With one CFP Semifinal game in the books, No. 5 Oregon vs. No. 1 Indiana will determine the final team that advances to the College Football Playoff National Championship.
First, the Ducks and Hoosiers must square off on Friday (7:30 p.m. on ESPN). The clash at Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA, will see superstar QBs Dante Moore and Fernando Mendoza go head-to-head with a shot at history hanging in the balance.
Here, we’ll break down an Oregon vs. Indiana prediction and pick for the Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl in the CFP Semifinals. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right.
{{cfb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Oregon vs. Indiana Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
Friday marks just the fifth time Oregon and Indiana will battle on the gridiron. Things are all knotted up at 2-2, but the Hoosiers boast a two-game winning streak this century. That includes a 30-20 triumph back on Oct. 11 of this year.
As far as availability is concerned, Oregon won’t have RB Jordon Davison and a multitude of others. Indiana is without DL Stephen Daley, LB Kellan Wyatt, and more.
Oregon vs. Indiana Over/Under, Spread
The Ducks enter Friday’s game as 3.5-point underdogs, returning a 2.43x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Hoosiers are favorites with a 1.51x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Indiana Hoosiers -3.5
- Over/Under: 49.5
- Game Winner Payout: Ducks 2.43x | Hoosiers 1.51x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Oregon vs. Indiana Prediction on Spread
Here are some stats to know to get you prepared for Oregon vs. Indiana.
- Both Oregon and Indiana boast 9-5 against-the-spread records this year.
- Indiana went 7-5 ATS as a favorite this year, with Oregon being 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
- According to ESPN’s College Football Power Index, this is a bout between the top two teams in strength of record.
- Indiana holds a key edge on third down, being first on offense and fourth on defense to Oregon’s 28th and 41st, respectively.
- The Hoosiers also fare considerably better in the red zone on both ends and have the nation’s best average turnover margin (+1.4).
Oregon vs. Indiana Picks for PrizePicks
Below are prime Oregon vs. Indiana picks to consider for Friday’s Chick-fil-A Peach Bowl. PrizePicks player projections include QBs Dante Moore and Fernando Mendoza and TE Kenyon Sadiq.
Oregon QB Dante Moore vs. Indiana Projection: 217.5 Pass Yards
- In 14 games, Moore averages 234.3 passing yards. He threw for exactly 234 yards against Texas Tech in the CFP Quarterfinals.
- According to Game on Paper, Moore’s 0.30 EPA per dropback ranks 16th out of 132 qualified passers.
- Out of 176 QBs with 100+ dropbacks, Moore is tied for sixth with a Pro Football Focus big-time throw percentage of 7.4.
- Indiana’s defense sits 74th in opposing completion percentage at 62.78.
{{cfb_offer_banner="/style-system/ui-components-playbook"}}
Oregon TE Kenyon Sadiq vs. Indiana Projection: 38.5 Rec Yards
- Sadiq racked up 40.8 receiving yards per game this year, but he’s averaged just 17.3 in his last three outings.
- The third-year TE’s 5.33 yards per target mark is 195th out of 684 qualified pass catchers, via Game on Paper.
- In the October matchup vs. Indiana, Sadiq mustered all of 21 yards on 2 receptions.
- The Hoosiers’ pass defense is 25th in EPA per play (-0.11) and 19th in success rate (38.0%) allowed.
Indiana QB Fernando Mendoza vs. Oregon Projection: 208.5 Pass Yards
- This year’s Heisman Trophy winner led the nation with 36 passing TDs, 9.6 yards per attempt, 10.91 adjusted yards per attempt and a 184.7 rating.
- With that said, Mendoza produced 222 yards vs. Ohio State in the Big Ten title game and 192 against Alabama in the CFP Quarterfinals.
- Mendoza’s 9.6-yard average depth of target sits outside the top 50 QBs with at least 100 dropbacks.
- Oregon’s pass defense is third in completion percentage (49.87) and yards per play (5.3) yielded.
Make Oregon vs. Indiana Peach Bowl Picks on PrizePicks
With the College Football Playoff heating up, it’s time to turn your CFB predictions into rewards. Oregon vs. Indiana in the Peach Bowl isn’t your only opportunity to do so.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 30 states.
Keep it here with the Playbook for continued college football predictions, picks, and news.
Team Picks and Culture Picks are event contracts offered by Performance Predictions II, LLC d/b/a PrizePicks Predict, a CFTC-registered FCM and NFA Member. All event contract customers must be U.S. residents and 18+. Some event contracts may not be available in every state. Event contract trading carries significant risk and is not appropriate for everyone. No guarantee against loss is offered. Past results are not necessarily indicative of future results. Void where prohibited by law. Restrictions apply. For full terms of service see prizepicks.com/predict-regulatory. Team and Culture Pick Early Payouts subject to market liquidity. The content provided is for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, or a recommendation to trade any commodity interest.
