As the NFL regular season winds down, the race for playoff spots is just beginning to heat up. Saturday features a pair of games, headlined by a good old-fashioned NFC North showdown between the Packers and Bears.
Every week at this late stage of the campaign can prove consequential. Just ask 9-4-1 Green Bay and 10-4 Chicago, who swapped second and seventh places in the projected postseason standings in Week 15. Saturday night’s 8:20 p.m. ET kickoff on FOX sees first place in the division hanging in the balance.
Below, we will use PrizePicks Team Picks to make a Packers vs. Bears prediction and spread pick, identifying trends to consider for the spread of Saturday’s Week 16 game.
Packers vs. Bears Spread, Over/Under
The Packers enter Saturday’s game as 2.5-point road underdogs, returning a 1.88x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Bears are home favorites with a 1.81x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Chicago Bears -2.5
- Over/Under: 46.5
- Game Winner Payout: Packers 1.88x | Bears 1.81x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Packers vs. Bears Spread Pick for Saturday’s NFL Week 16 Game
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Packers vs. Bears, including a spread prediction for Week 16’s Saturday game using PrizePicks Team Picks.
- No club has been better against the spread than the Packers in divisional games. They’re 4-0 ATS on the year in such matchups, boasting a league-leading +11.3 average margin of victory.
- Green Bay’s offense is firing, ranking sixth and seventh in points and yards per drive, respectively.
- In Week 14’s 28-21 win over the Bears, per Sharp Football Analysis, QB Jordan Love went 8-of-10 with 126 passing yards and 2 TDs against man coverage (37% frequency).
- The Bears are just 1-3 ATS in NFC North games this season. They’re an ugly 11-22-1 in those contests since 2020.
- Chicago does deserve credit for its offensive output, ranking 11th in points per drive and fifth in total yards under first-year head coach Ben Johnson.
- Per NFL Pro, QB Caleb Williams has the lowest completion percentage by a QB with 10+ wins in a season (58.0) since 2012 Andrew Luck with the Colts (54.1).
- Despite being 12th in EPA/play on defense (SumerSports), the Bears rank 20th in sack percentage (6.03) and 22nd in success rate allowed (44.91%).
- According to Jefe’s Handiwork, Chicago’s defense is third-worst in explosive play rate. Green Bay’s offense is eighth-best at generating them.
Make Packers vs. Bears Picks on PrizePicks
When Green Bay and Chicago clash, there will be plenty of opportunities for Packers vs. Bears picks. The NFL Week 16 slate also leaves the door open for several other player projections and much more.
Just pick players, predict More or Less for their projected stats, and earn real money if you’re right.
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