes Projection: 64.9 Completion Percentage
- In games that Chiefs WR Xavier Worthy has played this season, Mahomes has put up a 66.6% completion percentage.
- The future Hall of Famer has topped this projection in each of the last two weeks, where Worthy has been back to full strength.
- The Lions have allowed opposing QBs to have more than this projection in three of their five games this season.
Even with the ups and downs the Chiefs have faced this season, Mahomes is still in a prime spot to remind everyone why he’s the gold standard. The two-time MVP can steady Kansas City’s offense and make a statement against a Lions defense that’s been one of the league’s toughest through the first month of play.
There are plenty of ways to get in on the action for this matchup at PrizePicks. When you predict More or Less on any of Mahomes’ stat lines, or combine him with projections for players like Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown, Chiefs TE Travis Kelce, and Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs, you can build your lineup and cash in when your picks hit.
You can use PrizePicks Playbook for more NFL DFS projections, picks, and insights all season long.
