The Packers and Lions, NFC North rivals, meet on Thanksgiving Day in a clash that could shape both the division's and the conference's playoff picture. The game kicks off on Thanksgiving Day at 1:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
Below, we'll break down our Packers-Lions prediction and Thanksgiving game picks for Week 13, including the top player picks on PrizePicks real money NFL game, among them Packers QB Jordan Love and Lions QB Jared Goff and RB Jahmyr Gibbs.
Packers vs. Lions Prediction, Thanksgiving Game Picks
The Packers and Lions meet in a Thanksgiving game for the 23rd time. The Lions, who are playing their 84th Thanksgiving Day game, have a 12-9-1 lead in Thanksgiving games against the Pack, with Green Bay winning the matchup in Detroit in 2023, 29-22.
The Packers enter the Thanksgiving Day game as 2.5-point underdogs, returning a 2.12x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win.
The Lions are home favorites with a 1.63x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
Spread: Detroit Lions -2.5
Total: 48.5
Game Winner Payout: Packers 2.12x | Lions 1.63x
Green Bay Packers Preview
- The 7-3-1 start marks the fifth time in the last seven seasons in which the Packers have only lost three of their first 11 games.
- Green Bay has one of the more balanced offenses in the league: 13th in total yards (338.9) and scoring (23.9 PPG), 15th in rushing (116.5), and 14th in passing (222.5).
- On the defensive side, the Packers have the fourth-best total defense (278.7 yards per game), sixth-best rush defense (96.5) and fifth-best pass defense (182.3).
- The offense ranks eighth in DVOA and the defensive ninth, one of four teams (Seahawks, Lions, Rams) to rank in the top-ten in both offense and defense.
- The Packers are 4-7 against the spread this season, tied for third-worst in the league.
Detroit Lions Preview
- The Lions are second in the NFL with 29.6 points per game. Their lowest output of the season was in Week 1, a 13-point effort vs. the Packers.
- At home, the Lions are averaging 33.6 points per game, scoring no less than 24 points in any home game this season.
- The offense ranks seventh in DVOA and the defensive fifth, one of four teams (Seahawks, Packers, Rams) to rank in the top 10 in both offense and defense.
- Lions RB snap counts through 12 weeks: Jahmyr Gibbs 388, David Montgomery 258, Rest of team 11. Vs. the Packers in Week 1, Gibbs had 45 snaps and Montgomery 25.
Packers vs. Lions Prediction, Thanksgiving Game Picks:
Here are three Packers and Lions player picks for Thanksgiving Day/Week 13 for PrizePicks real money NFL game, including Packers QB Jordan Love and Lions QB Jared Goff and RB Jahmyr Gibbs.
Pick More or Less on these projections on PrizePicks — plus thousands more —to win real money this NFL season.
Packers QB Jordan Love Projection vs. Lions: 238.5 Pass Yards
- Packers QB Jordan Love has not reached 200+ yards passing in any of his last three games and in six of 11 games.
- After throwing 13 TD passes in the first seven games of the season, Love has thrown a total of 2 TD passes over the last four games.
- Love has thrown 3 INTs this season, tied for fourth fewest in the league. Only Jalen Hurts (1), Justin Fields (1), and Matthew Staffrod (2) have thrown fewer.
- The Green Bay QB’s 102.0 passer rating ranks seventh out of 27 qualified QBs in the league.
Lions QB Jared Goff Projection vs. Packers: 230.5 Pass Yards
- Lions QB Jared Goff is tied for second in the NFL with 23 TD passes, 5 behind Matthew Stafford.
- Goff has thrown 1+ TD pass in all 11 games this season and in his last seven games, including playoffs, last season.
- Of the 18 consecutive games with a TD, 12 have been 2+ TD games.
- Goff’s 108.5 passer rating through Week 12 is seventh-best in the NFL. He led the NFL in passer rating after 10 weeks.
Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs Projection vs. Packers: 74.5 Rush Yards
- Lions RB Jahmyr Gibbs ran for a career-high 219 yards last week vs. the Giants. It was his tenth career 100-yard game and first 200-yard game.
- Gibbs’ 6.1 yards per rush leads the NFL and his 10 rushing TDs is tied for third-best.
- The league's fantasy RB3 has 30+ receiving yards in each of his last three games and in seven of 11.
- The Alabama product was held to 19 rush yards vs. the Packers in Week 1, the second-lowest output of his 47-game career.
Can the Packers complete the season sweep against the Lions and stay within spitting distance of the first-place Bears in the NFC North? Or will the Lions — who are currently on the outside of the playoff race — jump back over the Packers in the division?
As the NFL season enters its 13th week, there's no better place to get real money action with your NFL predictions than on PrizePicks.
There is a wide variety of player stat projections on the NFL board, so you can make predictions on whatever you'd like — from yards to field goals. Just pick at least two players and pick More or Less on their stats to build your Lineup on PrizePicks.
Check out the Playbook throughout the NFL season for more NFL predictions for your PrizePicks and NFL DFS Lineups.
