The Denver Nuggets (36-21) will look to keep pace in the Western Conference standings when they take on the Golden State Warriors (29-27) on Sunday afternoon. The showdown tips off from the Chase Center at 3:30 p.m. ET and will be broadcast on ABC.
Below is our Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction, spread, and picks for Sunday’s matchup. Make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money if you’re right, including on game winners, spreads, and over/unders.
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Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction, Spread, Over/Under
The Nuggets have dealt with a rash of injuries throughout the season. Despite that, Denver has still managed to land in third place in the West, has C Nikola Jokic playing at an All-Star level, and is coming off a 157-103 win against the Portland Trail Blazers on Friday.
Meanwhile, the Warriors are also no strangers to being shorthanded. After losing SF Jimmy Butler for the season due to a torn ACL, PG Stephen Curry is currently out of the lineup with a knee injury of his own.
As the Warriors await Curry’s return, they fell 123-115 at the hands of the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday in their first game following the All-Star break.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Spread, Over/Under
The Nuggets enter Sunday’s game as 6.5-point road favorites, returning a 1.35x payout on PrizePicks Team Picks if they win outright.
The Warriors are home underdogs with a 2.94x payout if they win, via PrizePicks Team Picks.
- Spread: Denver Nuggets -6.5
- Over/Under: 228.5
- Game Winner Payout: Nuggets 1.35x | Warriors 2.94x
Team Picks data is live at the time of writing and is subject to change.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Injury Report
Let’s dive into the full Nuggets vs. Warriors injury report for Sunday, via NBA.com.
Denver Nuggets Injury Report
- PF Aaron Gordon (hamstring): OUT
- G Peyton Watson (hamstring): OUT
- PG Jamal Murray (hamstring): Questionable
Golden State Warriors Injury Report
- F Jimmy Butler III (knee): OUT
- PG Stephen Curry (knee): OUT
- C Kristaps Porzingis (Achilles): Probable
Nuggets vs. Warriors Prediction on Spread
Here are some facts and figures to help you make your Nuggets vs. Warriors prediction on Sunday, February 22.
- Denver is 12-9 against the spread as a road favorite, producing a 57.1% cover rate.
- Golden State has just a 1-4 record ATS as a home underdog.
- The Nuggets own the NBA’s top scoring offense, averaging 120.9 points per game. Denver also leads the league in 3-point shooting percentage (39.6%).
- Jokic leads the NBA in rebounds per game (12.3) but has averaged 13.1 RPG over his last eight contests.
- According to NBA Advanced Stats, the Warriors possess the ninth-best defensive rating (112.7) in the league.
- Golden State is 6-4 ATS in its last 10 meetings vs. Denver but has only won two of those games outright.
Nuggets vs. Warriors Picks for PrizePicks Today: 2/22/26
Here are the top Nuggets vs. Warriors picks to target for Sunday, February 22, on PrizePicks. Player stat projections via PrizePicks are headlined by Nuggets PG Jamal Murray and Warriors SG Brandin Podziemski.
Nuggets PG Jamal Murray vs. Warriors Projection: 31.5 Pts + Asts
- The former Kentucky Wildcat averaged 31.2 points and assists over his last five games.
- Per databallr, Murray has registered 18.5 potential assists per 100 possessions, ranking in the 99th percentile.
- Murray has racked up at least 32 points and assists in three of his last seven games.
- According to Add More Funds, the Nuggets' star PG has a usage of 26.6%, second on the team behind only Jokic.
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Warriors SG Brandin Podziemski vs. Nuggets Projection: 23.5 PRA
- The Warriors SG has averaged 24.1 points, rebounds, and assists over his last four games.
- Podziemski has scored at least 14 points in three of his last four contests without Curry in the lineup.
- According to databallr, Podziemski spends 23.8% of his time on the court on-ball.
- Podziemski has averaged 10.2 field goal attempts over his last six, an increase from his 9.5 per-game average on the year.
Make Nuggets vs. Warriors Picks on PrizePicks
Nuggets vs. Warriors picks are one of several avenues in which basketball fans can get involved in the NBA action on Sunday.
You can make your picks on PrizePicks and PrizePicks Team Picks and earn real money. Just pick players, predict More or Less on their projected stats, and cash in if you’re correct. With Team Picks, make predictions on winners, spreads, and over/unders, now available in 34 states.
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