The SEC Tournament is off and running for men’s basketball, and the penultimate matchup of Wednesday presents a clash between the Ole Miss Rebels and Texas Longhorns.
Neither side carries much momentum into the conference tourney. With that said, 7:00 p.m. ET’s bout on SEC Network has the Longhorns favored by 5.5 points as the NCAA Tournament comes into focus.
Below, we’ll break down our Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction on spread for Wednesday’s game. Make your college basketball picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and totals!
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Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
After losing in the Round of 16 a year ago, Ole Miss has taken a considerable step back. Under head coach Chris Beard, the Rebels are just 12-19 on the year, including an ugly 4-14 mark in the SEC.
In head coach Sean Miller’s debut campaign for Texas, they’re 18-13 overall and 9-9 in conference play. Having gone just 1-4 in their last five outings, though, a deep SEC Tournament run might be required to boost the Longhorns’ resume.
Wednesday marks the 18th meeting between these programs since 1949. Texas owns a 10-7 lead, including an average scoring margin of +3.9 points.
Ole Miss and Texas last went head-to-head on February 7, resulting in a 79-68 Longhorns win. The Rebels posted an ugly 47.4% effective field goal percentage, compared to a solid 57.8% mark for UT.
Ole Miss vs. Texas Spread, Over/Under
Ole Miss enters Wednesday’s game as 5.5-point underdogs, returning a 3.12x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
Texas is a favorite with a 1.36x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks, where you can earn money with your picks in 35 states.
- Spread: Texas Longhorns -5.5
- Over/Under: 145.5
- Game Winner Payout: Rebels 3.12x | Longhorns 1.36x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Ole Miss vs. Texas Prediction on Spread – 3/11/26
Here are the key stats to know before locking in your Ole Miss vs. Texas prediction on spread for Wednesday, March 11 on PrizePicks.
- According to KenPom, there’s a considerable net rating discrepancy between these squads. Texas sits 33rd in the nation at +19.96, whereas Mississippi checks in at 80th (+10.27).
- Wednesday is a sync of teams that are 8-9 against the spread in a specific scenario, with Texas’ record being as a favorite and Ole Miss’ being as an underdog.
- Ole Miss’ offense ranks 229th in effective field goal percentage at 50.2%, also ranking 165th on defense (51.1%).
- Texas sits 30th among all Division I teams in scoring, averaging 83.2 PPG. On the other end of the floor, they allow the 90th-ranked 2-point clip (49.6%).
- Keep an eye on the free throw battle on Wednesday. Mississippi allows 23.7 attempts each night (324th), and Texas steps to the line 26.7 times (sixth).
- The rebounding margin is also worth monitoring. Texas is top 45 in both offensive and defensive rebounding clip; Ole Miss is 237th and 297th, respectively.
- Longhorns F Dailyn Swain owns the second-highest BPM among all SEC players with a 9.9 mark, per Bart Torvik.
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