Packers vs. Broncos Prediction, NFL Week 15 Picks: Target Jordan Love & More

Green Bay Packers QB Jordan Love warms up before a game against the Detroit Lions.
AP Photo/Morry Gash

The Packers and Broncos meet in one of Week 15’s marquee matchups. This Sunday showdown between two of the top teams in the NFL kicks off at Empower Field in Denver at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS.

Green Bay has won four straight, riding high after a 28–21 win over the rival Bears that has them atop the NFC North. QB Jordan Love is playing some of his best ball, throwing for 468 yards and 7 TDs over his last two games.

Love and the Packers now head to Denver to face a Broncos team riding a 10-game win streak behind the league’s top-ranked defense. Let's dive into a Packers vs. Broncos prediction and some NFL Week 15 picks to consider. Use PrizePicks NFL to make predictions on player projections and earn real money if you're right.

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Packers vs. Broncos Prediction, Spread, Over/Under

For Green Bay, RB Josh Jacobs (knee) did not practice on Wednesday and Thursday. Additionally, WR Dontayvion Wicks (ankle) and DL Lukas Van Ness (foot) were both limited in their reps.

Denver's offense faces injury woes itself, with WR Pat Bryant sidelined by a hamstring injury. TE Nate Adkins (knee) was limited in practice, but DT D.J. Jones (ankle) returned to full participation.

Packers vs. Broncos Over/Under, Spread

The Packers enter Sunday’s game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.69x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.

The Broncos are home underdogs with a 2.04x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.

  • Spread: Green Bay Packers  -2.5 
  • Over/Under: 42.5
  • Game Winner Payout: Packers 1.69x | Broncos 2.04x

Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.

Packers vs. Broncos Prediction on Spread

Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Packers vs. Broncos.

  • Through 13 games, the Broncos hold a deceptive 11-2 straight-up record but are just 5-7-1 against the spread (ATS).​
  • Denver’s fortune factor is flashing red, with eight of its last 10 wins coming by one score or less. They also have an average margin of victory of just +5.6, the lowest among teams with double-digit wins.
  • The Packers possess a balanced profile, ranking 10th in scoring offense (24.8 points per game) and sixth in scoring defense (19.0 PPG), while allowing just 287.2 yards per game.​
  • Denver’s offense has been pedestrian despite the win streak, ranking 14th in PPG (23.7) and relying heavily on its defense, allowing just 18.1 PPG and 282 YPG.
  • Home-field advantage hasn’t helped Denver — the Broncos are just 3–3 ATS at home. Green Bay has also struggled to cover on the road at 2–4 ATS away from Lambeau Field.

Packers vs. Broncos NFL Week 15 Picks

Here are the top Packers vs. Broncos Week 15 picks on PrizePicks real-money NFL game, including player projections for QB Jordan Love and RB RJ Harvey.

Packers QB Jordan Love vs. Broncos Projection: 223.5 Pass Yards

  • Love has compiled 3,028 passing yards through 13 games (232.9 YPG) with a 67.1% completion rate and a strong 7.8 yards per attempt.​
  • The Packers' star QB has topped 223.5 passing yards in seventh of 13 starts and enters Week 15 on a tear, throwing for at least 259 yards in four of his last five outings.​
  • While Denver’s defense allows just 193.0 passing yards per game, it plays man coverage at the third-highest rate (33.2%). Love has shredded man, completing 62.0% of his throws with a 120.8 passer rating. 
  • With the run game banged up, Green Bay has leaned on Love’s arm, and he’s averaged 8.5 yards per attempt over his last two starts.
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Broncos RB RJ Harvey vs. Packers Projection: 50.5 Rush Yards

  • Harvey’s usage and efficiency have trended up as Denver’s lead back, averaging 13.7 carries for 46.7 rushing yards and 1 TD since RB J.K. Dobbins was placed on IR. In the Broncos' Week 14 victory against the Raiders, Harvey had 17 carries for 75 yards (4.4 YPC) and a score.
  • Green Bay’s run defense has been vulnerable as of late, allowing 116.7 YPG and 4.3 yards per carry in their last three games, most recently giving up 138 yards to Chicago in Week 14.​
  • Denver has quietly become one of the league’s better rushing teams, piling up 152 yards on 31 carries in that Week 14 win. With Harvey getting 41 carries over his last three games, volume alone may give him a shot to clear 50.5 rushing yards.

Packers WR Jayden Reed vs. Broncos Projection: 34.5 Receiving Yards

  • Packers WR Jayden Reed played just 25 snaps in his Week 14 return from injury, yet still commanded 4 targets (16% target share). 
  • Denver’s All-Pro CB Patrick Surtain II is shadowing opposing WR1s, which could have him locked in on Christian Watson throughout this contest. This might force Jordan Love to funnel passes elsewhere, potentially opening up more looks for Reed in the slot.
  • Despite a 10-game layoff, the third-year man showed no rust in Week 14, catching all of his targets for 31 yards. His instant chemistry with Love may establish him as a primary safety valve against a Broncos pass rush that ranks among the best.
  • Denver’s defense has wobbled over the last two weeks, surrendering a combined 43 points to the Commanders (allowing QB Marcus Mariota to throw for 294 yards and 2 TDs) and Raiders.

Make Packers vs. Broncos NFL Week 15 Picks on PrizePicks

The Packers vs. Broncos Week 15 matchup presents plenty of opportunities to put your NFL knowledge to the test.

Love and Reed aim to keep the offense flowing against a tough Broncos secondary. Meanwhile, the Broncos and Harvey will try to extend their league-leading 10-game winning streak and secure the upset in Week 15.

With PrizePicks, you can make Packers vs. Broncos predictions and earn real money on your picks. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash out if you're right.

Keep it locked in here with PrizePicks and the Playbook for continued NFL picks, predictions, and news.


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about the author

Garrett Kerman is a seasoned sports writer who has written for numerous outlets over the years from ClutchPoints, to Ballislife, to OutKick Sports. He also goes by the name The Fight Analyst where he has been a prominent voice in combat sports. However, he still maintains his voice in all sports like NFL, NBA, and MLB bringing viewers the best in coverage and analysis.

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