The No. 7 Green Bay Packers (9-7-1) head to Soldier Field to face their NFC North rivals, the No. 2 Chicago Bears (11-6), on Wild Card Weekend. Kickoff for Saturday is set for 8:00 p.m. ET on Prime Video.
The Packers do not enter the playoffs with momentum on their side; they’ve lost four straight games. As QB Jordan Love comes into the postseason healthy, he’ll try to out-duel QB Caleb Williams and the Bears, who are in a mini-slump with two straight losses.
Below, we’ll dive into a Packers vs. Bears prediction and picks for Saturday's Wild Card game. Make picks on player projections on PrizePicks and earn real money if you're right. You can also predict NFL postseason winners, spreads, and over/unders on PrizePicks Team Picks, now available in 30 states.
{{nfl_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Packers vs. Bears Prediction, Over/Under, Spread
Saturday marks the third all-time playoff meeting between the Packers and Bears. After splitting two postseason matchups across a century of rivalry, the rubber match is finally here. Green Bay leads the overall series 109-97-6.
Unfortunately for the Packers, they will be without star edge rusher Micah Parsons (knee), who tore his ACL in Week 15.
For Chicago, S C.J. Gardner-Johnson (concussion) did not practice and remains a concern. The good news is WRs D.J. Moore (knee) and Rome Odunze (foot) are progressing after battling injuries.
The spread has bounced around, but Green Bay has settled as a 2.5-point road favorite on PrizePicks Team Picks, with the total at 46.5. The Packers took the first meeting of the season 28–21, then Chicago answered with a 28–22 overtime win in Week 16.
Packers vs. Bears Over/Under Spread
The Packers enter Saturday's game as 2.5-point road favorites, returning 1.78x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Bears are home underdogs with a 1.96x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Green Bay Packers -2.5
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Game Winner Payout: Packers 1.78x | Bears 1.96x
Team Picks data is live as of writing and is subject to change.
Packers vs. Bears Prediction on Spread
- The Packers struggled to cover the spread this season with an ATS record of 7-10 (41.2%).
- Chicago's +22 turnover margin leads the entire NFL, while Green Bay sits just 13th at +1.
- The Bears are 10-7-0 ATS (58.8%) — fourth-best in the NFL — but more impressively, they went 7-4 in one-score games during the regular season.
- Green Bay's third-down offense ranks second at 48.8%, one of their few offensive bright spots, while the Bears' third-down offense is seventh at 42.7%.
Packers vs. Bears NFL Wild Card Game Picks
Here are the top Packers vs. Bears Wild Card game picks on PrizePicks’ real-money NFL game, including projections for QBs Jordan Love and QB Caleb Williams.
Packers QB Jordan Love vs. Bears Projection: 223.5 Pass Yards
- Love averages 225.4 passing yards per game (YPG) this year, and he’s cleared 225 yards in eight of 15 games.
- The Bears allow 239.2 passing YPG, seventh-most. Over their last two games, they’ve been tagged for 317 YPG and 4 TDs.
- Love’s 9.42-yard average depth of target (third-highest, via SumerSports) highlights his ability to attack downfield in head coach Matt LaFleur’s scheme.
- Chicago already gave up 234 yards, 3 TDs, and a 120.7 passer rating to Love earlier this season and has allowed 225+ passing yards in nine games.
{{nfl_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Bears QB Caleb Williams vs. Packers Projection: 208.5 Pass Yards
- Williams averages 231.9 passing YPG and has topped 210 yards in 12 of 17 starts, including four straight heading into his playoff debut.
- Green Bay’s pass defense ranks 10th, giving up 206.8 passing YPG, but that number has jumped to 224.5 YPG with 7 TDs allowed during their four-game skid.
- Chicago’s QB1 averages 8.6 air yards per attempt, eighth in the NFL, underscoring his efficiency pushing the ball downfield in head coach Ben Johnson’s aggressive scheme.
- Green Bay allowed Williams to throw for 250 yards and 2 TDs with a 98.9 passer rating in the aforementioned Week 16 overtime loss.
Packers RB Josh Jacobs vs. Bears Projection: 75.5 Rush Yards
- Packers RB Josh Jacobs enters the Wild Card Round averaging 61.9 rushing yards on 15.6 carries. He’s cleared 75 yards in six games, including 86 against Chicago in Week 14.
- Chicago is 27th against the run, allowing 134.5 rushing YPG, and opposing backs have topped 75.5 yards against them 12 times.
- The Packers’ star RB remains the focal point (60.4% snap share) of an offense that averages 28.9 rushing attempts (seventh-most).
- Over their last three outings, Chicago has given up 135.3 YPG to opposing RBs, including 122 to Green Bay in Week 16.
Make Packers vs. Bears Wild Card Game Picks on PrizePicks
This Packers vs. Bears Wild Card game matchup presents plenty of opportunities to put your NFL knowledge to the test. Love and Jacobs will aim to jumpstart a Packers offense that stumbled down the stretch, while Williams and the Bears chase their first playoff win since 2011.
You can make your Packers vs. Bears picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Keep it locked in here with the Playbook for NFL picks, predictions, and news every day.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
